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XOM's Upstream Advantage: The Growth Story Investors Shouldn't Ignore
ZACKS· 2025-12-01 13:16
Core Insights - Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is a leading integrated energy company primarily generating earnings from upstream operations, with a strong presence in the Permian Basin and offshore Guyana, indicating a positive outlook for its upstream business [1] Production and Acquisitions - In the third quarter, ExxonMobil reported record production of 1.7 million oil-equivalent barrels per day and acquired over 80,000 premium acres in the Midland sub-basin from Sinochem Petroleum, enhancing its advantageous asset portfolio [2][6] - The company achieved record production of over 700,000 barrels per day from Guyana, with low breakeven costs allowing it to remain profitable even in declining oil price environments [3] Competitive Landscape - Other companies like Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) and ConocoPhillips (COP) also have significant operations in the Permian Basin, with FANG having a drilling inventory that can sustain production for over 10 years, and COP benefiting from resources in the Delaware and Midland basins [4] Financial Performance - XOM shares have increased by 2% over the past year, while the industry composite stocks improved by 6.8% [5][6] - The company trades at a trailing 12-month enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) of 7.53X, which is higher than the industry average of 4.82X [8] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for XOM's 2025 earnings has not seen any revisions in the past week, indicating stability in earnings expectations [10]
COP Rises 4% Since Q3 Earnings Beat Driven by Upstream Outperformance
ZACKS· 2025-11-12 13:46
Core Insights - ConocoPhillips (COP) reported better-than-expected third-quarter earnings, leading to a 4.2% increase in its stock price [1][8] - The company's oil-equivalent production exceeded forecasts, primarily driven by strong performance in its upstream operations [1][8] Upstream Business of ConocoPhillips - ConocoPhillips has a significant presence in the United States' upstream oil and natural gas sector, particularly in the Lower 48 regions, which include the Delaware Basin, Midland Basin, and Bakken [2] Q3 Production Performance - Total production averaged 2,399 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (MBoe/d), an increase from 1,917 MBoe/d in the same quarter last year, and above the estimate of 2,342.9 MBoe/d [3] - Crude oil production rose to 1,146 thousand barrels per day (MBbls/d) from 957 MBbls/d year-over-year [3] Natural Gas and Other Production Metrics - Natural gas liquids production reached 436 MBbls/d, up from 310 MBbls/d a year ago, while bitumen production increased to 123 MBbls/d from 87 MBbls/d [4] - Natural gas production was 4,167 million cubic feet per day (MMcf/d), higher than the previous year's 3,381 MMcf/d [4] Price Realization Trends - The average realized oil equivalent price fell to $46.44 per barrel from $54.18 a year ago, with the average realized crude oil price decreasing to $66.13 per barrel from $76.77 [5] - The average realized natural gas price was $4.28 per thousand cubic feet, down from $4.42, and natural gas liquids price decreased to $19.20 per barrel from $21.93 [6] Industry Context - Other energy majors, such as Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) and Chevron Corporation (CVX), also reported earnings that exceeded expectations during the same earnings season [7]
Iran-Israel Conflict Escalates: Boon for ExxonMobil's E&P Business?
ZACKS· 2025-06-18 14:16
Core Insights - The West Texas Intermediate crude price is approaching $75 per barrel, a significant increase from $60.79 on May 30, driven by rising tensions between Iran and Israel, which positively impacts Exxon Mobil Corporation's exploration and production activities [1][8] - ExxonMobil generates approximately 88% of its earnings from upstream operations, making the rise in oil prices beneficial for its bottom line [2] - ExxonMobil has a strong presence in the oil-rich Permian Basin, which is expected to generate substantial cash flows due to high oil prices [2][8] ExxonMobil's Operations - ExxonMobil's acquisition of Pioneer Natural Resources has led to an upward revision of annual synergy estimates from $2 billion to $3 billion for the first decade, enhancing its operational efficiency in the Permian [3][8] - The company's upstream business is significantly benefiting from the favorable crude pricing environment, particularly in the Permian region [8] Competitors' Performance - Chevron Corporation and BP plc also benefit from high oil prices due to their substantial earnings from upstream operations [4] - Chevron operates on approximately 1.8 million net acres in the Permian, with low breakeven costs allowing for strong cash flow generation [5] - BP maintains a low-cost production model, positioning itself well to capitalize on rising oil prices [6] Market Performance - ExxonMobil's shares have increased by 7.9% over the past year, outperforming the industry average of 3.7% [7] - The company's trailing 12-month enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio stands at 7.06X, above the industry average of 4.26X, indicating a premium valuation [9]