Core Viewpoint - BP anticipates higher upstream production and stronger refining margins in Q3 2025, but warns of weak oil trading results and modest asset impairments [1][2]. Upstream Production - BP's upstream production is expected to rise in Q3 2025, driven by increased gas output from its U.S. bpx energy unit and improved performance in gas and low-carbon energy operations [2][3]. - Oil and gas volumes are both contributing to the expected increase in production [3]. Refining Margins - Refining margins have strengthened by an estimated $0.3–$0.4 billion compared to the previous quarter, with the refining indicator margin averaging $15.8 per barrel, up from $11.9 per barrel [2][6]. Oil Trading and Exploration - The company expects weak oil trading outcomes and minor exploration write-offs, with exploration write-offs forecasted to be about $100 million higher than in Q2 [2][3]. Customers & Products Segment - The Customers & Products segment benefited from seasonally stronger fuel sales and higher refining margins but faced challenges from unplanned downtime at the Whiting refinery and environmental compliance costs [4]. Financial Outlook - Net debt is expected to remain flat at around $26 billion, despite redeeming $1.2 billion in hybrid bonds and paying approximately $1 billion more in income taxes during the quarter [5]. - BP reaffirmed its full-year guidance of around $14.5 billion in capital expenditure and a 40% underlying effective tax rate [6]. Upcoming Reporting - BP will publish its full third-quarter results on November 4, 2025, providing final figures after completing its financial reporting process [7].