Volume - based procurement (VBP)
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中国医疗科技 - 专家电话会议要点:中国医疗影像设备市场的动态审视-China Medtech-Expert call takeaways Pulse check on China's medical imaging equipment market
2025-10-20 01:19
Summary of Key Points from the Expert Call on China's Medical Imaging Equipment Market Industry Overview - The expert call focused on China's medical imaging equipment market, discussing procurement trends, market outlook for 2025 and beyond, competitive landscape, and geopolitical impacts [1][6] - The market size reached Rmb18.54 billion in Q325, reflecting a 55.02% year-over-year (YoY) increase and approximately 10% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) growth [2][8] Market Growth and Trends - The YoY growth rate for the medical imaging equipment market decreased from 100.36% in the first five months of 2025 to 55.02% in Q325, but remained above the overall medical equipment market growth of 29.8% [2][7] - The expert anticipates a 10-15% YoY growth for the medical imaging equipment market in 2025 and 2026, driven by equipment renewal programs supported by Central government treasury bonds [2][18] Procurement Insights - Procurement in Q325 showed a significant drop compared to previous periods, with CT, MRI, ultrasound, DSA, and DR procurement values at Rmb4.84 billion, Rmb4.79 billion, Rmb4.33 billion, Rmb2.51 billion, and Rmb0.9 billion respectively [2][8] - The expert noted that county-level medical consortium volume-based procurement (VBP) accounted for a significant portion of procurement, particularly in CT [8][10] Competitive Landscape - Domestic brands held market shares of 39.76%, 39.41%, 43%, 12.9%, and 80.41% in CT, MRI, ultrasound, DSA, and DR respectively in Q325 [3][10] - Foreign companies regained market shares in several categories due to proactive participation in VBP, with GE Healthcare and Siemens Healthineers actively engaging in price competition [3][17] - The expert believes that the competitive landscape will not be significantly reshaped by geopolitical tensions in the short term, as top global companies will adapt their supply chains to meet local requirements [4][19] Geopolitical and Policy Impacts - The expert predicts that it may take 8-10 years for preferential policies for domestic products in government procurement to be fully implemented, allowing global companies time to adjust [4][11] - The impact of geopolitical events, such as the Section 232 investigation and EU's IPI restrictions, is expected to be limited for domestic manufacturers [4][19] Future Outlook and Risks - The expert expects the VBP market size for medical imaging equipment to remain below 20% this year, potentially reaching 20-30% in the next two years [15][18] - Risks identified for the medtech industry include larger-than-expected price reductions, weaker demand from equipment renewal programs, and geopolitical risks affecting supply chains [21][23] Conclusion - The expert call provided valuable insights into the current state and future outlook of China's medical imaging equipment market, highlighting growth opportunities and competitive dynamics while acknowledging potential risks and challenges [1][6][21]
中国医疗保健 - 2025 年 8 月中国医院设备招标 - 环比增长好于预期,跨国企业与国内企业均有望蓬勃发展-China Healthcare_ Aug 2025 China hospital equipment bidding_ Better-than-expected MoM growth, with both MNC_domestic to thrive
2025-09-11 12:11
Summary of China Healthcare Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the **China hospital equipment industry**, highlighting the bidding data for medical devices in August 2025, which showed better-than-expected growth. Key Points 1. **Bidding Growth**: - August 2025 saw a month-over-month (MoM) growth of **+12%** and a year-over-year (YoY) growth of **+32%**, marking the tenth consecutive month of positive growth [2][8][32]. - This growth is attributed to the implementation of this year's trade-in funding, which has begun to stimulate bidding values [2][22]. 2. **Trade-in Program**: - The trade-in program's impact was confirmed as the rolled-over funding from the previous year was largely utilized by July, indicating that new funding has started to take effect [2][22]. 3. **Device Performance**: - Among nine tracked medical devices, seven showed positive YoY growth in August, with notable increases in PET-CT (+173%), CT scanners (+81%), and DR (+54%) [32][51][53]. - The ultrasound segment also saw a significant increase of **+35%** YoY in August, up from **+23%** in July [18][23]. 4. **Market Dynamics**: - Domestic companies have shown resilience, with all domestic players recording positive growth, while multinational corporations (MNCs) had previously shown negative growth, which has now largely disappeared [12][20]. - Ongoing regional Value-Based Procurement (VBP) remains a concern, particularly affecting pricing in the ultrasound and CT scanner segments [16][22]. 5. **Company-Specific Insights**: - **United Imaging**: - Reported a **+22%** YoY revenue growth in Q2 2025, with expectations of **+45%** and **+15%** growth for Q3 and Q4 2025, respectively [22][84]. - The company is optimistic about the trade-in program's scale and pace in 2025, expecting smoother operations compared to 2024 [22][84]. - **Mindray**: - Experienced a decline in patient monitor sales (-25% YoY in August) but saw strong growth in ultrasound (+35% YoY) [23][83]. - The company is managing inventory risks and expects to return to positive growth levels in Q3 2025 [23][24]. 6. **Investment Outlook**: - Both United Imaging and Mindray are rated as "Buy" by analysts, with significant long-term growth potential anticipated due to increasing government support and market share growth [84][83]. - Key catalysts for growth include procurement recovery, updates on the trade-in program, and new product launches [83][84]. Additional Insights - The conference highlighted the importance of monitoring ongoing VBP developments and their impact on pricing strategies within the medical device sector [16][22]. - Analysts emphasized the need for investors to consider potential risks, including supply chain issues and regulatory changes that could affect market dynamics [86][87]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and future outlook of the China hospital equipment industry.