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高盛:中国医疗保健_2025 年 6 月中国医院设备招标_ASP压力显现致增长停滞,下半年刺激预期降低
Goldman Sachs· 2025-07-14 00:36
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating on Mindray, highlighting its strong market position and growth potential in the healthcare sector [92]. Core Insights - The procurement value of main medical devices in China showed a year-on-year growth rate of 49% in June 2025, although it fell short of previous expectations due to a 3% month-on-month decline driven by lower unit prices from Value-Based Procurement (VBP) policies [1]. - The report anticipates a decline in the trade-in stimulus effect for the second half of 2025, as applications for trade-in funding have decreased in recent months [1]. - The ultrasound segment has experienced significant price declines due to VBP, with CT scanners also seeing sharp price reductions [9][13]. - The market share of non-GPSU brands in CT scanners has increased during the first half of 2025, indicating a shift in brand dynamics within the industry [24]. Summary by Sections Procurement Trends - The total bidding value for nine main medical devices in China has shown fluctuations, with significant year-on-year growth in various segments, including a 62% increase for CT scanners in June 2025 compared to May 2025 [51]. - The report notes that 30% of ultrasound procurement volume is expected to be impacted by VBP by the end of 2025, with an average price cut of 50%-60% [22]. Company-Specific Insights - Mindray is positioned as a leading medtech device manufacturer in China, with 55% of its revenue coming from the domestic market. The company is expected to benefit from strong healthcare infrastructure development and increasing overseas revenue [92]. - United Imaging has expanded its presence globally and is witnessing a rebound in medical equipment procurement in China, supported by government initiatives [93]. Market Dynamics - The report highlights that both domestic and multinational companies achieved notable year-on-year growth in June, indicating a competitive landscape in the medical device sector [74]. - The ongoing VBP policies are a key concern, affecting pricing and procurement strategies across various medical device categories [9].
花旗:中国医疗保健_ 2025 年 5 月招标增长持续强劲
花旗· 2025-06-18 00:54
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Mindray is "Buy" with a target price set at Rmb330, based on a DCF-based SOTP model [16]. Core Insights - The medical equipment sector is experiencing a recovery, with tendering growth of 78% year-over-year in May 2025, indicating strong demand and fiscal stimulus effects [1]. - Mindray is highlighted as a top pick in the medical equipment sector, expecting to see quarter-over-quarter growth in Q2 2025 and both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year growth in Q3 2025 [1]. - The total intended medical equipment procurement since June 2024 amounts to Rmb31.5 billion, with Rmb12.9 billion already implemented, suggesting further recovery potential [2]. Summary by Sections Tendering Growth - Tendering amounts for key medical imaging products showed significant year-over-year growth: ultrasound (103%), MRI (107%), X-ray (108%), and PET/CT (186%) [3]. Company Performance - Mindray reported robust growth of 56% year-over-year in May 2025, while United Imaging experienced an 11% growth after a substantial surge in April [1]. Market Dynamics - The strong growth momentum in tendering is attributed to ongoing fiscal stimulus and the normalization of medical equipment procurement activities [1].