Core Insights - Prologis, Inc. reported third-quarter results that exceeded analyst expectations, showcasing solid operational performance and renewed confidence in its outlook [1] - The company raised its full-year guidance following stronger-than-expected results and reaffirmed its growth trajectory after previously pausing its forecast amid tariff uncertainties [1] Leasing Activity and Occupancy - Record leasing activity of 62.4 million square feet increased occupancy by 20 basis points to 95.3% [2] - Build-to-suit developments accounted for 63.9% of new projects [2] Financial Performance - Quarterly net operating income exceeded BTIG's estimate by 1 cent per share, driven by stronger revenue [4] - The company raised its 2025 core FFO guidance to $5.78-$5.81 per share, representing a 2-cent increase at the midpoint [4] Market Outlook - Key operating assumptions include an unchanged 95% average occupancy level, with increases of 50 basis points in both GAAP and cash same-store net operating income growth, reaching 4.5% and 5.0%, respectively [5] - BTIG's price forecast for Prologis implies an estimated total return of 16.1% and a forward valuation multiple of 21.6 times [5] Future Projections - BTIG analysts forecast FFO per share of $5.78 for 2025 and $6.20 for 2026, with corresponding price-to-FFO multiples of 20.0 times and 18.6 times, respectively [6] - The brokerage anticipates same-store net operating income growth of 3.9% in 2025 and 5.2% in 2026 [6] Analyst Ratings - Bank of America reiterated Buy ratings on Prologis with a $130 price forecast, citing improving market conditions and the company's differentiated platform [7] - The company's stock gained 6% after reporting better-than-expected third-quarter results and an increase in its annual forecast [7] Demand and Supply Dynamics - Prologis indicated that the U.S. market vacancy currently stands at 7.5%, expecting rates to stabilize before improving later in 2026 [9] - Supply continues to decline significantly, with development starts down 75% from peak levels and 25% below pre-COVID levels [10] Demand Indicators - Bank of America's Warehouse Demand Indicator (WDI) appears to have bottomed in mid-2025, signaling improving demand in the second half of 2026 [11] - Adjusted FFO per share is estimated at $4.45 for 2025, expected to rebound to $4.97 in 2026 and further to $5.32 in 2027 [11]