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Prediction markets are ‘best we've got' for forecasting, Robinhood CEO says
Youtube· 2025-12-21 23:00
Core Insights - Robin Hood has officially launched its prediction markets, expanding its offerings to include a platform for users to trade on various events and outcomes [1][2] - The prediction markets have seen significant growth, starting with one contract related to the 2024 presidential election and expanding to over 1,500 contracts within a year [3][4] - In November, Robin Hood traded three billion contracts on the platform, leading to an estimated monthly revenue of approximately 30 million, marking it as the fastest-growing business segment for the company [4] Company Developments - The prediction markets are now accessible on the web, allowing users to browse and search for various contracts, enhancing user engagement beyond mobile app access [5][6] - The platform includes contracts on diverse topics such as politics, sports, weather, and economic events, indicating a broad application beyond traditional sports betting [7][10] - The prediction markets are positioned as a valuable forecasting tool, with claims of over 90% accuracy in predicting event outcomes, surpassing traditional polling methods [13][14] Industry Impact - The rise of prediction markets is expected to disrupt the sports betting industry, prompting existing platforms to adapt their strategies [10][11] - The potential for non-sports contracts to grow rapidly suggests a broader market opportunity that could impact various sectors [11] - The integration of financial markets with forecasting capabilities is seen as a transformative development, providing a more precise tool for investors and analysts [14][15] Future Outlook - Robin Hood aims to continue prioritizing retail investors while expanding access to innovative investment opportunities, including private markets and initiatives for new investors [17][18] - The company is focused on enhancing its offerings to empower retail investors, indicating a commitment to growth and accessibility in the investment landscape [19][20]
Why Should Prediction Markets Matter?
Bloomberg Originals· 2025-06-25 18:00
you think about it, it's not just um the market anymore. Now, you can bet on kind of anything, right. If you think about these election betting platforms, I I actually think prediction markets are fantastic because, you know, we're in this sort of era of informationational breakdown.It's so hard to sense make about what's true and what's not. Like if I want to know like what's the likelihood that this thing that you know some big political things happened and someone makes this statement about it I would go ...