Investment Rating - The report indicates a "sell" signal triggered by a cash level of 3.9%, which is below the threshold of 4.0% [19][90]. Core Insights - The August Global Fund Manager Survey shows the highest bullish sentiment since February 2025, with 68% of investors predicting a soft landing for the global economy [3][7]. - There is a notable rotation in asset allocation, with a shift from European equities to emerging markets, which now holds a net 37% overweight position, the highest since February 2023 [5][26]. - The sentiment regarding AI's impact on productivity is strong, with 55% of investors believing that AI is already boosting productivity [75][79]. Summary by Sections Macro & Policy - 68% of investors predict a soft landing, while only 5% are positioned for a hard landing [3][7]. - Rate cut optimism is at its highest since December 2024, with 54% of respondents expecting the next Fed Chair to resort to quantitative easing or yield curve control [3][46]. Risks - The primary tail risk identified is a trade war triggering a global recession, cited by 29% of investors [54][61]. - The perception of inflation risks has increased, with 27% of investors concerned about inflation preventing Fed rate cuts [61]. Asset Allocation - Global equity allocation is at a net 14% overweight, the highest since February 2025, with a significant rotation towards utilities and energy sectors [5][20]. - A record 91% of investors view US stocks as overvalued, while emerging markets are seen as undervalued by a net 49% [67]. Crypto & Gold - Only 9% of investors have exposure to crypto, with an average allocation of 3.2%, while 48% have exposure to gold, averaging 4.1% [6][71]. - The total portfolio exposure to crypto is just 0.3%, and to gold is 2.2% after adjusting for those without allocations [6][71]. Investor Sentiment - The overall sentiment regarding the global economy has slightly deteriorated, with a net 41% of investors expecting a weaker economy in the next 12 months [36][97]. - Expectations for higher inflation have risen, with a net 18% of investors anticipating an increase in global CPI [42][100]. AI Perception - 52% of investors do not believe that AI stocks are in a bubble, while 41% think they are [79]. - The belief that AI is already increasing productivity has grown from 42% to 55% since July [75].