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X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-08-14 12:01
S&P Global Ratings’ upgrade of India’s credit rating comes at a crucial moment for the bond market, offering potential relief amid global uncertainty and mounting fiscal pressures https://t.co/dTTCIEK59A ...
Yields ease ahead of Federal Reserve meeting
CNBC Television· 2025-07-22 18:56
CNBC's Rick Santelli reports on the latest news regarding the bond market. ...
Losing the game of chicken: Trump fails 88 of 90 ‘deals’ in broken vow (Ari x Ratigan)
MSNBC· 2025-07-10 20:30
Economic & Political Analysis - The political climate surrounding capitalism, particularly concerns about a rigged system, is increasingly important [1] - The Republican and Democratic political classes are perceived as not adequately considering the flow of resources through the lens of interest rates and tax policy [2] - The MAGA movement is viewed as an understandable but counterproductive response to exploitation, while the left's response is also seen as counterproductive for not addressing the actual flow of resources [5][6] Market & Trade Dynamics - The bond market's reaction to potential extreme tariffs from the US administration corrected the situation, leading to an expectation of only 5-10% reciprocal tariffs [9][10][12] - The stock market has largely priced in the belief that extreme tariffs will not be levied, rendering the trade theatrics irrelevant [14][15] - The US president's approach to addressing labor market and trade policy dysfunction is considered unproductive due to the disruption it creates [16][17] Capitalism & Risk - True capitalism requires those with capital to retain the risk, but the current system often shifts risk to others, benefiting the wealthiest individuals [2] - A correction in tax and interest rate policy is needed to address the culture of shifting risk away from individuals to an institutional level [4]
Leadership fabric of stock market is pro-cyclical, says Strategas' Chris Verrone
CNBC Television· 2025-07-08 11:02
>> Pulled back from record highs yesterday amid a flurry of trade news from the Trump administration. Let's take a look at the technicals. Joining us now, Chris Brown, head of technical and macro research at strategist Abbott Company Chris, welcome.Good morning to you. >> Great to be here. Thanks for.>> Having me. It seemed like the pullback was kind of meager given the excuses. The markets could have had to pull back even more.So how do you view that in light of where we are in terms of close to record hig ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-04 01:16
India’s busy local-currency rupee bond market is poised to slow after the country’s central bank hinted room for further rate cuts could be limited https://t.co/lgIpzqTyo9 ...
Expected more bond market revolt from Powell's resignation calls: Former Fed Vice Chair Ferguson
CNBC Television· 2025-07-03 13:31
report. Joining us right now is Roger Ferguson, former vice uh Fed vice chair as well as a CNBC contributor. Good morning to you.Uh before we get into it, just your reaction to the jobs number. Do you put this in a good category. We had Steve Leeman who found a couple of holes in it.What's your what's your thought. Uh look, overall a very good category. The unemployment rate coming down always very helpful.You know, the job creation number after the ADP surprise uh yesterday very welcomed. I'm not sure I ag ...
The curious bond counter rally: Here's what to know
CNBC Television· 2025-07-02 11:23
tradfi assets. >> A follow up this morning to a question we asked during the first Trump administration are the president's social media posts criticizing Fed Chair Jay Powell and the central bank driving down interest rates. Senior economics reporter Steve Liesman is here and looking at the bond rally and presidential pressure on Powell.Stupid mule, I guess is the latest salvo. >> I didn't see that one. >> You didn't see stupid.>> Last night or. Last week. Last week we looked at all of them.Maybe we. Maybe ...
The 'Halftime' Investment Committee debate how to play stocks in the second half
CNBC Television· 2025-07-01 16:46
Fiscal Policy & Legislation - Senate passed the Trump mega bill, heading to the House with potential votes as soon as tomorrow, aiming for the president's desk by July 4th [2] - Last-minute changes to the bill include the potential removal of the excise tax on solar and wind [3] - The combination of the deficit impact from the budget bill and tariffs appears to be neutral, according to the CBO [15][16] Bond Market & Interest Rates - The 10-year Treasury yield at 427 basis points is viewed positively, suggesting growth without hyperinflation or uncontrolled deficit [12][15] - Goldman Sachs raises its 2025 Fed rate cut forecast to three from one (September, October, and December) due to smaller-than-expected tariff effects [16] - A September 18th Fed rate cut is anticipated, driven by the expectation that inflation will not spike in June and July [20] Currency & International Markets - The weakness in the dollar is a significant trend, powering investor portfolios forward through international stock exposure [6] - International stocks have been outperforming US stocks, with a 126 percentage points gap through Friday, marking the widest gap in 24 years [8] - Even stripping out the effect of the weak US dollar, international stocks are still up 11% year-to-date, driven by earnings growth in regions like South Korea and Europe [9] Company Specific - General Motors (GM) is being re-evaluated due to potential adjustments to trade rules, with the market possibly anticipating higher earnings and a higher multiple [13]
'Fast Money' traders talk the impact of tariffs on Fed policy
CNBC Television· 2025-06-20 21:46
Okay, we're gonna pass from Steve to Steve. So, Steve Graass, so I'm going to kick it off with you just because the name was top of mind. Nice.Uh, have Steve Leeman on more. Well, listen, two big interviews today. Waller made comments.I just don't know if anybody has any visibility, including Jay Pal on down about where things are going to be given we don't know what oil prices are going to do, inflation's going to do, tariffs are going to do. So, you know, when you look at uh the Treasury Secretary uh Bess ...