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FormFactor (NasdaqGS:FORM) FY Conference Transcript
2026-01-13 21:02
Summary of FormFactor's Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: FormFactor - **Industry**: Semiconductor testing equipment - **Recent Revenue**: Trailing 12-month revenues approximately $750 million, with guidance for Q4 indicating an annual run rate closer to $800 million [6][11] Business Segments - **Probe Cards**: The largest segment, serving as connectors between test equipment and customer wafers, crucial for testing chips before assembly. Increased demand driven by advanced packaging technologies like high bandwidth memory (HBM) [6][7] - **Engineering Systems**: Focused on co-packaged optics (CPO), aiding customers in R&D and addressing power consumption issues in data centers [8][9] Market Position and Strategy - **Key Customers**: Strong relationships with major DRAM manufacturers, particularly SK Hynix, which represents 10% of FormFactor's revenue [19] - **Competitive Advantage**: Unique capabilities in high-speed and RF testing, particularly for HBM applications, allowing for high parallelism and productivity in testing [20][21] - **Future Technology**: Transitioning to hybrid bonding in HBM may require new probing technologies, which FormFactor is prepared for due to its experience with copper probing [28] Growth Drivers - **HBM and DRAM**: Anticipated growth in DRAM, particularly DDR5, with expectations to set records in probe card sales. Current market dynamics suggest a shortage in supply due to clean room constraints [55][56] - **GPU and ASIC Testing**: Increased focus on GPU testing due to long test times and high transistor counts, with FormFactor adapting its technology to meet these demands [31][36] Operational Changes - **Factory Realignment**: Recent consolidation of manufacturing sites in California and the establishment of a new site in Farmers Branch, Texas, aimed at increasing efficiency and capacity [12][14][70] - **Gross Margin Improvement**: Targeting a gross margin of 47% by 2026, with recent improvements from 38.5% to a projected 42% in Q4, driven by operational efficiencies and cost structure optimization [11][66][70] Challenges and Considerations - **Market Dynamics**: The company faces challenges from tariff impacts, which are estimated to be a 200 basis points headwind to gross margins [70] - **NAND Business**: Limited focus on NAND due to its commodity nature and lack of differentiation opportunities [54] Future Outlook - **CPO and Optical Probing**: Continued investment in CPO technologies, with expectations for significant growth in AI applications. Integration of electrical and optical probing technologies is anticipated [42][43] - **Capacity Expansion**: The new Texas facility is expected to ramp up production by the end of 2026, aligning with anticipated market demand [70][71]