Key Points Archer Aviation stock is losing steam after flying high yesterday. Investors were disappointed that speculation about Tesla entering the eVTOL industry didn't pan out. Archer is a popular stock, but the company doesn't generate any revenue yet. 10 stocks we like better than Archer Aviation › Shares of the electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) company Archer Aviation (NYSE: ACHR) are coming in for a hard landing today as investors begin to realize that Tesla's announcement yeste ...

Core Insights - Joby Aviation's stock experienced volatility, initially rising by 11.2% before settling at a 2.3% gain, while the broader market showed mixed results [1][2] - The company announced participation in the White House's eVTOL Integration Pilot Program, which allows mature eVTOL aircraft to operate in select markets without full FAA certification [2][4] - The recent executive order and pilot program are seen as significant advantages for Joby, potentially easing the launch and scaling of its commercial flight operations in the U.S. [4] Company Overview - Joby Aviation has a market capitalization of approximately $12 billion and currently does not generate revenue, categorizing it as a high-risk investment [5] - The company is positioned to attract investors interested in the emerging eVTOL market, despite the inherent volatility [5]

Core Viewpoint - EHang Holdings Ltd is positioned to lead the emerging eVTOL market, outpacing U.S. competitors Joby Aviation and Archer Aviation, with a strong first-mover advantage and profitability prospects [1][2]. Group 1: Company Performance - EHang is already profitable and is expected to capitalize on a projected $100 billion global eVTOL market by 2040 [2]. - The company has achieved breakeven in non-GAAP net profit in 2024, with a forecasted growth rate of 307% CAGR through 2027, reaching approximately 319 million RMB ($44.5 million) [4]. - EHang has a backlog of over 1,000 units, indicating strong demand and potential for future revenue [5]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - EHang has secured all necessary CAAC certifications in China, giving it a significant edge over competitors who are one to four years behind in commercial readiness [3][7]. - Joby and Archer are rated Underweight and Neutral by JPMorgan, respectively, highlighting their struggles in comparison to EHang [4][7]. Group 3: Future Prospects - EHang plans to ramp up production to 300-800 units annually by 2025-2027, indicating a strong growth trajectory [3]. - Near-term catalysts include expanding flight licenses across China and the launch of the VT35 in Q3 2025 [5].

Core Viewpoint - Joby Aviation's stock experienced a significant sell-off, raising questions about potential buying opportunities amidst valuation concerns and regulatory hurdles [1][2][4]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Joby Aviation's share price fell by 9% in a single trading session, reaching a low of 10.8% earlier in the day [1]. - Despite the recent decline, Joby stock has increased approximately 112% throughout 2025's trading [5]. Group 2: Analyst Ratings - H.C. Wainwright downgraded Joby from buy to neutral, citing valuation concerns following recent gains [2]. - Canaccord also downgraded Joby from buy to hold but raised its one-year price target from $12 to $17 per share, with the stock closing at $17.25 [2]. Group 3: Company Fundamentals - Joby Aviation has a market capitalization of around $13.6 billion but has generated minimal revenue, as it has not yet begun commercial sales or operations for its eVTOL craft [4]. - The company faces significant regulatory hurdles in the U.S. for certification, although it may have a more favorable path in markets like Saudi Arabia [4]. Group 4: Market Position and Risks - Joby holds a leading position in the eVTOL market in the U.S. and other major markets, but the commercialization trajectory remains speculative [6]. - The stock may appeal to high-risk tolerance investors seeking exposure to the eVTOL market, but its volatility could deter more risk-averse investors [6].

Core Insights - Archer Aviation is an emerging player in the electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) aircraft market, with significant growth potential and plans for expansion [1][2] - The global eVTOL market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 54.9% until the end of the decade, indicating substantial upside for Archer if it can capitalize on this trend [2] - Archer's stock has more than doubled in the past year, but has only increased by 3% year-to-date, suggesting a cooling off period ahead of its upcoming earnings report [3] Financial Performance - Archer's stock performance post-earnings has been inconsistent, often driven more by news and announcements than by financial results, as the company is currently not generating revenue [5] - The company has burned through $377 million in the past 12 months from operating activities, but has over $1 billion in cash and cash equivalents, indicating it is not at immediate risk of running out of funds [11] - The company aims to produce two aircraft per month by the end of the year and is making progress with its Midnight aircraft's test flights in Abu Dhabi [10] Market Sentiment - There is a high short interest in Archer's stock, around 20%, which could lead to volatility as many investors are betting against the company's success in the eVTOL market [8] - Positive developments regarding production and certification could lead to a short squeeze, potentially driving the stock price higher [10] - Despite the risks, there may be an opportunity for investors with a high risk tolerance to invest in Archer, especially as the eVTOL market remains under the radar [12][13]

Core Viewpoint - Archer Aviation is considered a promising long-term investment despite its current challenges and stock volatility [1][2]. Company Overview - Archer Aviation specializes in building electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) aircraft and went public through a SPAC merger on September 17, 2021 [1]. - The company's stock initially opened at $9.40 but fell to an all-time low of $1.63 by December 27, 2022, due to missed pre-merger estimates and rising interest rates [1]. Business Developments - Archer's business stabilized after delivering its first aircraft and securing new partnerships, with its stock reaching a record high of $13.30 on May 16, 2025, before pulling back about 24% [2]. - The Midnight eVTOL aircraft can carry one pilot and four passengers, travel up to 100 miles on a single charge, and fly at a maximum speed of 150 miles per hour, positioning it as a cost-effective and environmentally friendly alternative to traditional helicopters [4]. Customer Base and Contracts - Major commercial customers include United Airlines (200 aircraft), Future Flight Global (116 aircraft), and Soracle (100 aircraft), along with additional deals with Ethiopian Airlines and Abu Dhabi Aviation [5]. - Archer holds contracts worth up to $142 million with the U.S. Department of Defense and is collaborating with Stellantis to produce branded eVTOLs [6]. Production and Certification - Archer has not yet generated significant revenue, making it difficult to value the stock [8]. - The company is in the fourth phase of the FAA's five-phase certification process and expects to complete certification this year, which is crucial for ramping up deliveries and starting U.S. air taxi services by the end of 2025 [9][10]. Future Production Goals - Archer aims to increase annual production to 10 aircraft in 2025, 48 in 2026, 252 in 2027, and 650 in 2028, supported by Stellantis [11]. - By 2028, Archer's Midnight aircraft is expected to have an early mover's advantage in the air taxi market, having been selected as the official air taxi provider for the Los Angeles Olympics [12]. Revenue Projections - Analysts project Archer's annual revenue to rise from $13 million in 2025 to $437 million in 2027 if production ramps up successfully [13]. - The eVTOL market is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 35.3% from 2024 to 2030 and 27.6% from 2031 to 2035, indicating significant potential for Archer [14]. Investment Outlook - Despite being a risky and speculative stock, Archer is viewed as a great long-term investment opportunity, especially if it can maintain its position in the growing eVTOL market [15].