I either put my money into low cost funds or in single stocks that (I think) are asymmetric bets. My portfolio is roughly 50/50 between the two. I like to write about Macro and Fundamentals, with the (painful) awareness that Momentum and Sentiment are what really matters. That’s the reason I never try to time the market and I only buy stocks if I am willing to hold them for at least 10 years.When it comes to fundamentals, I think everybody knows the market is forward looking, but few truly understand what t ...

I either put my money into low cost funds or in single stocks that (I think) are asymmetric bets. My portfolio is roughly 50/50 between the two. I like to write about Macro and Fundamentals, with the (painful) awareness that Momentum and Sentiment are what really matters. That’s the reason I never try to time the market and I only buy stocks if I am willing to hold them for at least 10 years.When it comes to fundamentals, I think everybody knows the market is forward looking, but few truly understand what t ...

Core Viewpoint - The investment strategy focuses on a balanced portfolio between low-cost funds and individual stocks, emphasizing long-term holding and understanding market dynamics beyond mere financial metrics [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The portfolio is approximately 50% in low-cost funds and 50% in single stocks, reflecting a balanced investment approach [1] - The investment philosophy prioritizes holding stocks for at least 10 years, avoiding market timing [1] - The analysis of stocks goes beyond P/E ratios, focusing on supply and demand dynamics and predicting human behavior [1] Group 2: Market Perspective - The market is viewed as a meeting point of demand and supply, with a strong emphasis on understanding market sentiment and momentum [1] - There is a belief that many investors do not fully grasp the forward-looking nature of the market [1] - The approach to investing requires creativity, curiosity, and a willingness to go against prevailing trends [1] Group 3: Current Investment Focus - The current bullish outlook includes companies such as AMD, PLTR, TSLA, as well as broad US equities and Bitcoin [1]