Monetary Policy - The Fed is dropping rates, historically leading to increased liquidity and risk appetite [1] Market Outlook - The company expresses a bullish outlook on America and the onchain future [1]

Market Overview & Flows - The bull case for crypto, particularly Bitcoin and Ethereum, is primarily driven by significant inflows observed in the past year, expected to continue [1][2] - ETF flows are identified as the primary catalyst for price movements in both Bitcoin and Ether [2][3] - Digital asset treasuries also contribute to inflows, although their consistency depends on the premium at which their stock is trading above their NAV [2] Correlation & Macroeconomic Factors - Bitcoin's correlation with gold has increased, aligning with its perception as "digital gold" due to its limited supply [3][4] - Equity markets and overall risk appetite remain the primary determinants on the macro side for both Bitcoin and Ethereum [4] Risks & Sentiment - The biggest risk to the bullish forecast for Bitcoin and Ether is a change in sentiment driven by the macroeconomy, particularly a downside in equity risk [5][6] - A downturn in equity markets could reduce inflows and negatively impact prices due to the sentiment-driven nature of Bitcoin and Ethereum [6] Price Targets - The 12-month forecast for Bitcoin is $181,000 and for Ether is $5,400 [5]

Market Trends & Investment Opportunities - Equity market's risk appetite surge may favor momentum-fueled assets, potentially halting gold's rally since November 2022 [1] - Gold's appeal as a safe haven diminishes with rising stock prices driven by optimism and capital flows [1] - Equities signaling economic strength and deflation could create headwinds for gold's extended rally fueled by economic uncertainty and inflation fears [1] Risk Factors & Mitigation - Persistent risk-on sentiment in equity markets could pressure gold's long bullish trend [2] - Gold's role as a portfolio diversifier could limit downside risks if uncertainties linger [2] - Long-term demand from central banks and geopolitical concerns could provide a floor to gold's price [2] Monetary Policy Impact - Federal Reserve's continued focus on rate cuts could limit downside risks for gold [2]