Market Expectations - Rate cut probabilities are at 98% with 13 days until the next FOMC meeting [1] Potential Impact on Cryptocurrency - The rate cut could be the catalyst Bitcoin needs to set a new high [1]

The reversal is looking better every single day. When we are looking at the market right now on the daily, it doesn't look all that good because we still have a lot of old coins that are down like XDC, HAR, Onondo, XLM, and many others. However, we are still seeing a big bounce across the board for a few old coins.And we're seeing still Ethereum and Bitcoin trying to bounce back from the lows as well. Uh, currently speaking, Bitcoin hovering around almost 112K still. Ethereum around 4,400.XRP around $2.84% ...

RT Bitcoin Archive (@BTC_Archive)JUST IN: 🇺🇸 92% probability the Fed cuts rates at the next FOMC in 15 days. https://t.co/g8SF7dfJeS ...

24 hours ago, the entire crypto market looked completely different. Today, we could see that the market is bouncing back in a big way. And this is why I tried to stress it as much as possible.Wait until the market opens on Tuesday. And this is exactly why. Because if you were looking at the market all throughout the weekend, you were probably a little bit concerned, maybe even a little bit worried.And that's okay. But the main thing is this is why we wait for the stock market to open to give us clear confir ...

💥BREAKING:92% chance the Fed will cut rates at the next FOMC meeting. https://t.co/OnyTQmqF1o ...

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 92% probability the Fed cuts rates at the next FOMC in 15 days. https://t.co/g8SF7dfJeS ...

Market Overview & Sentiment - The crypto market is showing signs of a bounce, with Ethereum outperforming Bitcoin [1][2] - Altcoin season may be approaching, indicated by rising altcoin dominance and a drop in Bitcoin dominance [2] - Market sentiment is shifting, with increasing negativity potentially signaling a buying opportunity rather than a cycle top [4][5][6] - The Fear and Greed Index is hovering around 40, suggesting a neutral market sentiment and a potential bounce area [2] Key Levels & Technical Analysis - Bitcoin needs to close above $109,000 on the weekly to signal strength and reclaim January highs [3] - Ethereum needs to hold above $4,200 and break above $4,800 to form a bullish structure [3] - XRP needs to flip $3.08 to reclaim bullish structure, with a key support level at $2.76 [3] - The crypto market cap is aiming to break above $4 trillion, a significant milestone [2] Altcoin Season Indicators - The Altcoin Season Index is at 59 out of 100, suggesting increasing altcoin activity [2] - Bitcoin dominance is nearing a key level of interest at 56.94%, further supporting altcoin growth [2] - The altcoin market (excluding the top 10) needs to reclaim 8.87% to confirm strength [2] Future Outlook - The first half of September may be boring or slightly negative, but the latter half, leading into the FOMC meeting, is expected to be bullish [20] - October is anticipated to bring a full market recovery and a return to the upside [20] - Ethereum is expected to make new all-time highs, driving price discovery and benefiting altcoins [10][11][12]

Republican senators likely to realize Trump's goal of confirming Stephen Miran as Fed governor before next FOMC meeting https://t.co/qPR09K8Xxi ...

Market Analysis & Prediction - The report anticipates a significant market correction in September, triggered by the FED's rate cut, unlike the insignificant cut in September 2024 [2] - The analysis points to Bitcoin's bearish chart patterns, including a CME gap around 93 thousand, liquidity concentration in the 90-95 thousand region, and the need to retest the EMA50 weekly, suggesting a correction towards the 93-95 thousand range [3] - The report highlights bearish divergences on daily and weekly Bitcoin charts, reinforcing the expectation of a correction [3] - The author expects ETH to run to 7-8 thousand and Bitcoin to push toward 145-150 thousand after the September correction [5] Retail Investor Behavior - On-chain metrics indicate retail investors typically buy high and sell low, exemplified by their late entry between 110-120 thousand after the June dip from 110 thousand to 98 thousand was largely bought by big players [4] - The market needs to flush out retail investors who entered heavily at high levels, driving prices down to their liquidation zone of 90-95 thousand before the next upward movement [4] - The current market sentiment is described as a "fake bullish sentiment" fueled by euphoria, endless expectations, and blind trust in authority, which is considered a bull trap [4] Trading Strategy - The author has been taking daily profits of 10% from ETH and BTC holdings since August 18th, rolling it into building a short position within a defined "short area" [5] - The author's strategy involves accumulating shorts and distributing spot holdings within the mentioned short area, focusing solely on BTC and excluding ETH or other altcoins [5] - The author's current portfolio allocation is 60% Cash + Shorts and 40% Spot bags, with a daily shift of 10% from Spot into Shorts, using x5 leverage [5]

Monetary Policy Stance - Monetary policy is not on a preset course, decisions are based on data assessment and its implications for the economic outlook and balance of risks [3] - The policy rate is now 100 basis points closer to neutral than a year ago [2] - With policy in restrictive territory, the shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting the policy stance [3] Economic Outlook & Risks - Risks to inflation are tilted to the upside and risks to employment to the downside [1] - The stability of the unemployment rate and other labor market measures allows for careful consideration of policy changes [2]