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Nebius Skyrockets 30% in a Month: Should Investors Buy or Hold Now?
ZACKS· 2026-01-14 16:50
Core Insights - Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) stock has increased by 29.9% in the past month and 97% over the last six months, outperforming the Zacks Computer & Technology sector and the S&P 500 composite [2][8] - The company is aggressively expanding its infrastructure to meet the high demand for AI capabilities, raising its contracted power target to 2.5 gigawatts by 2026 [5][12] Company Performance - NBIS has outperformed major peers such as Microsoft Corporation (MSFT), which fell by 0.9%, while Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) and CoreWeave, Inc. (CRWV) increased by 20.9% and 9%, respectively [3] - The company has secured multibillion-dollar contracts with Microsoft, valued between $17.4 billion and $19.4 billion, and with Meta, up to $3 billion, expected to contribute significantly to revenue starting late in Q4 2025 [6][8] Infrastructure Expansion - Nebius is launching new cloud platforms, including Aether 3.0 and Nebius AI Cloud 3.1, designed to enhance AI capabilities and enterprise security [9][10] - The company is also expanding its global data center footprint, with new facilities planned in the U.K., Israel, and New Jersey, targeting $7–$9 billion in annual recurring revenue (ARR) by 2026 [11][12] Financial Outlook - Nebius has raised its capital expenditure outlook from approximately $2 billion to about $5 billion for 2025, indicating a significant investment in growth [13] - The company is projected to generate between $900 million and $1.1 billion in ARR by the end of 2025 [12] Valuation Metrics - NBIS shares are currently trading at a Price/Book ratio of 5.52X, which is higher than the Internet Software Services industry's average of 3.99X [15]
Is CoreWeave Building a Durable AI Moat With NVIDIA Rubin?
ZACKS· 2026-01-06 14:21
Core Viewpoint - CoreWeave, Inc. (CRWV) is set to integrate NVIDIA's Rubin technology into its AI cloud platform, aiming to be among the first cloud providers to deploy this technology in the second half of 2026, thereby enhancing its position in agentic AI and large-scale inference workloads [1][8] Group 1: Technology Integration and Capabilities - The integration of NVIDIA Rubin will provide customers with a broader performance spectrum, allowing for scaling from training to inference and supporting both experimental and mission-critical AI deployments [2] - CoreWeave's platform is powered by a custom-built software stack that enhances integration timelines while ensuring high performance and reliability, with Mission Control at its core for real-time diagnostics [3] - The Rack Lifecycle Controller, a Kubernetes-native orchestrator, manages power delivery, liquid cooling, and high-speed networking, treating an entire NVIDIA Vera Rubin NVL72 rack as a single programmable entity [4] Group 2: Competitive Positioning - By combining Rubin's capabilities with its software stack, CoreWeave offers large-scale training, high-performance inference, and low-latency AI deployment, positioning itself as a specialized AI cloud provider against competitors like Microsoft and Nebius Group N.V. [5] - Nebius Group is expanding its capacity to meet surging AI demand, targeting $7–$9 billion in annual recurring revenue (ARR) by the end of 2026, while Microsoft plans to increase its AI capacity by over 80% [6][7] Group 3: Financial Performance and Market Position - CoreWeave's shares have increased by 92.1% over the past year, significantly outperforming the Internet Software industry's growth of 0.8% [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CoreWeave's earnings has been revised upward over the past 60 days, indicating positive market sentiment [13]
Can CoreWeave Maintain More Than 60% EBITDA Margins Amid Rising CapEx?
ZACKS· 2025-12-30 16:06
Core Insights - CoreWeave, Inc. (CRWV) reported a third-quarter 2025 adjusted EBITDA of $838.1 million, significantly up from $378.8 million in the same quarter last year, with EBITDA margins exceeding 60% [1][9] - The company benefits from long-term customer agreements and a specialized infrastructure model optimized for AI workloads, allowing for higher returns per deployed GPU compared to traditional cloud providers [2][9] - CoreWeave's capital expenditures are projected to be between $12 billion and $14 billion for 2025, a reduction from earlier estimates, with expectations for 2026 expenditures to more than double 2025 levels [6] Growth Drivers - Demand from AI labs, enterprise customers, and hyperscale partners remains strong, driven by a shortage of high-performance compute capacity [5] - CoreWeave has secured significant multi-year agreements, including contracts worth up to $14.2 billion with Meta and $22.4 billion with OpenAI, marking its transition to a global AI infrastructure leader [5] - The company’s backlog and remaining performance obligations provide strong visibility into future revenue and profitability [4] Competitive Landscape - Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) is also focused on AI infrastructure, recently announcing a $3 billion agreement with Meta, with revenue expected to ramp up in 2026 [7] - Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) plans to increase its AI capacity by over 80% in 2025 and is investing heavily in data centers, including the launch of the world's most powerful AI data center [8][10] Market Performance - CoreWeave's shares have increased by 88% over the past year, outperforming the Internet Software industry's growth of 9.6% [11] - The company's shares are trading at a Price/Book ratio of 9.44X, significantly higher than the industry average of 6.07X [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CoreWeave's earnings for 2025 has been revised upward over the past 60 days [13]
Do Nebius Mega Deals Increase Customer Concentration Risk?
ZACKS· 2025-12-22 15:56
Core Insights - Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) has established itself as a significant player in the AI cloud and infrastructure market, driven by high demand for GPU capacity and long-term contracts with major tech companies [1][8] - The company signed two major contracts: one with Microsoft valued between $17.4 billion and $19.4 billion, and another with Meta worth approximately $3 billion over five years [1][8] Demand and Capacity - Demand for Nebius' services continues to exceed supply, with all available capacity sold out each quarter [2] - New capacity is immediately absorbed by customers, indicating strong market demand [2] - Nebius aims to expand to 2.5 gigawatts of contracted power and up to 1 gigawatt of connected capacity by the end of 2026 [2] Revenue Projections - The company expects to achieve an annualized run-rate revenue of $7 billion to $9 billion by the end of 2026, with over half of this target already booked [2] - However, Nebius has revised its full-year revenue outlook to a range of $500 million to $550 million, down from a previous estimate of $450 million to $630 million [3] Capital Expenditure and Financial Outlook - Nebius has increased its capital expenditure guidance for 2025 from approximately $2 billion to around $5 billion [4] - The elevated capital expenditure levels present a risk if revenue growth does not keep pace with capital intensity [4] Customer Concentration Risk - The contracts with Microsoft and Meta increase customer concentration risk, as a significant portion of future revenue growth is expected from these two clients starting in 2026 [5] - The reliance on a small number of large customers could significantly impact Nebius' financial results [5] Competitive Landscape - CoreWeave, Inc. (CRWV) reported a revenue backlog of $55.6 billion, up 271% year over year, driven by long-term agreements with major customers [6] - Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) is expanding its cloud infrastructure and partnerships, benefiting from collaborations with NVIDIA [7] Stock Performance and Valuation - Nebius shares have increased by 212.3% over the past year, outperforming the Internet – Software and Services industry, which grew by 30.7% [9] - The company's valuation appears overvalued, with a Price/Book ratio of 4.68X compared to the industry average of 3.83X [10]
Nebius Stock Up 74% in Six Months: Should Investors Hold or Offload?
ZACKS· 2025-12-15 16:55
Core Insights - Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) stock has increased by 73.8% over the past six months, significantly outperforming the Zacks Computer & Technology sector and the Zacks Internet Software Services industry, which grew by 22.7% and 2.1% respectively [1][7] - The company is facing challenges such as macroeconomic uncertainty, rising operating costs, and substantial capital expenditures, with a notable increase in sales, general, and administrative expenses by 87% year over year in Q3 2025 [3][4] - Nebius has tightened its full-year revenue guidance to $500–$550 million, anticipating results near the midpoint due to delays in capacity expansion [5] Company Challenges - The company is experiencing elevated capital expenditure levels, increasing its guidance from around $2 billion to approximately $5 billion for full-year 2025, which poses a risk if revenue growth does not keep pace [3][4] - Execution risks are present as Nebius scales aggressively with multiple data centers, and while adjusted EBITDA is expected to turn slightly positive by year-end 2025, it will remain negative for the full year [5][16] - Nebius faces stiff competition from major players like Microsoft, Amazon, and CoreWeave, with Microsoft’s capital spending raising concerns about return on investment [8][9] Company Valuation - Nebius appears overvalued with a Value Score of F, and its shares are trading at a Price/Book ratio of 4.59X, higher than the industry average of 3.84X [10][11] Company Tailwinds - Nebius operates in a supply-constrained AI infrastructure market, targeting 2.5 gigawatts of contracted power by 2026, up from an earlier projection of 1 gigawatt [12] - The company has secured significant hyperscale agreements, including a $3 billion contract with Meta and a $17.4–$19.4 billion deal with Microsoft, indicating strong demand visibility [13] - Nebius plans to expand its data centers in the UK, Israel, and New Jersey, aiming for $7–$9 billion in annual recurring revenue (ARR) by 2026, with a target of $900 million-$1.1 billion in ARR by the end of 2025 [15] Investment Considerations - Despite long-term growth potential from large contracts and rapid expansion, near-term risks such as stretched valuation, execution challenges, and rising costs may impact performance [16] - Existing investors may consider exiting positions to mitigate potential downside, while prospective investors might remain cautious [17]
Will Mission Control's Upgrades Buoy CRWV's Position in Enterprise AI?
ZACKS· 2025-12-10 14:11
Core Insights - CoreWeave, Inc. (CRWV) is enhancing its position in the high-performance AI cloud market through the expansion of its Mission Control platform, which is designed for enterprise tech teams to manage large-scale AI workloads [1][2] - The latest updates to Mission Control include features such as Telemetry Relay, GPU Straggler Detection, and a new Mission Control Agent, which improve observability, troubleshooting, and compliance for enterprise applications [2][3] Mission Control Enhancements - Mission Control is integral to managing GPU fleets and system performance, with the new update providing tools for better visibility and reliability in AI workloads [2] - Telemetry Relay allows for direct streaming of audit and access logs into customer systems, while GPU Straggler Detection identifies performance bottlenecks in distributed training [2] - The Mission Control Agent offers real-time insights and actionable guidance, aiding teams in diagnosing issues quickly [3] Enterprise Adoption and Customer Base - CoreWeave is gaining traction with significant enterprise clients, including CrowdStrike for AI cybersecurity and Rakuten for visual language models [3] - The company has also expanded its customer base to include a top software design platform and a large U.S. telecommunications company [3] Supply Constraints and Revenue Outlook - CoreWeave is currently facing supply constraints, with demand exceeding capacity, leading to data-center delivery delays [4] - As a result, management has revised its 2025 revenue forecast to $5.05–$5.15 billion from $5.15–$5.35 billion, and adjusted operating income expectations to $690–$720 million from $800–$830 million [4] Competitive Landscape - Major competitors like Microsoft are expanding their AI capabilities significantly, with plans to increase AI capacity by over 80% in 2025 and expecting Azure revenue growth of about 37% [5] - Nebius Group N.V. is also targeting substantial growth, aiming for $7–$9 billion in annual recurring revenue by 2026, despite facing similar supply constraints [6] Stock Performance and Valuation - CoreWeave's shares have increased by 126.6% over the past year, significantly outperforming the Internet Software industry, which grew by only 2.6% [9] - The current Price/Book ratio for CRWV is 11.42X, notably higher than the industry average of 5.99X [10]
Can CRWV Maintain its Enterprise Upswing as Supply Constraints Tighten?
ZACKS· 2025-11-17 14:42
Core Insights - CoreWeave, Inc. (CRWV) is positioned to benefit from increasing enterprise adoption driven by demand in cloud, AI, and data-centric workloads, with a tripling of clients generating over $100 million in annual revenue [1][8] Company Developments - A global partnership between CrowdStrike (CRWD) and CoreWeave was announced to create a secure AI cloud foundation, integrating CRWV's AI Cloud with CrowdStrike's security platform [2] - CoreWeave is expanding into the public sector with the launch of CoreWeave Federal, already utilized by NASA for advanced scientific work, enhancing the company's enterprise readiness [3][8] Financial Outlook - CoreWeave has revised its 2025 revenue expectations to $5.05–$5.15 billion, down from $5.15–$5.35 billion, and adjusted operating income to $690–$720 million, below the previous range of $800–$830 million due to supply chain delays [4][8] Competitive Landscape - CoreWeave faces competition from major tech companies like Microsoft (MSFT) and emerging players like Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS), both of which are also experiencing supply constraints amid high demand for AI services [5][6][7] Market Performance - CoreWeave's shares have increased by 93.4% over the past year, significantly outperforming the Internet Software industry's growth of 10% [10] - The company's shares are trading at a Price/Book ratio of 9.75X, higher than the industry average of 5.46X [12]
Nebius Shares Fall Post Q3 Earnings: Should Investors Hold or Sell?
ZACKS· 2025-11-14 14:41
Core Insights - Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) experienced a significant decline in share price following its third-quarter 2025 results, with shares down 20.4% since the earnings report on November 7, 2025 [1][8] - The company's stock has dropped approximately 30% over the past month, underperforming the Zacks Internet Software Services industry's decline of 8.8% [2] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Nebius reported an adjusted net loss of $100.4 million, which is 153% wider than the loss of $39.7 million from the previous year [4] - Revenues surged 355% year over year to $146.1 million, with the core infrastructure segment growing 400% [4] - Adjusted EBITDA loss was $5.2 million, an improvement from the $45.9 million loss in the prior-year quarter [5] - Total operating costs increased by 145% to $276.3 million, with a net loss from operations of $119.6 million compared to a loss of $43.6 million a year ago [5] Operational Challenges - Nebius faces macroeconomic uncertainties, rising expenses, and heavy capital spending, with capital expenditure guidance raised from approximately $2 billion to around $5 billion for 2025 [6][8] - Structural operational challenges include difficulties in securing sufficient power and ongoing supply-chain constraints, which limit the company's ability to serve customers effectively [9] - The company has tightened its full-year revenue outlook to a range of $500 million to $550 million, down from previous guidance of $450 million to $630 million [10] Competitive Landscape - Nebius is competing with major players like Microsoft, Amazon, and CoreWeave, which are rapidly expanding their AI infrastructure [11][12][13] - The company is consistently "sold out" of capacity, risking lost business and delayed onboarding until new capacity comes online in late 2025 and 2026 [9] Long-Term Growth Potential - Despite near-term challenges, Nebius is committed to strengthening its core AI cloud business, with significant multi-billion-dollar agreements with Microsoft and Meta expected to contribute to revenue starting late in the current quarter [19] - The company plans to scale its data centers in various regions and aims for 2.5 GW of contracted power by 2026 [20] - Nebius is also enhancing its enterprise portfolio with new offerings, targeting an annual run-rate revenue of $900 million to $1.1 billion by the end of 2025 [21]
Will CoreWeave's Heavy Debt Load Disrupt Its Growth Momentum?
ZACKS· 2025-11-13 17:46
Core Insights - CoreWeave, Inc. (CRWV) reported a 134% year-over-year revenue increase to $1.4 billion in Q3 2025, exceeding management's guidance and Zacks Consensus Estimate by 6.8% [1][8] - The company raised $14 billion in debt and equity year-to-date to fund the rapid expansion of its GPU-based data centers, crucial for meeting rising AI compute demand [2][8] - Despite revenue growth, CRWV faces financial strain due to rising interest expenses, which surged to $311 million in Q3 compared to $104 million a year ago, with projections for 2025 interest expenses between $1.21 billion and $1.25 billion [3][8] Financial Performance - CRWV's adjusted net loss for Q3 was $41 million, contrasting with breakeven adjusted net income from the previous year [3] - The company's shares have declined by 36.3% over the past month, while the Internet Software industry has seen a decline of 6.8% [9] Capital Structure and Strategy - Management is working to strengthen the capital structure and lower the cost of capital by amending the DDTL 2.0 Facility, increasing drawable capacity by over $400 million [4] - The company is targeting over 850 MW of active power by year-end, positioning itself as a leading provider for large-scale AI workloads [2] Competitive Landscape - Competitors like Nebius (NBIS) and Microsoft (MSFT) are also expanding aggressively, with Nebius reporting a 355% revenue increase in Q3 and plans for significant capacity growth [5][7] - Microsoft plans to increase its AI capacity by over 80% this fiscal year and has substantial financial resources, including $102 billion in cash and equivalents [8]
CoreWeave Slides Post Q3 Earnings: Is It Time to Buy the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-11-12 17:21
Core Insights - CoreWeave, Inc. (CRWV) experienced a significant decline in share price following its Q3 2025 results, with a drop of 16.3% in the last session and a total decline of 37.6% over the past month, underperforming the Zacks Internet-Software Market's loss of 6.8% [1][2] Financial Performance - CRWV reported record revenues of $1.4 billion in Q3, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 6.8% and reflecting a year-over-year increase of 134% driven by high demand for AI compute capacity [3][7] - The revenue backlog reached $55.6 billion, nearly doubling quarter over quarter, indicating strong future revenue visibility [3][7] - Total operating expenses rose to $1.3 billion from $466.8 million in the previous year, with operating income decreasing to $51.9 million from $117.1 million year-over-year [4] Guidance and Capital Expenditure - The company lowered its revenue guidance for full-year 2025 to between $5.05 billion and $5.15 billion, down from the previous estimate of $5.15 billion to $5.35 billion [8] - Adjusted operating income is now forecasted to be between $690 million and $720 million, reduced from an earlier expectation of $800 million to $830 million [9] - Capital expenditures (capex) are estimated to be between $12 billion and $14 billion, significantly lower than the previous projection of $20 billion to $23 billion [10] Competitive Landscape and Challenges - CoreWeave faces intense competition in the AI cloud infrastructure market from major players like Amazon and Microsoft, as well as emerging companies like Nebius [5][10] - The company has raised $14 billion in debt and equity year-to-date, with interest expenses increasing to $311 million compared to $104 million a year ago [11] Growth Potential and Strategic Initiatives - CoreWeave's GPU-based cloud services are positioned well within the AI infrastructure boom, supported by a substantial backlog and diversified customer base [12][17] - The company is expanding its infrastructure with eight new data centers in the U.S. and further expansions planned in Europe [13][14] - Strategic partnerships with NVIDIA, OpenAI, and Meta Platforms enhance its market position and validate its infrastructure capabilities [16][17] Valuation and Investment Outlook - Despite concerns over high capital expenditures and rising interest costs, CoreWeave's long-term growth potential remains strong, supported by its solid backlog and strategic partnerships [22][23] - The current dip in CRWV stock is viewed as an attractive buying opportunity, with the company holding a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) [23]