Las Vegas Sands (LVS) is expected to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on lower revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended March 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but how the actual results compare to these estimates is a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price.The earnings report might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if they miss, the stoc ...

Core Insights - Canterbury Park Holding Corporation (CPHC) experienced a 6.9% decline in share price following the release of its fourth-quarter 2024 results, compared to a 2.3% decline in the S&P 500 index during the same period [1] Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, CPHC reported a diluted loss per share of $0.25, down from earnings of $0.27 in the same quarter of the previous year [2] - Net revenues for Q4 2024 were $11.98 million, a decrease of 4.4% from $12.53 million in Q4 2023 [2] - Adjusted EBITDA fell 34.9% year over year to $1.34 million from $2.05 million [2] - For the full year 2024, net revenues were nearly flat at $61.56 million compared to $61.44 million in 2023, but net income plummeted 80% to $2.11 million from $10.56 million [3] - Diluted EPS for the year declined to $0.42 from $2.13, while adjusted EBITDA decreased by 2% to $10.23 million from $10.45 million [3] Business Segments - Casino revenues, the largest segment, declined 4.9% year over year to $8.99 million in Q4 2024, attributed to increased market competition [4] - Pari-mutuel revenues fell 9.5% year over year to $1.13 million due to a lower simulcasting handle [4] - Food & Beverage and Other revenue categories saw modest increases of 1.7% and 2%, respectively [4] Operating Expenses - Operating expenses rose slightly to $12.08 million from $11.94 million in the prior-year period, driven by higher salaries and benefits and increased depreciation expenses [5] - These increases were partially offset by lower advertising and marketing expenses [5] Equity Investments - CPHC recorded a loss from equity investment of $2.1 million in Q4 2024, compared to a gain of $0.939 million in the prior-year quarter [6] Management Strategy - Management acknowledged the seasonally slow nature of Q4 and highlighted efforts to mitigate competitive pressures in casino operations [7] - CEO Randy Sampson outlined initiatives to enhance guest service and expand marketing efforts to attract new patrons [7] - The company introduced table game offerings and emphasized growth in its non-gaming entertainment business, which had a record number of events in 2024 [7] - Cost-control strategies were stressed to drive operating efficiencies while maintaining cash flow generation [8] Capital Expenditure Outlook - CPHC expects capital expenditure to decline year over year in 2025 and 2026, following the completion of its tax increment financing infrastructure and barn redevelopment projects [8] Real Estate Developments - The Canterbury Commons mixed-use real estate project continues to expand, featuring nearly 1,000 residential units, multiple restaurants, breweries, entertainment venues, and 57,000 square feet of office space [9] - Recent updates include an 87% leasing rate for Phase II of The Doran Group's Triple Crown Residences and the completion of repairs for Phase I [10] - 80% of the 147-unit senior housing complex, The Omry at Canterbury, has been leased [10] Additional Developments - CPHC continues to advocate for potential economic benefits if online sports betting is approved in Minnesota, supported by a strong balance sheet with over $15 million in unrestricted cash and short-term investments [12] - The company is unlocking value from its real estate holdings through new partnerships and ongoing discussions with potential developers for the remaining 50 acres of Canterbury Commons [13]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The consolidated revenue for Q4 2024 was $137.8 million, a decrease of 4% from the previous year's fourth quarter. Adjusted EBITDA was $21.1 million, down 17% [4][20]. - U.S. operations saw a revenue decline of 3% and an EBITDA decrease of 8% [4]. Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The new land-based facility in Caruthersville, Missouri, opened on November 1, 2024, and has since seen revenue and EBITDA increase by 2732% respectively in the four months following its opening [5][6]. - The Central Casino Hotel Cape Girardeau reported an 11% increase in revenue and a 7% increase in EBITDA, driven by the new hotel and solid food and beverage sales [9][10]. - In Colorado, carded revenue grew by 12%, while uncarded revenue decreased by 30%, leading to an overall revenue decline of 7% [12]. Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The East segment, including properties in West Virginia and Maryland, experienced a revenue decline of 7% and an EBITDA drop of 29% [14]. - The West segment, particularly the Nugget Casino Resort in Nevada, saw a 10% decline in gaming revenue, attributed to low slot hold [16]. Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on operational discipline and efficiency improvements, with a clear path to higher EBITDA for 2025 and beyond [22][23]. - There is an ongoing consideration to divest non-U.S. properties, particularly in Poland and Canada, as part of a strategic focus on North American assets [19][72]. Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the low-end consumer segment remains weak due to macroeconomic factors, impacting overall performance [5][23]. - The company anticipates significant EBITDA and cash flow improvements in 2025, driven by recent growth capital initiatives and a reduction in capital expenditures [24][22]. Other Important Information - The company has no debt maturities until 2029 and has completed its major capital expenditure cycle, which should lead to improved leverage ratios [21][20]. - The company plans to spend $4 million on growth projects and $14 million on maintenance CapEx in 2025, significantly lower than previous years [22]. Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the main driver of the lower estimates for 2025? - Management indicated that the low-end consumer weakness is the primary concern, while mid and upper tiers are performing well [27]. Question: What are the thoughts on the Nugget's performance and conference pipeline? - Management noted that the decline in casino revenue is correlated with hotel revenue and expressed optimism for future conference business [31][32]. Question: Will the suspension of gaming machine purchases in Alberta impact operations? - Management does not expect a meaningful negative impact from the suspension, estimating only a 0.5% to 1% effect [34]. Question: What is the strategy for online gaming and sports betting? - The company plans to partner with third parties for online gaming and sports betting, focusing on revenue sharing models [62]. Question: Is there a consideration for insider buying or stock buybacks? - Management expressed interest in buybacks but noted restrictions due to insider laws and blackout periods [83].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The consolidated revenue for Q4 2024 was $137.8 million, a decrease of 4% from the previous year's Q4. Adjusted EBITDA was $21.1 million, down 17% [4] - U.S. operations saw a revenue decline of 3% and an EBITDA decrease of 8% [4] - The net debt to EBITDA ratio at the end of Q4 was 5.5 times, and 6.9 times on a lease-adjusted basis [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The new land-based facility in Caruthersville, Missouri, opened on November 1, 2024, with revenue and EBITDA up 2732% in the four months since opening, exceeding initial expectations [5][6] - The Central Casino Hotel Cape Girardeau reported an 11% increase in revenue and a 7% increase in EBITDA, driven by the new hotel and solid food and beverage sales [9] - The East segment, including Mountaineer Casino and Rocky Gap Casino Resort, experienced a revenue decline of 7% and EBITDA down 29% [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Colorado, carded revenue grew by 12%, while uncarded revenue decreased by 30%, leading to an overall revenue decline of 7% [13] - The Nugget Casino Resort in Nevada saw a 10% decline in gaming revenue, impacted by low slot hold, although local credit play increased by 5% [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on operational discipline and efficiency improvements, with a clear path to higher EBITDA for 2025 and beyond [23] - There are plans to finalize partnership agreements for sports betting in Missouri, expected to deliver incremental high-margin EBITDA [12] - The company is considering divesting non-U.S. properties, particularly in Poland and Canada, as part of its strategic focus on North American assets [19][74] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the low-end consumer segment remains weak due to macroeconomic factors, impacting overall performance [5][27] - The company anticipates significant EBITDA and cash flow improvements in 2025, driven by recent growth capital initiatives [24] - Management expressed caution regarding capital allocation due to ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty, emphasizing the need to refinance or pay down high-rate debt [50] Other Important Information - The company has no significant capital expenditures planned for 2025, expecting to spend only $4 million on growth projects and $14 million on maintenance CapEx [22] - The company has a strong cash position with no debt maturities until 2029, allowing for flexibility in growth initiatives [21] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the main driver of the lower estimates for 2025? - Management indicated that the primary driver is the weakness in the low-end consumer segment, which significantly impacts certain properties [27] Question: How is the conference pipeline building for the Nugget? - Management noted that while large conferences are difficult to secure in the short term, they are successfully attracting smaller events and local customers [32] Question: What impact will the Alberta Gaming Commission's suspension of gaming machine purchases have? - Management does not expect a meaningful negative impact, estimating it to be around 0.5% to 1% [35] Question: Can you elaborate on the performance of the Caruthersville property? - Management confirmed that the property has exceeded expectations, particularly in reaching customers from further distances [46] Question: What is the strategy for online gaming and sports betting? - The company plans to partner with third parties for online gaming and sports betting, providing licenses and receiving revenue percentages [63] Question: Is there a consideration for insider buying or stock buybacks? - Management expressed interest in buybacks but noted restrictions due to insider laws and blackout periods [83]

Core Insights - Full House Resorts, Inc. reported a consolidated revenue increase of 21.5% to $73.0 million in Q4 2024, compared to $60.0 million in the prior year [2] - The company experienced a net loss of $12.3 million in Q4 2024, slightly improved from a net loss of $12.5 million in Q4 2023 [2] - For the full year 2024, revenues reached $292.1 million, a 21.2% increase from $241.1 million in 2023, with a net loss of $40.7 million [3] Revenue Growth - American Place Casino's revenues rose 27.5% in Q4 2024 and 42.4% for the full year compared to 2023 [5] - Chamonix Casino Hotel's revenues increased significantly, with a 161.1% rise in Q4 and a 159.9% increase for the full year [3][8] - The Midwest & South segment reported revenues of $55.0 million in Q4 2024, a 12.1% increase from $49.1 million in the prior year [11] Operational Performance - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2024 was $10.4 million, a 42.0% increase from $7.3 million in Q4 2023, reflecting strong growth at American Place [2] - The full year Adjusted EBITDA remained flat at $48.6 million, impacted by construction disruptions and elevated costs at Colorado operations [3] - The company is focusing on profitability and sustainable growth, particularly in Colorado, with new management hires to enhance operations [9][10] Future Outlook - The company plans to break ground on the permanent American Place casino later in 2025, with completion expected by August 2027 [6] - Marketing efforts for Chamonix are anticipated to ramp up in 2025, aiming to capture a larger market share [8][10] - The company is evaluating financing options for the permanent facility, including potential refinancing of existing debt [16]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2024, the company generated over $3.9 billion in revenues, setting a full-year record, and achieved EBITDAR of nearly $1.4 billion with property-level operating margins exceeding 40% [6][22] - The fourth quarter revenues surpassed $1 billion for the first time, with EBITDAR increasing to nearly $380 million [7][22] - The online segment generated $108 million in EBITDAR for the full year, including $32 million in non-recurring market access fees [27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Las Vegas Local segment delivered strong year-over-year performance, with operating margins exceeding 50% [9] - The Downtown Las Vegas segment showed consistent customer trends with growth in play from core customers and stable retail customer play [10] - The online segment contributed significantly to company-wide growth, with expectations to generate approximately $80 million to $85 million in 2025 [27][14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Southern Nevada's economy remains strong, with employment growth for 45 consecutive months and average weekly wages increasing nearly 6% [11] - Total visitation to Las Vegas grew more than 2% over the prior year, reaching nearly 42 million visitors in 2024 [11] - Airport traffic exceeded 58 million passengers last year, with airline capacity expected to increase by another 3% [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on strategic growth investments, including ongoing renovations and expansions at various properties [16][20] - A significant $750 million resort development project in Norfolk, Virginia, is set to begin shortly, diversifying the company's portfolio [20][21] - The company plans to maintain a balanced approach to capital allocation, returning capital to shareholders while investing in growth opportunities [22][31] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the long-term strength of the Southern Nevada economy as they enter 2025 [12] - The company expects stability to return to the Orleans and Gold Coast properties in the second half of 2025 [32] - Management noted that while there are expense pressures, they are moderating, and they can manage margins effectively [42][44] Other Important Information - The company repurchased $686 million in stock in 2024, with a commitment to continue repurchasing $100 million per quarter in 2025 [21][31] - The company celebrated its 50th anniversary in 2024, reflecting on its growth from a single property to one of the largest gaming companies in the U.S. [23][24] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on core vs. retail customers for 2025 - Management expects core customers to continue growing, while retail customers outside Las Vegas have been stable, with potential for positive growth in the future [35][36] Question: Flow-through and margin expectations for 2025 - Management anticipates expense pressures to moderate and expects to manage margins effectively, with property-level margins consistently above 40% [41][44] Question: Impact of legislative changes on business - Management indicated that any reduction in taxes on tips or overtime pay could support business growth, but specific financial impacts are uncertain [92] Question: Capital allocation strategy regarding M&A - The company prefers to purchase HoldCo over OpCo but remains flexible with leverage for the right acquisition, maintaining a disciplined approach to M&A [78][80] Question: Performance of the Treasure Chest property - The company reported that Q4 performance from Treasure Chest was better than Q3, indicating strong ongoing performance [106]