智通财经7月7日电，量子计算机通往实用之路的一大障碍是纠正计算中产生的错误，人们需借助传统计 算机对量子计算进行模拟验证，但这一任务极其复杂。瑞典查尔姆斯理工大学、意大利米兰大学、西班 牙格拉纳达大学和日本东京大学的研究团队首次提出了一种新方法，能够模拟特定类型的容错量子计 算，攻克了该领域长期存在的一项技术难题。相关论文发表于最新一期《物理评论快报》杂志。 新方法成功模拟特定容错量子计算 ...

Industry Overview - Quantum computing is an emerging investment sector with competition from both tech giants and start-ups, but monetization is still a few years away [1] - The current investment climate presents a solid opportunity for investors to enter the quantum computing market, particularly if they choose the right companies [2] Company Analysis: Alphabet - Alphabet, the parent company of Google, is heavily investing in quantum computing research, highlighted by the development of its Willow chip, which solved complex problems efficiently [4] - Successful quantum computing technologies could significantly enhance Alphabet's AI capabilities, potentially leading to increased cash flows in its core business [5] - Despite its innovations, Alphabet is undervalued in the market, trading at 18.5 times forward earnings, indicating that investors are primarily focused on its Google Search business rather than its quantum computing potential [6][8] Company Analysis: IonQ - IonQ represents a more aggressive investment in quantum computing, relying solely on contracts for revenue, with high risks associated with its business model [9][10] - The CEO of IonQ projects profitability and nearly $1 billion in annual sales by 2030, indicating a potential for significant returns if the timeline is met [11] - IonQ's unique approach, including partnerships with the U.S. Air Force Research Laboratory and its all-to-all qubit connectivity, positions it as a strong contender among start-ups [12] Investment Strategy - A recommended investment strategy involves significant exposure to Alphabet for its higher success probability, while maintaining a smaller investment in IonQ as a high-risk, high-reward opportunity [13]

Core Viewpoint - Quantum computing stocks experienced significant activity, highlighted by a successful stock offering and positive analyst coverage across several companies in the sector [1] Group 1: D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) - D-Wave Quantum, Inc. completed a $400 million common stock offering at an average price of $15.18 per share [2] - Analyst Troy Jensen from Cantor Fitzgerald initiated coverage with an Overweight rating and a $20 price target, indicating optimism about the company's future [2][3] - Jensen believes D-Wave is in the early stages of commercializing its technology and could capture 15% of the quantum hardware, software, and services market by 2035 [3] Group 2: Rigetti Computing (RGTI) - Rigetti Computing, Inc. also received an Overweight rating from Cantor Fitzgerald, with a bullish price target of $15 [4] - The company's share price has surged approximately 1,008% over the past 52 weeks, recovering from challenging years in 2022 and 2023 [4] - Rigetti's partnership with Quanta Computer is expected to enhance the development and commercialization of superconducting quantum computing [5] Group 3: IonQ (IONQ) - IonQ, Inc. shares increased by about 11% this week, receiving a Buy rating and a $45 price forecast from Cantor Fitzgerald [6] - The company reported a strong financial position, ending Q1 2025 with nearly $700 million in cash after a $373 million equity raise [6] Group 4: Quantum Computing, Inc. (QUBT) - Quantum Computing, Inc. received a Neutral rating from Cantor Fitzgerald with a $15 price target, which is below the current stock price of $20 [7] - Despite the Neutral rating, QUBT stock has shown strong performance, gaining 67.5% over the past month and over 4,600% in the past year [7]

Core Insights - The article introduces MW Valuations as a new contributing analyst to Seeking Alpha, encouraging others to share investment ideas for publication and potential earnings [1] Group 1 - The analyst specializes in intrinsic valuation of early-stage and high-growth tech companies, utilizing methods such as DCF, relative comps, and real options analysis [2] - Current focus is on the quantum computing sector, with in-depth research published on companies like D-Wave (QBTS) [2] - The analyst expresses a passion for integrating advanced technology with disciplined equity analysis [2]

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street is increasingly optimistic about Rigetti Computing, a leader in quantum computing, as recent strategic and financial moves have improved its outlook significantly [2][3][11] Financial Health - Rigetti completed a $350 million stock offering in June 2025, enhancing its cash position to approximately $575 million with no debt [4][11] - This financial strength provides a long operational runway, allowing the company to focus on technology development without immediate fundraising pressures [5][13] Analyst Ratings - Cantor Fitzgerald initiated coverage on Rigetti with an Overweight rating and a price target of $15.00, joining at least five other firms with a unified Buy rating [2][3] - The average 12-month price target from analysts is $14.20, indicating potential upside from the current price [3] Strategic Partnerships - Rigetti is building a robust ecosystem of partnerships, including a foundational manufacturing collaboration with Quanta Computer to tackle complex quantum systems [6] - The company is involved in significant projects like the DARPA Quantum Benchmarking initiative and is leading efforts to advance quantum error correction in the UK [7][8] Market Position - Despite a short interest of approximately 20%, indicating some bearish sentiment, the strong analyst consensus and institutional investment inflows counter this view [9][10] - Rigetti's strategic ecosystem and partnerships provide a credible roadmap for commercialization, positioning the company favorably for long-term success [10][11]

Core Insights - Rigetti Computing (RGTI) heavily relies on U.S. government contracts to fund and validate its quantum technologies, including a $1.5 million contract with the Air Force Research Lab and a $3.9 million contract with DARPA [1][6] - The company's dependence on public sector revenue raises concerns about scalability and commercial maturity, as government projects often have long procurement cycles and may not lead to high-margin contracts [2][6] - Rigetti's stock has decreased by 14.3% year-to-date, contrasting with the industry's growth of 14.7%, and it trades at a high price-to-book ratio of 18.12, indicating weak value metrics [5][8] Government Contracts and Partnerships - Rigetti has secured multiple government contracts, including a multi-year project with the Department of Energy's Superconducting Quantum Materials and Systems Center, which reinforces its status as a trusted partner in early-stage quantum research [1] - The company delivered its 84-qubit Ankaa-1 system to the DoE's Quantum Systems Accelerator, showcasing its technological capabilities [1] Comparison with Peers - IonQ has also received significant government support, including a $13.4 million contract, while successfully converting private sector pilots into active engagements, indicating a more balanced revenue stream [3] - D-Wave collaborates with various agencies and has launched pilot projects in enterprise applications, positioning itself for broader revenue flexibility compared to Rigetti [4] Financial Performance and Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Rigetti's 2025 earnings suggests an 86.1% rise from the previous year, although the company still faces challenges in achieving commercial uptake [9][10] - Current estimates indicate negative earnings per share for the upcoming quarters, with a year-over-year growth estimate of 14.29% for the current quarter [10]

Core Insights - Rigetti Computing (NASDAQ: RGTI) has seen a significant stock price increase of 15% on July 2, contributing to a nearly 70% rise over the past four months, following Cantor Fitzgerald's initiation of coverage with an Overweight rating and a $15 price target, indicating a potential further increase of about 19% from current prices [2][3] Company Overview - Rigetti specializes in quantum computing, developing superconducting quantum processors and offering cloud-based Quantum Computing as a Service (QCaaS) [4] - The company is advancing its technology with the Ankaa-3, an 84-qubit system, and aims to transition to multi-chip modules, targeting machines with over 100 qubits and the 336-Qubit Lyra by 2026 [4] Financial Performance - Despite technological advancements, Rigetti is still in the research and development phase, with CEO Subodh Kulkarni stating that commercial demand is expected to be 3–5 years away, and widespread adoption could take up to a decade [5] - The company reported a 50% year-over-year revenue decline in Q1 2025, with revenue at $1.5 million and operating losses of $21.6 million [6] Competitive Landscape - Rigetti's end-to-end approach provides flexibility in chip design and cloud access, enhancing its competitive position against rivals like IBM, IonQ, and Google [7] - The partnership with Quanta is expected to bolster commercialization potential, although competition is intensifying with advancements from Google's Willow chip and Amazon's Quantum Embark program [7] Investment Considerations - Rigetti is well-funded with over $575 million in cash, supported by a $350 million equity capital raise and a $250 million partnership with Quanta, and has no debt [6] - The company's valuation is notably high, trading at 478 times the expected sales for 2025, indicating a speculative investment environment [6][8]

Core Insights - D-Wave Quantum Inc. is experiencing significant financial growth, with a 509% year-over-year increase in revenues in Q1 2025, primarily due to a $12.6 million sale of a quantum system to Germany's Julich Supercomputing Center [2][9] - The company has achieved a GAAP gross margin of 92.5% and reduced its adjusted EBITDA loss by 53% year-over-year, indicating improved operational efficiency [3][9] - D-Wave completed a $400 million equity offering at a 149% premium, increasing its cash reserves to approximately $815 million, which provides strategic flexibility for expansion and R&D [4][9] Financial Performance - D-Wave's revenue model is evolving towards a hybrid mix of high-value system sales and recurring subscription-based Quantum Computing-as-a-Service [2] - The company reported its lowest net loss since going public, showcasing meaningful operating leverage as revenues increased [3] Market Position and Growth Strategy - D-Wave's stock has surged 152% over the past three months, outperforming the broader industry and sector [5] - The company is positioned with the strongest balance sheet among publicly traded quantum computing firms, allowing for strategic acquisitions and expansion of cloud services [4] Competitive Landscape - Rivals like Rigetti Computing and IonQ are also pursuing growth strategies, with Rigetti raising $350 million for hardware expansion and IonQ acquiring companies to enhance its quantum capabilities [8][10] - D-Wave's average target price indicates further growth potential, as it is currently trading 8% below the average price target set by analysts [11]

Israeli quantum startup Qedma just raised $26 million, with IBM joining in | TechCrunch https://t.co/bTKACQROrR ...

Core Viewpoint - D-Wave Quantum, an early player in the quantum computing sector, has experienced significant stock volatility and is attempting to expand beyond its niche market with new technologies and partnerships [2][4][6]. Company Overview - D-Wave Quantum went public via a SPAC merger on August 22, 2022, starting at $10 but dropping to a low of $0.41 by May 12, 2023, due to dilution, losses, and high valuations [2]. - As of now, D-Wave's stock trades around $14, representing a substantial recovery for those who invested at its lowest point [4]. - The company specializes in quantum annealing tools that optimize business processes, aiming to compete with traditional cloud-based analytics firms [6][7]. Financial Performance - In 2024, D-Wave reported $8.8 million in revenue with a net loss of $143.9 million [9]. - Analysts project revenue to nearly triple to $24.4 million in 2025, with a reduced net loss of $72.9 million, driven by the new 4,400-qubit Advantage2 processor [10]. - Expected revenue growth includes a 56% increase to $38.1 million in 2026 and nearly doubling to $74.1 million in 2027, although the company is not expected to break even soon [12]. Product Development and Market Position - D-Wave's Advantage2 processor can solve complex problems significantly faster and more efficiently than its predecessor [10]. - The LaunchPad platform for Leap aims to attract new enterprise customers and enhance recurring subscription revenues [11]. - The company plans to integrate more quantum AI tools to appeal to the growing AI market [11]. Competitive Landscape - D-Wave faces competition from universal gate-based processors from companies like IBM, Google, Rigetti, and IonQ, which may limit its market share if it cannot keep pace [14]. - The company has increased its share count by 184% since the SPAC merger, primarily due to secondary offerings and stock-based compensation, leading to ongoing dilution [13]. Insider Activity - Recent insider selling has raised concerns, with insiders selling more than three times as many shares as they bought in the past three months, indicating potential skepticism about future growth [15]. Investment Considerations - D-Wave's current valuation appears high relative to its near-term growth prospects, making it a speculative investment in the long-term quantum computing market [16].