Financial Performance - Second quarter 2025 adjusted EPS was $105[7] - Second quarter 2025 OCF was $1262 million[8] - The company is affirming its 2025 adjusted EPS guidance and updating 2027E–2028E outlooks[9] - The company is raising 2027E–2028E adjusted EPS outlooks, projecting greater than 8% CAGR through 2028E[29] - The company's cumulative OCF outlook for 2025E-2028E is approximately $225 billion[118] Sales and Growth - The company experienced very strong second quarter 2025 retail sales growth, including approximately 12% industrial growth[9] - The company has a strong sales outlook, including significant new load in Arkansas and a strong pipeline of customer interest[9] - The company's four-year industrial sales CAGR is approximately 13%[10] Capital Investments and Equity - The company is updating its capital plan to serve growing customer needs[9] - The company is adding $3 billion to its four-year capital plan, bringing the total to $40 billion[23, 24] - The company settled approximately $800 million of equity forwards in May, contracting equity needs into 2027[9] Regulatory and Credit - Credit metric outlooks remain better than agency thresholds[16] - The company is continuing progress on resilience, including capital investment, regulatory/legislative enactments, and financial readiness[9]

Core Viewpoint - Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (PNW) is expected to report second-quarter 2025 results on August 6, following a significant negative earnings surprise of 180% in the previous quarter [1] Group 1: Factors Impacting Q2 Performance - PNW's Q2 earnings are anticipated to benefit from retail customer growth and increased retail electricity sales, driven by higher electricity demand from new large manufacturing facilities and data centers [2] - The bottom line is expected to improve due to lower core operations and maintenance expenses, with Arizona Public Service's Energy Management System enhancing the integration of renewable and energy storage assets [3] - However, higher depreciation, amortization, and property taxes are likely to offset some of the positive impacts on PNW's performance [4] Group 2: Q2 Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is $1.58 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 10.2% [5] - The revenue estimate stands at $1.27 billion, indicating a year-over-year decline of 3% [5] - Total electric sales are estimated at 9,757.73 gigawatt-hours, down 1.7% from the previous year's quarter [5] Group 3: Earnings Prediction - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for PNW, with an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [6][7] - Other industry players like IDACORP and Xcel Energy are expected to report earnings beats, with IDACORP having an Earnings ESP of +1.56% and a Zacks Rank of 2 [8][10]

Core Insights - American Electric Power (AEP) reported a revenue of $5.09 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, marking an 11.1% year-over-year increase and exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.94 billion by 2.92% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for the same period was $1.43, up from $1.25 a year ago, representing an EPS surprise of 11.72% against the consensus estimate of $1.28 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Total Energy Sales for Vertically Integrated Utilities reached 25,276 GWh, slightly below the two-analyst average estimate of 25,341.73 GWh [4] - Total Energy Sales for Transmission & Distribution Utilities was 25,025 GWh, exceeding the average estimate of 24,608.63 GWh [4] - Total Energy Sales for Wholesale Electric - Transmission & Distribution Utilities was 464 GWh, significantly higher than the estimated 251.75 GWh [4] - Total Energy Sales for Retail Electric - Transmission & Distribution Utilities totaled 24,561 GWh, surpassing the average estimate of 24,356.88 GWh [4] - Operating Earnings (non-GAAP) for Vertically Integrated Utilities were $296.7 million, above the average estimate of $284.81 million [4] - Operating Earnings (non-GAAP) for Transmission & Distribution Utilities was $224.1 million, slightly below the average estimate of $225.77 million [4] - Operating Earnings (non-GAAP) for Generation & Marketing reached $91.7 million, significantly higher than the average estimate of $40.57 million [4] - Operating Earnings (GAAP) for Vertically Integrated Utilities were $432.7 million, well above the average estimate of $259.08 million [4] Stock Performance - AEP shares have returned +4.6% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +3.4% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - AEP reported the strongest ever second quarter operating earnings in its 100-year history, with operating earnings of $1.43 per share or $766 million, representing a 14% increase year-over-year from $1.25 per share in 2024 [9][27] - The company is guiding to the upper half of its 2025 operating earnings range of $5.75 to $5.95 per share, reflecting strong year-to-date results [10][39] - AEP reaffirmed its long-term operating earnings growth rate of 6% to 8% [10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Operating earnings for vertically integrated utilities increased to $0.56 per share, up $0.10 from the previous year, driven by rate changes and increased load from data centers [28] - The transmission and distribution utility segment earned $0.42 per share, up $0.01 from last year, supported by rate changes and retail sales gains [29] - Generation and Marketing produced $0.17 per share, up $0.05 from last year, with favorable energy margins [31] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - AEP expects to have 24 gigawatts of incremental load by the end of the decade, up from 21 gigawatts, primarily driven by data centers and reshoring [12] - The company has a significant interconnection queue with approximately 190 gigawatts of additional load seeking to connect to its system, which is five times its current system size of 37 gigawatts [12][35] Company Strategy and Development Direction - AEP is executing a $54 billion capital plan and expects to announce a new five-year capital plan of approximately $70 billion, with allocations of 50% to transmission, 40% to generation, and 10% to distribution [11] - The company is focused on aligning its business with regulatory goals and has secured large load tariffs in multiple states to support economic development [14][15] - AEP is exploring innovative power solutions, including small modular reactors (SMRs) and Bloom fuel cells, to meet growing customer demands [16][17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to execute its growth strategy, citing strong regulatory support and a disciplined approach to capital allocation [10][18] - The management team highlighted the importance of safety, service, and reliability while navigating complex operational and regulatory landscapes [18][19] - AEP's leadership emphasized the need for continued collaboration with regulators to support infrastructure investments and customer affordability [20][21] Other Important Information - AEP Texas was granted approval for a significant transmission project, and the company has received positive regulatory outcomes in several states [19][23] - The company has a strong liquidity position with over $5.6 billion supported by $6 billion in credit facilities [36][37] Q&A Session Summary Question: CapEx increase and financing needs - Trevor Mihalik indicated that the company has proactively financed its existing capital plan and does not have near-term equity needs, providing flexibility for future financing [42][44] Question: ROE trajectory and impact of regulatory changes - Trevor Mihalik confirmed that the ROE is expected to increase due to the new regulatory mechanisms in Texas, potentially by 50 to 100 basis points [46][48] Question: Plans for small modular reactors (SMRs) - William J. Fehrman discussed the focus on early site permit work for SMRs, emphasizing strong regulatory support in Virginia and Indiana [52][53] Question: Ongoing impact of NOLC changes - Kate Sturgess noted that the ongoing impact from the NOLC change is expected to be around 3 cents per share annually [56][57] Question: Update on West Virginia case - William J. Fehrman provided an update that the West Virginia case is awaiting an order expected in late August or early September [59] Question: CapEx opportunities and future increases - Trevor Mihalik highlighted the tremendous growth opportunities across AEP's service territory, indicating that further increases in CapEx could be possible [64][66] Question: Data center activity and connection timelines - William J. Fehrman explained that AEP's transmission system is attractive for data centers, with wait times for connections typically ranging from five to seven years [70][71]

OGE Energy (OGE) Q2 2025 Earnings Call July 30, 2025 09:00 AM ET Company ParticipantsJason Bailey - Director of Investor RelationsSean Trauschke - Chairman, President & CEOCharles Walworth - CFO & TreasurerNathan Richardson - AVP - Equity ResearchDylan Lipner - Associate - Equity ResearchConference Call ParticipantsBrian Russo - Research AnalystOperatorGood day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the OGE Energy Corp. Twenty twenty five Second Quarter Earnings and Business Update Call. At this time, al ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated net income for Q2 2025 was $108 million or $0.53 per diluted share, compared to $102 million or $0.51 per share in Q2 2024 [15] - The electric company achieved net income of $108 million or $0.53 per diluted share, down from $109 million or $0.54 per share in the same period of 2024, primarily due to milder weather and higher interest and depreciation expenses [15][16] - The holding company reported a small loss of less than $1 million, flat on a per diluted share basis, compared to a loss of $7 million or $0.03 per share in Q2 2024 [15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Year-over-year customer growth was near 1% in Q2 2025, with weather-normalized load growing 6.5% year-to-date compared to the same period in 2024 [16] - The two largest customer classes, residential and commercial, showed growth rates of 125% respectively, indicating strong performance [16] - Industrial and oilfield load showed some softness, attributed to unplanned customer outages, but future growth is anticipated [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The local economy remains strong, with Oklahoma City’s unemployment rate below 4% for the 46th consecutive month, and it was noted as the lowest in the nation for April and May [13] - The Oklahoma Department of Commerce announced the 2025 Oklahoma Innovation Expansion Program, which includes 83 companies in the service area, supporting new capital investment and job creation [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on adding approximately 550 megawatts of capacity, with new natural gas combustion turbines under construction and expected to be operational within the next year [7][8] - The company plans to continue exploring options to meet growing generation needs and expects to add generation at a consistent pace over the next few years [8] - Legislative successes have provided new customer benefits and credit accretive provisions, allowing for CWIP recovery during construction phases of generation capacity projects [20][21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving results in the top half of the earnings guidance range for 2025, emphasizing a strong foundation for future growth [6][14] - The company anticipates continued growth in customer demand and is well-prepared for the upcoming summer season [7][10] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining a competitive low rate advantage and focusing on cost structure to minimize customer impacts [23][24] Other Important Information - The company received a notice to construct a transmission line from Fort Smith, Arkansas to Muskogee, Oklahoma, which will address reliability and capacity issues in the Fort Smith area [22] - The company is planning to file for an Oklahoma rate review by the end of the year, with Arkansas to follow thereafter [23] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is driving the weaker industrial sales? - Management noted that industrial customers are more power-intensive and experience maintenance cycles, which can lead to noticeable fluctuations in sales [28] Question: Excluding the midstream operations one-time legacy benefit, how can the parent drag for 2025 be expected to grow? - Management indicated that the one-time benefit should be largely ignored, and they remain on track with their guidance for the year excluding that item [30] Question: Can you provide an update on generation capacity additions and ownership versus PPA? - Management expressed a strong preference to own the assets while also securing short-term bridge capacity during construction [31] Question: Any updates on the Google Stillwater data center site? - Negotiations for the data center are progressing, with management getting closer to achieving objectives that protect existing customers [38] Question: Does the top end of guidance include the one-time midstream tax gain? - Management confirmed that the guidance includes the impact of the one-time benefit [39] Question: Is the company expected to be long capacity at the end of the decade? - Management does not anticipate being long on capacity, emphasizing a continuous addition of capacity to meet load growth [44]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - American Electric Power (AEP) reported the strongest second quarter operating earnings in its 100-year history, with operating earnings of $1.43 per share or $766 million, representing a 14% increase year-over-year from $1.25 per share in 2024 [9][27][28] - The company is guiding to the upper half of its 2025 operating earnings range of $5.75 to $5.95 per share, reflecting strong year-to-date results and confidence in future execution [10][40] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Operating earnings for vertically integrated utilities increased to $0.56 per share, up $0.10 from the previous year, driven by rate changes and increased load from data centers [29] - The transmission and distribution utility segment earned $0.42 per share, up $0.01 from last year, supported by rate changes and retail sales gains [29] - Generation and Marketing produced $0.17 per share, up $0.05 from last year, with favorable energy margins offset by lower distributed generation margins due to the sale of the On-site Partners business [31] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - AEP is experiencing transformative load growth across its 11-state footprint, with an increase in firm customer commitments to 24 gigawatts of incremental load by the end of the decade, up from 21 gigawatts previously reported [12][34] - The company has a significant interconnection queue of approximately 190 gigawatts of additional load seeking to connect to its system, indicating strong demand for its services [12][35] Company Strategy and Development Direction - AEP is executing a $54 billion capital plan and expects to announce a new five-year capital plan of approximately $70 billion, with allocations of 50% to transmission, 40% to generation, and 10% to distribution [11][37] - The company is focused on aligning its business with regulatory goals and has secured large load tariffs in multiple states to support economic development and infrastructure needs [14][15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to execute its growth strategy, emphasizing a culture of accountability and performance [10][26] - The company is committed to maintaining safety, service, reliability, and constructive regulatory outcomes, with significant progress made in legislative efforts and regulatory approvals [18][21] Other Important Information - AEP Texas was granted an ERCOT Permian Basin 765 kV transmission project, and several system resiliency plans received approval, reflecting collaborative efforts with regulators [19][20] - The company is exploring innovative energy solutions, including small modular reactors (SMRs) and Bloom fuel cells, to meet growing power demands [17][58] Q&A Session Summary Question: CapEx increase and financing needs - Management indicated that they have proactively financed the existing capital plan and do not foresee immediate equity needs, providing flexibility for future financing strategies [45][46][49] Question: ROE trajectory and impact of regulatory changes - Management expects an increase in ROE due to the implementation of the Unified Tracker Mechanism in Texas, which could raise ROEs by 50 to 100 basis points [52] Question: Plans for small modular reactors (SMRs) - The focus is currently on early site permit work in Virginia and Indiana, with strong regulatory support for investments [58][59] Question: Update on West Virginia case - The West Virginia case is awaiting an order expected in late August or early September, with positive engagement from stakeholders [64] Question: Future CapEx opportunities - Management sees continued opportunities for investment driven by significant load growth and economic activity across its service territory [71][72]

Financial Performance - Q2 2025 operating earnings per share (EPS) reached $1.43, compared to $1.25 in Q2 2024, representing a 14% increase[22] - Year-to-date (YTD) 2025 operating EPS was $2.98, up from $2.52 in YTD 2024, reflecting an 18% growth[24] - The company is guiding towards the upper half of the 2025 operating earnings guidance range of $5.75-$5.95 per share[20] - Moody's FFO to Debt as of June 30, 2025, was 13.2%[46, 114] Capital Investments and Growth - AEP expects to announce a new 5-year capital plan of approximately $70 billion to meet growing energy needs[18, 20] - The company is executing a $54 billion capital plan and expects approximately 8% rate base growth through the 5-year forecast[11, 18, 51] - Approximately $34 billion, or 63%, of the $54 billion capital forecast is allocated to wires (transmission and distribution)[75, 77] - Approximately $14 billion, or 26%, of the $54 billion capital forecast is allocated to regulated new generation, including renewables[75, 79] Load Growth and Demand - AEP anticipates 24 GW of incremental load growth through 2029, supported by signed customer financial commitments[17, 25, 43, 44] - The company has approximately 190 GW of interconnect requests in various stages of development[17, 25, 44] - Peak demand in Q2 2025 reached 37.6 GW, generating $2.9 billion in revenue, compared to 33.5 GW and $2.7 billion in Q2 2024[42] Financial Strength and Strategy - The company closed a $2.82 billion minority interest transmission transaction, contributing to S&P's outlook upgrade to stable[25, 29, 51] - AEP reaffirms its long-term growth rate of 6%-8% and a FFO/Debt targeted range of 14%-15%[18, 25] - The company's balance sheet strength is reinforced by S&P's favorable outlook revision to stable[49]

Q2 2025 Earnings & Business Update Conference Call July 30, 2025 Safe Harbor Some of the matters in this presentation may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to certain risks, uncertainties, and assumptions. Such forward-looking statements are intended to be identified in this document by the words "anticipate," "believe," "estimate," "expect," "forecast," "intend," "objective," "plan," "possible," "potential," "project," "target" and similar expressions. Actual results may vary materially. ...

Second-quarter 2025 GAAP earnings of $2.29 per share; operating earnings of $1.43 per share. AEP guides to the upper half of its 2025 operating earnings guidance range of $5.75 to $5.95 per share and reaffirms long-term growth rate of 6% to 8%. AEP expects to announce a new, five-year capital plan of approximately $70 billion. Customer agreements are secured for 24 gigawatts of new load by end of decade, up from 21 gigawatts. Key legislative actions and regulatory approvals drove exceptional results for cu ...