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These Analysts Revise Their Forecasts On Boot Barn After Q4 Results
Benzinga· 2025-05-15 18:01
Core Insights - Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. reported disappointing earnings for the fourth quarter, with earnings per share (EPS) of $1.22, missing the analyst consensus estimate of $1.24, and quarterly revenue of $453.75 million, falling short of the expected $458.42 million [1][3] - Despite the fourth-quarter miss, the company provided optimistic first-quarter guidance, expecting EPS between $1.44 and $1.52, slightly above the $1.44 analyst estimate, and revenue projected between $483 million and $491 million, compared to the $486.49 million estimate [3] - Boot Barn announced a $200 million share repurchase program, which may enhance shareholder value [3] Financial Performance - The company achieved a 15% annual total sales growth and a 23% increase in earnings per diluted share for fiscal year 2025, indicating resilience in its core consumer base despite market uncertainties [2] - The stock price increased by 15% to $152.74 following the earnings announcement, reflecting positive market sentiment [3] Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - JP Morgan analyst maintained an Overweight rating but lowered the price target from $209 to $196 [9] - UBS analyst kept a Buy rating and raised the price target from $156 to $210 [9] - Baird analyst maintained an Outperform rating and increased the price target from $140 to $180 [9] - B of A Securities analyst maintained a Buy rating and raised the price target from $160 to $173 [9] - Piper Sandler analyst maintained an Overweight rating and increased the price target from $162 to $184 [9]
Boot Barn (BOOT) Q4 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-05-14 23:00
Core Insights - Boot Barn reported revenue of $453.75 million for the quarter ended March 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 16.8% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter was $1.22, up from $1.01 in the same quarter last year [1] - The reported revenue was slightly below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $458.18 million, resulting in a revenue surprise of -0.97% [1] - The EPS fell short of the consensus estimate of $1.24, leading to an EPS surprise of -1.61% [1] Performance Metrics - Boot Barn's same-store sales growth was 6%, which was below the four-analyst average estimate of 7.3% [4] - The company opened or acquired 21 stores, matching the average estimate based on two analysts [4] - The average store square footage at the end of the period was 11,183, slightly above the estimated 11,134 [4] - The total number of stores operating at the end of the period was 459, consistent with the two-analyst average estimate [4] - Total retail store square footage at the end of the period was 5.13 million, exceeding the average estimate of 5.11 million [4] Stock Performance - Boot Barn shares have returned +46.7% over the past month, significantly outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +9.9% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]
Lulu's Fashion Lounge (LVLU) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-14 22:02
Lulu's Fashion Lounge (LVLU) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 14, 2025 05:00 PM ET Company Participants Naomi Beckman-Straus - General Counsel & Corporate SecretaryCrystal Landsem - CEO and DirectorMark Vos - President & Chief Information OfficerTiffany Smith - CFO Operator Afternoon, and welcome to Lulu's First Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Conference Call. Today's call is being recorded, and we have allocated one hour for the prepared and Q and A. At this time, I'd like to turn the conference over to Lulu' ...
Boot Barn(BOOT) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-14 21:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Full year fiscal 2025 revenue reached a record $1,900,000,000, reflecting a $1,000,000,000 increase over the last four fiscal years [8] - Earnings per diluted share grew by 23% to $5.88, an increase of $1.08 over the prior year [8] - Fourth quarter total revenue increased by 17%, with earnings per diluted share at $1.22 compared to $0.96 in the prior year [9][10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated same store sales increased by 6% in the fourth quarter, with brick-and-mortar sales up 5.5% and e-commerce sales up 9.8% [9][10] - Merchandise margin expanded by 210 basis points in the fourth quarter and by 130 basis points for the full year [21][25] - Exclusive brand penetration increased to 38.6% for fiscal 2025, with a growth of 1,500 basis points over the last four years [21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company opened 60 new stores in fiscal 2025, expanding its footprint into four new states, ending the year with 459 stores [14] - The customer loyalty database grew by 14% year-over-year, reaching 9,600,000 active customers [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to open 65 to 70 new stores in fiscal 2026, maintaining a growth rate of 15% [15] - The strategy includes a focus on exclusive brands and managing pricing in response to tariff impacts [12][22] - The company aims to maintain merchandise margin rates while potentially sacrificing some margin to gain market share [23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating ongoing uncertainties related to tariffs and consumer demand [10][29] - The company anticipates a potential decline in merchandise margin in the second half of fiscal 2026 due to tariff impacts [22][29] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining strong customer relationships and brand loyalty as key drivers for future growth [18][35] Other Important Information - The company has authorized a share repurchase program of up to $200,000,000, reflecting confidence in cash flow generation [34] - The company expects to face a tariff impact of approximately $8,000,000 in fiscal 2026, with strategies in place to mitigate this [11][41] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you elaborate on April and May same store sales? - Management noted strong sales trends in the first quarter, with a guidance of plus 6% for the entire quarter, consistent with Q4 [38][40] Question: Can you elaborate on pricing power for the Boot Barn brand? - Management indicated that they have seen good pricing power, with typical price increases absorbed by customers, but expect some elasticity of demand due to mid-single-digit price increases [41][42] Question: What about product shortages from China? - Management stated that only 5% of exclusive brand products are sourced from China, with efforts to diversify production to other countries [48][49] Question: How do you plan to leverage SG&A expenses? - Management expects to leverage SG&A through normalized incentive compensation and lower legal expenses, benefiting from new store openings [78] Question: What is the outlook for merchandise margins? - Management anticipates strong margins in the first half of fiscal 2026 but expects pressure in the second half due to tariffs [70][71] Question: How is the competitive landscape behaving? - Management noted that larger competitors remain rational, while smaller mom-and-pop retailers may face challenges due to price increases [90][91]
Boot Barn(BOOT) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-14 21:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Full year fiscal 2025 revenue reached a record $1.9 billion, reflecting a $1 billion sales growth over the last four fiscal years, driven by 186 new stores and strong same-store sales growth [6][8] - Earnings per diluted share increased by 23% to $5.88, up $1.08 from the prior year [6] - Fourth quarter total revenue increased by 17%, with earnings per diluted share at $1.22 compared to $0.96 in the prior year [7][8][23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Merchandise margin expanded by 130 basis points for the full year and by 210 basis points in the fourth quarter [20][23] - Same-store sales increased by 6% in the fourth quarter, with brick-and-mortar stores up 5.5% and e-commerce up 9.8% [7][15][23] - Exclusive brand penetration increased to 38.6% for fiscal 2025, with a growth of 1,500 basis points over the last four years [20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company opened 60 new stores in fiscal 2025, expanding its footprint into four new states, ending the year with 459 stores [12][13] - The customer loyalty database grew by 14% year-over-year, reaching 9.6 million active customers [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to open 65 to 70 new stores in fiscal 2026, maintaining a 15% growth rate in new units [13][31] - The strategic initiatives focus on new store growth, same-store sales, omnichannel expansion, and merchandise margin improvement [12][18][20] - The company is diversifying its supply chain to reduce reliance on Chinese production, with expectations that only 5% of exclusive brand goods will be sourced from China in the second half of fiscal 2026 [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating ongoing uncertainties related to tariffs and consumer demand, with a proactive approach to pricing and inventory management [8][9][27] - The company anticipates a potential decline in merchandise margin in the second half of fiscal 2026 due to tariff impacts, but expects to maintain overall margin rates through strategic pricing [21][30] Other Important Information - The company has authorized a share repurchase program of up to $200 million, reflecting confidence in cash flow generation [33] - The guidance for fiscal 2026 includes a total sales range of $2.07 billion to $2.15 billion, with same-store sales expected to increase by 2% at the high end [28][30] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you elaborate on April and May same-store sales? - Management noted strong sales trends in the first quarter, with a consistent performance across major merchandise categories, but does not anticipate accelerating guidance for the entire quarter [37][39] Question: Can you elaborate on pricing power and tariff headwinds? - Management indicated that tariffs are expected to impact margins by approximately $8 million, with price increases anticipated in the summer [40][41] Question: How are you thinking about product shortages from China? - Management expressed confidence in their diversified sourcing strategy, with only 5% of exclusive brand products expected from China [46][47] Question: Can you discuss SG&A leverage and tariff impacts for fiscal 2027? - Management expects to leverage SG&A through normalized expenses and new store contributions, while acknowledging that tariff costs may carry into fiscal 2027 [72][74] Question: What is the strategy for pricing adjustments? - Management is evaluating pricing on a product-by-product basis, considering psychological price points and exclusive brand penetration opportunities [82][84] Question: How is the competitive landscape behaving? - Management noted that larger competitors remain rational, while smaller mom-and-pop retailers may face challenges due to price increases [88][89] Question: How are new markets performing compared to legacy markets? - Management highlighted that new store openings have positively impacted e-commerce sales, particularly in states like New York [92][93]
Boot Barn(BOOT) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-14 21:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Full year fiscal 2025 revenue reached a record $1,900,000,000, marking a $1,000,000,000 increase over the last four fiscal years, driven by 186 new stores and strong same-store sales growth [5][6] - Earnings per diluted share grew by 23% to $5.88, an increase of $1.08 over the prior year [5] - Fourth quarter total revenue increased by 17%, with earnings per diluted share at $1.22 compared to $0.96 in the prior year [6][22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Merchandise margin expanded by 130 basis points for the full year and by 210 basis points in the fourth quarter [5][19] - Same-store sales increased by 6% in the fourth quarter, with brick-and-mortar stores up 5.5% and e-commerce up 9.8% [6][22] - Exclusive brand penetration increased to 38.6% for fiscal 2025, with a growth of 1,500 basis points over the last four years [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company opened 60 new stores in fiscal 2025, expanding its footprint into four new states, ending the year with 459 stores [11] - The customer loyalty database grew by 14% year-over-year, reaching 9,600,000 active customers [14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to open 65 to 70 new stores in fiscal 2026, maintaining a 15% growth rate in new units [12] - The focus remains on expanding exclusive brands while driving growth within third-party partners, with a goal to maintain merchandise margin rates despite potential price increases due to tariffs [20][21] - The company is diversifying its supply chain to reduce reliance on China, with only 5% of exclusive brand goods expected to be sourced from China in the second half of fiscal 2026 [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating ongoing uncertainties related to tariffs and consumer demand, with a strong trend of growth continuing into fiscal 2026 [7][27] - The company anticipates potential merchandise margin pressure in the second half of fiscal 2026 due to tariff impacts, but expects to leverage strong sales growth in the first half [20][27] Other Important Information - The company has authorized a share repurchase program of up to $200,000,000, reflecting confidence in strong cash flow generation [32] - Inventory increased by 25% year-over-year, attributed to new store openings and proactive shipment pull-forwards in anticipation of tariffs [26] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you elaborate on April and May same-store sales? - Management noted strong sales trends in the first six weeks of Q1, with a consistent performance across major merchandise categories, expecting to maintain positive comp growth [37][38] Question: Can you elaborate on pricing power and tariff headwinds? - Management indicated that tariffs are expected to impact margins by approximately $8,000,000, with price increases anticipated in the summer [39][41] Question: How are new markets performing compared to legacy markets? - New store openings have positively impacted e-commerce sales, with notable increases observed in states like New York [95][96] Question: What is the strategy for managing SG&A expenses? - Management expects to leverage SG&A through normalized expenses and increased store count, which helps cover fixed costs [72][77] Question: How does the company view the competitive landscape? - Management has not observed significant changes in competitor behavior, noting that larger competitors remain rational while smaller players may face challenges [90][91]
Lulus Reports First Quarter 2025 Results
Globenewswire· 2025-05-14 20:05
Significant Improvement in Liquidity with $1.4M Increase in Cash Provided by Operating Activities and $1.8M Increase in Free Cash Flow, Both Compared to Q1’24 Reduced Total Debt by $3.0M and Net Debt by $7.2M During Q1’25 CHICO, Calif., May 14, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Lulu’s Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc. (“Lulus” or the “Company”) (Nasdaq: LVLU) today reported financial results for the first quarter ended March 30, 2025 and withdrew its net revenue and Adjusted EBITDA financial outlook for the fiscal year ...
AEO Pulls Out FY25 View & Issues Soft Q1 Preliminary on Macro Volatility
ZACKS· 2025-05-14 17:55
Shares of American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. (AEO) tumbled nearly 15% in after-hours trading yesterday, after the apparel and accessories retailer withdrew its earlier-issued guidance for fiscal 2025, citing that macro volatility and management reviews forward plans in light of first-quarter results. Management issued bleak preliminary first-quarter fiscal 2025 results.For the discussed quarter, revenues are likely to be $1.1 billion, which indicates a drop of almost 5% compared with the year-ago quarter. Anal ...
These Analysts Slash Their Forecasts On American Eagle Outfitters
Benzinga· 2025-05-14 17:06
American Eagle Outfitters Inc. AEO issued a profit warning and withdrew its full-year 2025 guidance on Tuesday.The retailer said it expects first-quarter revenue of $1.1 billion, a 5% decline from the prior year. Comparable sales are projected to be down around 3%, with the American Eagle brand down 2% and the Aerie brand down 4%. The company said it anticipates an operating loss of approximately $85 million, or $68 million on an adjusted basis.American Eagle withdrew its full-year guidance due to broader m ...
American Eagle Stock Plunges on Guidance Withdrawal, Inventory Woes
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-05-14 14:21
Core Viewpoint - American Eagle Outfitters Inc has withdrawn its 2025 guidance due to macroeconomic uncertainty, leading to a significant decline in stock price and expectations for revenue and operating losses [1] Financial Performance - The company anticipates a first-quarter revenue decline of 5% to $1.1 billion, with comparable sales expected to fall by 3%, primarily driven by a 4% drop in its Aerie brand [1] - An operating loss of $85 million is projected, attributed to heavy discounting and a $75 million inventory write-down related to spring and summer merchandise [1] Stock Performance - American Eagle's stock has decreased by 51.2% year-over-year and 27.8% year-to-date, with recent trading below the $12 level, which has acted as resistance [2] - Earlier in the week, the stock briefly rallied and broke above its 80-day moving average but has since fallen back below this trendline [2] Options Market Activity - Options traders have reacted to the selloff, with 19,000 puts traded, which is 44 times the typical volume for this session, indicating a bearish sentiment [3] - The June 10 put is the most popular contract, as traders prepare for further downside [3] - The stock's 50-day put/call volume ratio of 0.99 is higher than all other readings from the past year, reflecting increased put buying [4] - The put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of 1.94 ranks in the 77th percentile of annual readings, indicating a strong put bias among short-term options traders [5]