Here at Zacks, our focus is on the proven Zacks Rank system, which emphasizes earnings estimates and estimate revisions to find great stocks. Nevertheless, we are always paying attention to the latest value, growth, and momentum trends to underscore strong picks.Looking at the history of these trends, perhaps none is more beloved than value investing. This strategy simply looks to identify companies that are being undervalued by the broader market. Value investors use tried-and-true metrics and fundamental ...

Core Viewpoint - Ulta Beauty Inc. is entering its second-quarter earnings report with strong sales momentum and international expansion plans, despite facing margin pressures and changing consumer spending patterns [1]. Financial Performance - The company is expected to report second-quarter fiscal 2025 results on August 28, with earnings projected at $5.07 per share, an increase from the previous estimate of $4.87 but down from $5.30 a year ago [3]. - Revenue is forecasted to rise by 4.7% year-over-year to $2.67 billion, slightly above consensus estimates of $2.66 billion [4]. - Gross margins are anticipated to narrow by 20 basis points to 38.1%, while operating margins are expected to contract by 160 basis points to 11.3% [4]. Analyst Ratings and Forecasts - Telsey Advisory Group analyst Dana Telsey raised her price forecast for Ulta to $590 from $520, reflecting a 21.4x multiple on forward earnings, which is above recent trading levels but below Ulta's 10-year average [2]. - For fiscal 2025, Ulta reaffirmed guidance with sales expected between $11.5 billion and $11.7 billion and earnings per share between $22.65 and $23.30, while Telsey raised her EPS estimate to $23.45 [6]. Strategic Developments - Recent corporate updates include the planned conclusion of Ulta's Target shop-in-shop program in 2026, the acquisition of U.K.-based retailer Space NK, and international expansion initiatives in Mexico and the Middle East [5]. - Leadership changes are ongoing under new CEO Kecia Steelman, who took over in June following the departure of CFO Paula Oyibo [5]. Market Sentiment - Analysts from JPMorgan, Barclays, Oppenheimer, Canaccord, and DA Davidson have raised their price forecasts for Ulta, reflecting optimism despite margin challenges [8]. - Telsey highlighted consumer spending trends as a significant risk for the latter half of the year, with fragrance being a standout category while skincare, wellness, and makeup show mixed performance [7].

Analysts on Wall Street project that Ulta Beauty (ULTA) will announce quarterly earnings of $4.97 per share in its forthcoming report, representing a decline of 6.2% year over year. Revenues are projected to reach $2.64 billion, increasing 3.5% from the same quarter last year.The current level reflects an upward revision of 0.3% in the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter over the past 30 days. This demonstrates how the analysts covering the stock have collectively reappraised their initial projections ov ...

Ulta Beauty Inc. ULTA is gaining momentum ahead of its upcoming earnings report, with stronger sales trends, tighter promotions, and accelerating product innovation fueling expectations for robust growth and higher profitability in the quarters ahead.JP Morgan analyst Christopher Horvers reaffirmed an Overweight rating on Ulta Beauty Inc., raised his price forecast from $525 to $600, and kept the stock on JPM’s Analyst Focus List, citing stronger comps, higher EPS, and valuation upside.Horvers raised his se ...

Core Insights - Ulta Beauty and Target will end their five-year shop-in-shop partnership in August 2026, having established 600 locations, which is below the initial target of 800 [2][3] - The partnership's conclusion is expected to impact Target more negatively, as it is already facing declining sales and foot traffic, while Ulta is likely to benefit from distancing itself from Target's recent reputational issues [4][5] Ulta Beauty's Position - Ulta's reputation is tied to its partnerships, and the decision to end the collaboration with Target may enhance its standing as Target's reputation has declined [5] - Ulta's total royalties from Target were $23.7 million last year, down from $28.8 million in 2023, but the company anticipates only a minimal revenue impact of 1% or less from the partnership's end [10] - With the partnership ending, Ulta can refocus on its core business and growth opportunities, including the recent acquisition of British retailer Space NK and international expansion plans [12][13] Target's Challenges - Target has experienced ten consecutive quarters of flat or declining sales, with a recent 2.8% drop in net sales and a 3.8% decline in comparable sales in Q1 2025 [5] - Foot traffic to Target stores has decreased by 4% and 3% in the first and second quarters of this year, exacerbated by calls for boycotts [6] - Target's revenues peaked at $109.1 billion in 2022 but fell to $106.6 billion in 2024, with beauty being the only category to show growth [7][8] Future Outlook - Target is expected to guide for a low single-digit decline in sales this year, with employee confidence reportedly low, as 40% of employees have lost faith in the company [8][9] - The search for a new CEO is critical, with a strong preference among investors for an external candidate to lead the company through its challenges [9]

Core Insights - Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc.'s digital channel is becoming a significant revenue driver, with global e-commerce sales reaching $99 million in Q3 of fiscal 2025, accounting for 10.6% of net sales, an increase from 9.7% year-over-year despite a 1% decline in overall sales [1][9] E-Commerce Performance - Sally Beauty Supply generated $43 million in e-commerce sales, representing 8.2% of segment revenues, while Beauty Systems Group achieved $56 million, or 13.7% of its revenues, indicating a positive trend in marketplace activity and direct site traffic [2] Growth Drivers - Growth is supported by strategic digital initiatives such as marketplace integration, enhanced fulfillment capabilities, and the Licensed Colorist OnDemand service, which promotes online engagement and increases basket size [3][5] - Targeted promotions and product innovation are attracting first-time customers to the e-commerce platform [3] Market Challenges - Sustaining growth may face challenges as consumers remain value-focused, leading to selective trade-down in certain categories; however, marketplace expansion and personalized experiences are expected to help e-commerce capture a larger share of total sales [4] Future Outlook - Continued investment in customer engagement and operational efficiency positions Sally Beauty's digital channel to drive growth in traffic, conversion rates, and market share [5]

Core Viewpoint - Target and Ulta Beauty have mutually agreed not to renew their shop-in-shop partnership, which will expire in August 2026, while continuing to provide services until that date [1][2]. Group 1: Partnership Details - The Ulta Beauty experience at Target will remain available until August 2026, allowing customers to access beauty products and link their Ulta Beauty Rewards and Target Circle accounts [2]. - Both companies are committed to ensuring a seamless shopping experience and product availability through the end of the partnership [3]. Group 2: Future Plans - Ulta Beauty will continue to offer beauty and wellness products through its own omnichannel experience, including the upcoming Ulta Beauty Marketplace [4]. - Target plans to provide a differentiated beauty assortment and new experiences for its customers [4]. Group 3: Background and Challenges - The partnership began in November 2020, with Ulta Beauty merchandise offered in 100 Target locations and online [7]. - Ulta Beauty faced challenges during the pandemic, including layoffs due to store closures and a shift to online sales [7]. - Target has experienced 10 consecutive quarters of flat or declining sales, which may have influenced the decision to end the partnership [5]. - Issues such as messy in-store operations, retail theft, and insufficient staffing have been cited as contributing factors to the partnership's conclusion [6].

At a investor presentation in New York City in March, CEO Brian Cornell highlighted beauty as a growth category for Target and cited it as reason for confidence in Target's long-term business. He said the company gained market share in the beauty and its sales in the category rose by nearly 7% in the fiscal year that ended in early February. Target has added new brands to its beauty department. At a growing number of stores, it also has mini Ulta Beauty shops with prestige brands. Ulta Beauty and Target sai ...

Core Insights - European Wax Center (EWCZ) and Sally Beauty Holdings (SBH) target different segments within the beauty and personal care industry, with EWCZ focusing on a service-driven model through franchised waxing centers, while SBH emphasizes retailing professional-grade beauty products [1][2] European Wax Center (EWCZ) - EWCZ is developing a data-rich, digital-first marketing platform to enhance guest acquisition, introducing new tools in Q1 2025 to measure advertising effectiveness and reduce cost per acquisition [3] - The company is enhancing franchisee profitability and operational support by expanding the franchisee support team and increasing engagement with the learning management system by 50% [4] - EWCZ is adopting a disciplined expansion strategy, targeting underpenetrated areas for new center openings in 2026, supported by improved market planning tools and a rigorous site approval process [5] - Despite strategic advancements, EWCZ faces rising SG&A costs and elevated interest expenses, leading to a projected net reduction in center count for 2025 [6] - EWCZ's stock gained 54.8% over three months, outperforming SBH's 27.2% gain, reflecting strength in its digital and franchise model [9][16] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for EWCZ's 2025 earnings per share (EPS) indicates a year-over-year growth of 35.6%, with estimates remaining unchanged at 61 cents [12] Sally Beauty Holdings (SBH) - SBH is focused on enhancing customer centricity, accelerating high-margin owned brand growth, and improving operational efficiency, with global e-commerce sales reaching $94 million in Q2 fiscal 2025, a 6% increase [7] - The company is executing a brand refresh starting May 2025 to enhance its position as a beauty destination, with positive feedback from initial store updates in Orlando [8] - Operational excellence is a priority for SBH, with the Fuel for Growth program delivering $20 million in pre-tax savings in the first half of fiscal 2025, and adjusted SG&A declining by $11 million in Q2 [10] - Despite these efforts, SBH is navigating a challenging macro environment with cautious consumer spending and softness in hair care categories [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SBH's fiscal 2025 EPS suggests a year-over-year growth of 3.6%, with estimates remaining unchanged at $1.75 [14] Comparative Analysis - EWCZ's forward P/E ratio is 7.51X, higher than SBH's 5.52X, indicating a market premium for EWCZ's growth potential [17] - EWCZ is better positioned for long-term growth due to its franchise-based model and digital marketing execution, while SBH's strengths in owned brands and cost control may be limited by softer category trends [19]

Group 1 - Ulta Beauty's stock has increased by 19.65% year to date, outperforming broader retail benchmarks, while LVMH's stock has decreased by 11.39% YTD due to concerns over weakening demand in China and Europe [2][4] - The shift in consumer spending reflects a trend where shoppers are prioritizing affordable self-care products over luxury items, indicating a "trading down" behavior that does not feel like a downgrade [2][3] - Ulta's diverse product range, loyalty-driven model, and efficient domestic supply chain are not only defensive assets but also serve as growth engines for the company [3][4] Group 2 - LVMH is facing challenges as demand in Asia declines and U.S. consumers show signs of fatigue, impacting even its flagship brand, Louis Vuitton [4] - In contrast, Ulta is successfully meeting consumer desires for affordable indulgence, positioning itself as a leading player in the beauty industry [4][5] - The current market dynamics suggest that Ulta is not just a trend but a significant movement in the retail space, capturing consumer attention and loyalty [4][5]