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How Strong Is PTON's Free Cash Flow Momentum Heading Into FY26?
ZACKS· 2025-11-17 17:02
Core Insights - Peloton Interactive, Inc. is transitioning into fiscal 2026 with a more credible pathway toward sustained free cash flow, moving from a multi-year restructuring phase to disciplined operating execution [1] - The company raised its full-year free cash flow floor to at least $250 million, indicating increased confidence in cost restructuring and a favorable hardware mix [1][8] - In Q1 fiscal 2026, Peloton generated $67 million in free cash flow, a significant increase from $10 million a year earlier, driven by stronger operating profitability and lower-than-expected tariff rates [2][8] Financial Performance - Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 reached $118 million, exceeding guidance, supported by timing-related benefits and increased operating leverage [2] - Peloton raised its full-year gross margin outlook to 52%, a 100-basis-point increase, with hardware margins showing structural improvement [3] - The adjusted EBITDA outlook was increased to $425-$475 million, reflecting double-digit improvement despite softer Connected Fitness demand [3] Challenges and Market Dynamics - The recall of 833,000 Original Series Bike+ units is expected to cause modest subscription pauses in Q2, while the Connected Fitness category continues to contract [4] - A larger proportion of rental and secondary-market users may lead to higher churn, although this is partially offset by the increasing tenure of long-standing subscribers [4] Future Outlook - Peloton anticipates a modest gap between adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow for the remainder of the year, aided by low capital intensity and working capital efficiency [5] - The company is positioned to achieve its elevated free cash flow target, potentially allowing for broader capital allocation options once leverage stabilizes [5] Valuation and Market Position - Peloton shares have declined 11.5% over the past three months, compared to a 15.8% decline in the industry [6] - The stock is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) multiple of 1.25, below the industry average of 2.02 [9] - Earnings per share estimates for fiscal 2026 have increased, projecting a 136.7% year-over-year surge, while industry peers are expected to see lower growth rates [11][13]
Peloton Stock: The Turnaround Has Stalled Without Growth (NASDAQ:PTON)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-15 02:03
Core Insights - Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON) has experienced significant fluctuations in its stock performance, particularly during the COVID-19 pandemic when it gained substantial popularity [1] Company Overview - Peloton emerged as a prominent player in the fitness industry during the COVID-19 pandemic, leading to a surge in stock prices and consumer interest [1] Market Context - The company's stock performance has been closely monitored over the years, indicating a volatile market response to its business developments and external factors [1]
TRNR Reports Record Third Quarter 2025 Results with 139% YoY Growth; Reiterates 2025 Pro Forma Revenue Guidance of $80M+ To Be Driven by Completion of Sportstech Acquisition
Accessnewswire· 2025-11-14 12:55
Core Insights - The company reported record quarterly revenue of $4.8 million, reflecting a 139% year-over-year growth [1] - The net loss for the quarter was $5.2 million, translating to a loss of $3.11 per diluted share [1] - Adjusted EBITDA loss for the quarter was $2.9 million, attributed to low inventory availability [1] - The acquisition of Sportstech is expected to close in 2025, contingent on key closing milestone achievements [1] - The company reiterated its 2025 pro forma revenue guidance of more than $80 million and fourth quarter profitability guidance [1]
Apple Weighing Future of Fitness+ App
PYMNTS.com· 2025-11-10 21:59
Core Insights - Apple is reviewing the future of its Apple Fitness+ service, with management now under Sumbul Desai, who reports to services chief Eddy Cue, indicating a push for improved performance [2] - The subscription service, priced at $9.99 per month, faces challenges such as high churn rates and limited revenue growth potential, despite having a loyal user base [3] - Apple Fitness+ has seen minimal changes since its launch five years ago, maintaining the same pricing structure and only a few new features added over time [4] Financial Performance - In Apple's third quarter earnings report, revenues from the wearables, home, and accessories category, which includes the Apple Watch, decreased by 9% to $7.4 billion, while services revenue increased by 13% to $27.4 billion [5] Industry Context - Peloton announced a recall of certain older bike models, which is expected to cost the company $16.5 million, highlighting ongoing challenges in the fitness equipment market [6][7]
Peloton Stock Spins Higher On Q1 Earnings Beat
Benzinga· 2025-11-07 19:39
Core Insights - Peloton Interactive, Inc. reported better-than-expected Q1 results, leading to a rise in its stock price [1] Q1 Results - The company reported quarterly earnings of $0.03 per share, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.01 [2] - Quarterly revenue reached $550.8 million, exceeding the Street estimate of $539.81 million [2] Fiscal Guidance - Peloton raised its fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $2.49 billion to $2.5 billion, above the analyst estimate of $2.45 billion [3] - CEO Peter Stern emphasized the company's disciplined execution leading up to new product launches [3] Analyst Insights - JPMorgan analyst Doug Anmuth noted Peloton's successful cost-cutting measures and operational efficiencies, predicting a return to growth in the second half of the year [4] - JPMorgan maintained a Neutral rating with a price target of $9, acknowledging industry challenges [5] - Truist Securities analyst Youssef Squali maintained a Buy rating and raised the price target from $11 to $12 [6] - Telsey Advisory Group analyst Dana Telsey maintained a Market Perform rating with a $9 price target [6] Stock Performance - Peloton shares increased by 9.31% to $7.33 on Friday afternoon [5]
Peloton Q1 Earnings & Revenues Surpass Estimates, Stock Up
ZACKS· 2025-11-07 18:31
Core Insights - Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON) reported first-quarter fiscal 2026 results, with earnings and revenues exceeding expectations, although revenues declined year over year while earnings increased [1][4][10] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Q1 was 3 cents, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of breakeven earnings, compared to breakeven EPS in the prior-year quarter [4][10] - Quarterly revenues reached $551 million, exceeding the consensus mark of $541 million by 1.8%, but reflecting a 6% decline year over year [4][10] - Connected Fitness segment revenues were $152.4 million, down from $159.6 million in the prior-year quarter, while subscription revenues were $398.4 million, down from $426.3 million [5] Operating Metrics - Peloton had 2.73 million Ending Paid Connected Fitness Subscriptions, a 6% decline year over year, with an average net monthly churn of 1.6% [6] - The company registered 542 thousand Peloton App subscribers, reflecting a net decrease of 8% year over year [6] Margin Performance - Operating expenses decreased by 17% year over year to $242.4 million, while gross profit totaled $283.7 million, down 7% year over year [7] - Gross margin contracted by 30 basis points to 51.5%, attributed to a $13.5 million inventory accrual related to Bike+ seat-post costs [7] - Subscription gross margin improved by 80 basis points to 68.6%, while Connected Fitness Products margin decreased by 230 basis points to 6.9% [7] Adjusted EBITDA - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $118.3 million, up 2% year over year, exceeding management's guidance by $18 million due to lower operating costs and improved execution [8][10] Balance Sheet & Cash Flow - As of September 30, 2025, Peloton held $1.10 billion in cash and cash equivalents, an increase from $1.04 billion at the end of fiscal 2025 [11] - Net debt decreased to $395.1 million from $777.3 million in the prior-year period [11] - Net cash provided by operating activities was $71.9 million, up from $12.5 million in the prior-year quarter, while free cash flow was $67.4 million compared to $10.7 million previously [12][11] Outlook - For Q2 fiscal 2026, Peloton expects revenues between $665 million and $685 million, indicating a slight year-over-year growth at the midpoint, with paid connected fitness subscriptions projected to decline by 8% [13] - The company anticipates fiscal 2026 revenues between $2.4 billion and $2.5 billion, reflecting a 2% year-over-year decline at the midpoint, with adjusted EBITDA expected to rise by 12% year over year [15]
Peloton shares ride higher on Q1 earnings beat
Proactiveinvestors NA· 2025-11-07 17:21
Core Insights - Proactive provides fast, accessible, and actionable business and finance news content to a global investment audience [2] - The company focuses on medium and small-cap markets while also covering blue-chip companies and broader investment stories [3] - Proactive's news team delivers insights across various sectors including biotech, mining, oil and gas, and emerging technologies [3] Technology Adoption - Proactive is committed to adopting technology to enhance workflows and content production [4] - The company utilizes automation and software tools, including generative AI, while ensuring all content is edited and authored by humans [5]
Peloton Promotes New Equipment Amid Recall of Old Bikes
PYMNTS.com· 2025-11-07 01:48
Core Insights - Peloton is facing a recall of certain Original Series Bike+ models due to reports of seat post breakage, affecting 833,000 bikes in the U.S. and 44,800 in Canada [2][3] - The recall is expected to cost the company approximately $16.5 million [4] Product Launch and Strategy - Peloton launched a new product lineup on October 1, which includes the Cross Training Series bike, treadmill, rowing machine, and an AI-assisted feature called Peloton IQ [5] - The new products are designed to help members achieve their wellness goals and include features like a swivel screen for easier exercise transitions and advanced computer vision for real-time suggestions [6] Market Response and Engagement - Since the launch of the new series, Peloton has observed a favorable shift towards premium products, particularly in treadmill and Plus line sales, attributed to excitement around advanced features [7] - Recent additions to Peloton's offerings include the Breathwrk app, micro-stores, a retail partnership with Johnson Fitness & Wellness, and a loyalty program called Club Peloton, which has engaged 500,000 members [8]
Peloton Stock Rallies After Q1 Earnings: Here's Why
Benzinga· 2025-11-06 22:48
Core Insights - Peloton Interactive, Inc. reported first-quarter earnings that exceeded analyst expectations on both revenue and earnings per share [1][2] Financial Performance - Quarterly earnings were three cents per share, surpassing the consensus estimate of one cent [2] - Quarterly revenue reached $550.8 million, exceeding the Street estimate of $539.81 million [2] Operational Highlights - The company emphasized disciplined execution and focus leading up to the launch of new equipment and Peloton IQ, as stated by CEO Peter Stern [3] - Peloton's gross margin was reported at 51.5%, which is a decrease of 30 basis points year-over-year and 50 basis points below guidance, attributed to a $13.5 million accrual for Bike+ seat post inventory costs [5] Subscription Metrics - The total number of paid connected fitness subscriptions was 2.732 million, reflecting a decrease of 164,000 or 6% year-over-year, but still 2,000 above the high end of the guidance range [5] Market Reaction - Following the earnings report, Peloton's stock price increased by 10.86%, reaching $7.44 in extended trading [4]
Peloton posts bullish holiday forecast, betting that shoppers will spend big on new product lineup
CNBC· 2025-11-06 21:33
Peloton on Thursday posted its second profitable quarter in a row as it released strong guidance for the crucial holiday shopping season, banking on its relaunched product assortment to drive growth. The connected fitness company posted a surprise net income of $13.9 million in the three months ended Sept. 30, compared with a loss of $900,000 a year earlier. For the current quarter, Peloton's strongest for hardware sales, the company is expecting revenue to be between $665 million and $685 million, a slight ...