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Remitly's 24% Stock Selloff Looks Like Trouble From Trump's Immigration Crackdown
Forbes· 2025-11-06 20:15
Core Viewpoint - Remitly, a financial technology company specializing in money transfers, is experiencing significant stock price decline despite its market share growth since its founding in 2011, largely due to external factors such as immigration policies and market uncertainties [1][4]. Financial Performance - Remitly reported a 24% drop in stock price following its third quarter financial results, reducing its market value to $2.6 billion [2]. - The company anticipates fourth quarter revenue of approximately $427 million, reflecting a growth rate of about 22%, which is a decline from previous quarterly growth rates of 24% to 34% [3]. - Adjusted EBITDA metrics indicate a slight decrease in profits for the third quarter compared to the second quarter [3]. Market Dynamics - Remitly has 8.9 million active customers who collectively send around $20 billion each quarter, with Mexico being a primary destination for remittances [5]. - Consumer remittance payments to Mexico have decreased by 5.5% to $45.7 billion in the first nine months of the year, reversing a long-term growth trend due to immigration policy changes [5]. - The U.S. immigrant population has begun to decline for the first time in 50 years, which may impact new customer acquisition for Remitly [6]. Investor Sentiment - The lack of clarity regarding the reasons for the expected slowdown in growth has contributed to investor concerns, leading to a significant stock price drop [8]. - Analysts have noted that the third quarter earnings release raises more questions than it answers, indicating uncertainty in the company's future performance [8].
Western Union (NYSE:WU) 2025 Investor Day Transcript
2025-11-06 19:00
Summary of Western Union's 2025 Investor Day Company Overview - **Company**: Western Union - **Event**: 2025 Investor Day - **Duration**: Presentation included insights from various members of the management team regarding the company's strategy and future direction [1][2] Key Industry Insights - **Industry**: Money transfer and financial services - **Focus**: Transitioning from traditional remittance services to a broader digital-first financial services model [6][12] Core Points and Arguments 1. **Strategic Vision**: The company is undergoing a transformation termed "Beyond," which aims to expand its offerings beyond cash-to-cash remittances to a digital-first approach [6][7][10] 2. **Market Competitiveness**: Western Union claims to be market competitive in over 70% of its global corridors, a significant improvement from three years ago when it struggled with pricing [8][9] 3. **Digital Transformation**: The company has invested heavily in digital platforms, aiming to enhance customer experience and streamline operations, resulting in a 17% year-over-year improvement in new customer approval rates in North America [29][30] 4. **Retail Strategy**: The retail network remains a strategic asset, with over 360,000 locations globally, driving significant brand visibility and customer acquisition [60][61] 5. **Financial Performance**: The company has maintained stable adjusted earnings per share while repositioning itself competitively, with a focus on driving top-line revenue growth [9][20] 6. **Acquisition of Intermex**: This acquisition is expected to enhance Western Union's retail transformation and strengthen its position in the US-Latin America corridor [23][38] Additional Important Insights - **Customer-Centric Approach**: The company emphasizes a culture focused on customer needs, aiming to create products and experiences that delight customers [10][11] - **Operational Efficiency**: Significant improvements in operational efficiency have been achieved, including a 40% reduction in customer calls and a 50% reduction in agent service calls since 2022 [20][21] - **Capital Return**: Western Union has returned approximately $1 billion in dividends and repurchased nearly $900 million in stock over the past three years, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder value [22] - **Future Growth**: The company aims to grow its digital business by $500 million over the next three years, focusing on under-penetrated corridors and high-growth customer segments [39][42] Conclusion Western Union is positioning itself as a leader in the evolving financial services landscape by leveraging its extensive retail network, enhancing its digital capabilities, and focusing on customer satisfaction. The strategic initiatives discussed during the Investor Day highlight the company's commitment to growth and innovation in the money transfer industry.
Why Are Western Union (WU) Shares Soaring Today
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-06 18:55
Core Insights - Western Union's shares increased by 8.9% following the announcement of its 'Beyond' strategy and a positive medium-term financial outlook during its Investor Day event [1][2] - The company anticipates a 20% revenue increase to approximately $5 billion and a 30% growth in adjusted earnings per share by 2028, focusing on a digital-first approach [2] Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow by 20% to around $5 billion by 2028 [2] - Adjusted earnings per share are expected to increase by 30% by 2028 [2] - The Consumer Services division is expected to maintain double-digit revenue growth under the new strategy [2] Strategic Initiatives - The 'Beyond' strategy aims to expand Western Union's financial services network globally, moving beyond traditional consumer money transfers [2] - The company plans to enhance its Digital Asset Network and implement a USDPT stablecoin strategy [2] - Recent initiatives include a pilot for a stablecoin-based settlement system to modernize money transfers and improve efficiency [5] Market Performance - Western Union's shares have shown volatility, with 11 moves greater than 5% in the past year, indicating that the market views the recent news as significant but not fundamentally altering its perception of the company [4] - The stock is down 10.7% year-to-date and is trading 19.7% below its 52-week high of $11.62 [6]
Western Union (NYSE:WU) 2025 Earnings Call Presentation
2025-11-06 18:00
November 6, 2025 ©2025 Western Union Holdings, Inc. All rights reserved. Investor Day 2025 I Western Union Welcome Tom Hadley Vice President of Investor Relations and Corporate Development 2 ©2025 Western Union Holdings, Inc. All rights reserved. Investor Day 2025 I Western Union Agenda Strategic Update Devin McGranahan 02 Digital First Bob Rupczynski 03 Retail Enabled Giovanni Angelini & Massimiliano Alvisini 01 04 Beyond Remittances Sofia Graniello 05 Powered By Next Generation Payments Ben Hawksworth 06 ...
Remitly (RELY) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-05 23:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2025, revenue reached $419.5 million, reflecting a 25% year-over-year growth, while adjusted EBITDA was $61.2 million, representing a 15% margin [18][34] - Send volume grew 35% to $19.5 billion, with send volume per active customer increasing 11% year-over-year [18][19] - Quarterly active customers increased by 21% year-over-year to nearly 8.9 million, maintaining strong retention levels with a day rate of 2.15% [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Remitly Business saw a near doubling of business send volume sequentially in Q3, with nearly 10,000 businesses now using the platform [9][21] - High-amount senders experienced over 40% year-over-year send volume growth for customers sending more than $1,000, with a mix increase of over 200 basis points [12][21] - Flex, the flexible funding solution, had over 100,000 active users by the end of Q3, with revenue nearly doubling sequentially [13][22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. revenue grew 28%, while the rest of the world grew 20% year-over-year, reflecting a sequential deceleration due to tough comparisons [19][20] - Revenue from regions outside of India, the Philippines, and Mexico grew 31% year-over-year, with Mexico's receive revenue growth outpacing overall revenue growth [20][21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to expand from being a leader in money movement to capturing a larger portion of the $22 trillion total addressable market [6][8] - Strategic investments in new customer categories and products, such as Remitly Business and Flex, are expected to drive sustainable revenue growth and margin expansion [10][16] - The upcoming federal remittance tax on cash transfers is anticipated to benefit the digital-first model, enhancing the competitive advantage [16][33] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the company's position and growth potential, highlighting the strong foundation built in 2025 [16][33] - The company expects revenue growth in the high teens range for 2026, influenced by new products and customer categories, despite potential immigration headwinds [33][34] - Management emphasized the importance of balancing growth with disciplined execution and maintaining profitability [39][40] Other Important Information - The company reported a GAAP net income of $8.8 million, a significant improvement from the previous year [29] - Stock-based compensation was $40 million, approximately 9.5% of revenue, reflecting a decrease compared to the previous year [29] - The company repurchased $11.9 million of shares under its $200 million authorization, demonstrating confidence in future growth [29] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on 2026 outlook and assumptions - Management highlighted strong execution in 2025 as a foundation for 2026, with optimism about the remittance tax and new product contributions [36][37] Question: Incremental margins and spending strategies - Management discussed maintaining a balanced approach to capital deployment, focusing on driving growth while managing expenses [39][40] Question: Economics of new products like Flex - Management provided insights on the credit profile of Flex, noting a 90% current balance and minimal charge-offs, indicating strong performance [51][54] Question: Comparison of Remitly Business to high-dollar senders - Management explained that Remitly Business has seen significant growth, with average transaction sizes roughly double those of core consumer categories [58]
Remitly (RELY) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-11-05 22:00
Third Quarter 2025 Earnings November 5, 2025 Nov 2025 / © 2025 Remitly Inc. Disclosures Forward-Looking Statements Investor Presentation This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All statements other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements. These statements include, but are not limited to, statements regarding our future events or our future results of operations and financial position, includin ...
Western Union to launch USDPT stablecoin on the Solana blockchain
Invezz· 2025-10-28 19:10
Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Western Union has officially announced the launch of a US dollar-backed stablecoin for cross-border payments, following weeks of speculation about this initiative [1] Group 2 - The stablecoin will facilitate faster and more efficient money transfers, enhancing Western Union's service offerings in the digital payment space [1] - This move aligns with the growing trend of traditional financial institutions exploring blockchain technology and digital currencies to improve their operations [1]
Western Union, Early Telegraph Pioneer, Joins the Crypto Arms Race
WSJ· 2025-10-28 16:45
Core Insights - The company plans to launch its own stablecoin in 2026 to facilitate global money transfers, which may reduce customer costs and expedite transaction settlements [1] Group 1 - The stablecoin initiative is aimed at enhancing the efficiency of cross-border transactions [1] - The launch is expected to occur in 2026, indicating a strategic long-term investment in digital currency [1] - The move could potentially lower costs for customers, making financial transactions more accessible [1]
Western Union's Q3 Earnings Beat on CS Unit Strength, Lower Costs
ZACKS· 2025-10-24 18:51
Core Insights - Western Union Company (WU) reported third-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of 47 cents, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 9.3% and reflecting a year-over-year growth of 2.2% [1][9] - Total revenues remained flat at $1 billion, surpassing the consensus mark by 1.2% [1][9] Financial Performance - The adjusted operating margin improved by 100 basis points year over year to 20%, driven by cost efficiencies [3] - Total expenses decreased by 5% year over year to $830.7 million, lower than the estimated $833.7 million [3] - Operating income increased by 22% year over year to $201.9 million, exceeding the estimate of $191.3 million [4] Segment Analysis - The Consumer Money Transfer (CMT) segment reported revenues of $878 million, down 6% year over year, falling short of both the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $891 million and the estimate of $903.7 million [5] - Operating income for the CMT segment declined by 9% year over year to $172.2 million, although it beat the consensus mark of $171 million [5] - The Branded Digital business experienced a 12% transaction growth, with revenues rising 7% on a reported basis [6] - The Consumer Services (CS) segment's revenues surged by 49% year over year to $154.6 million, significantly exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $128 million [7] Financial Position - As of September 30, 2025, Western Union had cash and cash equivalents of $947.8 million, a decrease of 35.7% from the end of 2024 [8] - Total assets declined by 7% to $7.8 billion, while borrowings decreased by 11.9% to $2.6 billion [8] Shareholder Returns - In the first nine months of 2025, Western Union returned $230 million to shareholders through dividends and $200 million via share buybacks [11] Future Outlook - Management maintains guidance for adjusted revenues between $4.035 billion and $4.135 billion, with adjusted EPS forecasted in the range of $1.65-$1.75, indicating a 2.3% decline from 2024 [12]
Western Union(WU) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-23 21:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported adjusted revenue of $1,033 million for Q3 2025, reflecting a 1% decline year-over-year when excluding Iraq [7][25] - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) was $0.47, slightly up from $0.46 in the same quarter last year [9][25] - Adjusted operating margins improved to 20%, up from 19% in the prior year [25][26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consumer services adjusted revenue surged by 49% in Q3, driven by the acquisition of eurochange and a strong travel money business [9][26] - Consumer money transfer (CMT) transactions declined by 3% in the quarter, or 2% excluding Iraq, with higher average principal per transaction increasing by approximately 6% [28][29] - The branded digital business saw a 12% increase in transactions and a 6% rise in adjusted revenue, marking the eighth consecutive quarter of mid-single-digit or better revenue growth [9][29] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The retail business in North America faced headwinds due to geopolitical factors, while Europe experienced mid-single-digit transaction and revenue growth [5][8] - Transaction growth in the U.S. to Mexico corridor showed signs of improvement from previous lows, although it remains a critical area to monitor [12][84] - The company noted positive transaction growth to countries like Brazil, India, and Vietnam, while facing declines in corridors such as Mexico and El Salvador [11][12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to enhance its retail model in the U.S. and is optimistic about the long-term outlook, expecting stabilization in migration patterns [6][7] - The acquisition of Intermex is expected to accelerate the company's retail strategy and improve its competitive positioning [6][81] - The company is focused on becoming more digital-centric, with over 55% of money transactions now being digital [15][20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the macroeconomic environment, citing declining inflation rates and stable GDP outlooks [10] - The company anticipates that global migration patterns will adapt rather than disappear, maintaining a strong connection to human mobility [13][14] - Management highlighted the importance of digital transformation and the potential for integrating digital assets into their business model [21][22] Other Important Information - The company generated over $400 million in operating cash flow year-to-date, with a strong balance sheet showing cash and cash equivalents of approximately $1 billion [31] - The 2025 outlook includes adjusted revenue guidance of $4,035 million to $4,135 million, with expectations to be at the lower end of this range [32][33] Q&A Session Summary Question: Recent trends in retail and North America segment - Management noted improvements from lows in mid-summer, particularly in the Mexico corridor, but emphasized that trends remain lumpy [38] Question: Visibility on travel money growth - Management indicated that travel money is expected to grow significantly, driven by the acquisition of eurochange and expansion into new markets [40][41] Question: Trends in LACA and North America - Management observed overall market stability and the lapping effects of previous declines due to elections in South America [55] Question: Digital transaction growth vs. revenue growth - Management explained that the acceleration in transactions was primarily due to partnerships in the Middle East, which typically have lower revenue per transaction [58][59] Question: Future of digital penetration - Management expects digital penetration to continue growing at double-digit rates, with significant opportunities in specific corridors [66][67] Question: Integration of Intermex model - Management intends to maintain the Intermex brand and model while integrating successful practices into their existing operations [81]