Group 1 - The core issue in the Asian market is that many consumers struggle to find athletic shoes that fit properly, leading to discomfort and potential foot health problems [1][6][10] - Research indicates that 63% to 72% of individuals wear shoes that do not match their foot length and width, a problem that is particularly pronounced in Asia due to differences in foot shape [1][3][10] - The design of most Western athletic shoes is based on Western foot data, which does not accommodate the wider and shorter foot shapes common in Asia, resulting in a mismatch in fit and comfort [3][8][10] Group 2 - Many consumers are unaware of their own foot shapes, leading to incorrect shoe purchases and inappropriate usage of shoes for different activities, which can cause discomfort and injuries [3][13][15] - The design logic of athletic shoes has historically centered around Western standards, neglecting the unique characteristics of Asian foot shapes, which can lead to various foot health issues [8][10][12] - Common design features in athletic shoes, such as high heels and narrow toe boxes, can exacerbate foot problems for Asian consumers, leading to conditions like bunions and plantar fasciitis [10][12][19] Group 3 - There is a growing demand for shoes designed specifically for wider Asian foot shapes, prompting some brands to introduce models that cater to these needs [19][21] - Brands are beginning to offer more specialized fitting services, including 3D foot scanning and dynamic gait analysis, to help consumers find the right shoe for their foot type [19][21][23] - A comprehensive guide for consumers on how to select the right athletic shoes has been compiled, emphasizing the importance of understanding one's foot shape and the specific requirements for different types of athletic activities [21][24][25]

Core Insights - On has opened its first flagship store in Chengdu, marking the end of a five-year exploration period in China [1][3] - The company plans to expand its store count in China to over 100 by 2026, currently operating 66 stores [1][3] - On's new Cloudboom Strike LS shoe, featuring innovative LightSpray™ technology, aims to enhance production efficiency and comfort [5][6] Group 1: Store Expansion - The flagship store in Chengdu covers 500 square meters and showcases a variety of products for different sports [1][3] - On's strategy emphasizes the need for more self-operated retail stores in China, moving away from reliance on wholesale channels [3] - The company aims to open more flagship stores in both China and other regions in the future [1][3] Group 2: Product Innovation - The Cloudboom Strike LS is the first mass-produced racing shoe using LightSpray™, a technology that simplifies the manufacturing process [5][6] - The shoe weighs only 170 grams, making it lighter than competitors, which is crucial for professional runners [6] - On's team has developed a unique formula for the shoe's material, enhancing durability and comfort [5] Group 3: Financial Performance - On's annual compound growth rate from 2021 to 2024 exceeds 47% [7] - In 2024, the company reported a net revenue of 2.318 billion Swiss francs (approximately 19 billion RMB), a year-on-year increase of 29.4% [7] - The net profit for 2024 reached 242 million Swiss francs (approximately 1.984 billion RMB), showing a remarkable growth of 204% [7]

行业主要上市公司：安踏(1368.HK);红蜻蜓(603116);奥康鞋业(603001);佛山星期六(002291);李宁(2331.HK) 等; 本文核心数据：中国女鞋行业市场规模; 2024年中国女鞋行业市场规模超过2200亿元 鞋，即利用皮革、人造革、纺织面料、橡胶等原材料制造成的一种穿在脚上的物品。鞋的基本结构组成包括 鞋面、鞋底、鞋跟、鞋垫等。按使用人群，鞋类产品可分为男鞋、女鞋和童鞋。女鞋行业，顾名思义就是女 性鞋类产品相关的生产、消费等活动。2023年中国女鞋行业市场规模超2150亿元，近四年行业复合增速为 1.20%。初步估算，2024年中国女鞋行业市场规模进一步增长超过2200亿元。 转自：前瞻产业研究院 从中国女鞋细分产品销售结构来看，当前低帮鞋和靴子是中国女鞋最主要的消费产品类型，2023年低帮鞋占 中国女鞋市场规模份额比重超过45%。 产业竞争 当前国内女鞋行业市场竞争企业众多，除了全球企业外国内女鞋代表品牌数量也较多，包括红蜻蜓、千百 度、达芙妮和百丽等。从国内女鞋代表企业产品布局来看，大部分时尚休闲类品牌企业均以多元化业务布局 为重点战略，在高跟鞋、运动鞋、休闲鞋等细分领域均有布 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved record first-quarter sales of $2.41 billion, representing a 7.1% increase year-over-year, and $2.46 billion on a constant currency basis, up 9% [8][27] - Earnings per share were $1.34, essentially flat compared to the prior year [34] - Gross margin was 52%, down 50 basis points from the previous year, primarily due to lower average selling prices from higher promotions in certain markets [31] - Operating expenses increased 180 basis points as a percentage of sales to 41% [32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Direct-to-consumer sales grew 6% year-over-year to $879.4 million, with domestic growth of 11% driven by strong e-commerce performance [27][17] - Wholesale sales increased 7.8% year-over-year to $1.53 billion, with international sales up 9.5% [28][16] - The domestic wholesale growth reflected broad-based demand across kids, men's, and women's categories [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Domestic and international sales both increased by 7%, with EMEA growing 14% and The Americas growing 8.3% [9][14] - In APAC, sales decreased by 2.6%, primarily due to soft consumer spending in China, but grew 12% when excluding China [10][30] - EMEA sales for the first quarter increased 14% year-over-year to $718.2 million [29] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company views international markets as its primary growth engine, with 65% of total business coming from international sales [9][21] - Investment priorities focus on expanding distribution centers, enhancing product offerings, and growing direct-to-consumer capabilities [20][21] - The company aims to navigate current macroeconomic uncertainties by leveraging its brand strength and global market position [21][42] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating current challenges, citing a strong demand for Skechers products globally [26][38] - The company acknowledged the uncertainty in the macroeconomic environment but remains optimistic about growth opportunities, particularly in international markets [31][38] - Management emphasized the importance of flexibility in sourcing and production to adapt to changing market conditions [92][108] Other Important Information - The company ended the quarter with $1.24 billion in cash and cash equivalents, maintaining liquidity of $1.85 billion [35] - Inventory increased by 30% year-over-year to $1.77 billion, primarily due to elongated transit times [35][36] - Capital expenditures for the quarter were $147.1 million, focusing on distribution infrastructure and new store openings [36] Q&A Session Summary Question: Discussion on tariff situation and production in China - Management indicated that they are actively pursuing cost-sharing, sourcing optimization, and pricing adjustments to address tariff impacts, with a focus on minimizing production from high-cost locations [49][50] Question: Market volatility and consumer demand - Management noted that while there is uncertainty in the U.S. and China markets, consumer demand for Skechers products remains robust, particularly in international markets [60][62] Question: Inventory management and pricing strategy - Management is closely managing inventory levels and is prepared to adjust pricing strategies based on market conditions, emphasizing the importance of consumer perception [78][97] Question: Sourcing and production flexibility - Management confirmed that they are exploring flexible sourcing options and optimizing production locations to mitigate tariff impacts, with a focus on maintaining quality and cost-effectiveness [92][108]

Skechers U.S.A., Inc. (NYSE:SKX) Q1 2025 Earnings Conference Call April 24, 2025 4:30 PM ET Company Participants Soo Hwang - Senior Director of International Merchandising David Weinberg - COO John Vandemore - CFO Conference Call Participants Jay Sole - UBS Laurent Vasilescu - BNP Paribas Peter McGoldrick - Stifel Adrienne Yih - Barclays Alex Straton - Morgan Stanley John Kernan - TD Cowen Jesalyn Wong - Evercore ISI Josh Reiss - Raymond James Krisztina Katai - Deutsche Bank Chris Nardone - Bank of America ...

Market Performance - Markets closed higher for the third consecutive session, with the Dow up 486 points (+1.23%), S&P 500 up 108 points (+2.03%), Nasdaq up 457 points (+2.74%), and Russell 2000 up 38 points (+2.00%) [1] - The indexes have increased between +2% to nearly +5% this week, despite initial concerns regarding Jerome Powell's position as Fed Chair [1] Key Stocks - The "Magnificent 7" stocks, including NVIDIA (NVDA), Amazon (AMZN), Tesla (TSLA), and Microsoft (MSFT), all rose over +3% during the session, although they remain down year-to-date, with Microsoft down -8% and Tesla down -35% [2] Economic Reports - Existing Home Sales for March were reported at 4.02 million units, below the anticipated 4.13 million and February's 4.27 million, indicating a continued housing market challenge [3] - Durable Goods Orders for March increased by +9.2%, significantly surpassing the estimated +1.6%, suggesting businesses may be pulling forward orders ahead of tariff announcements [4] - Initial Jobless Claims remained stable at 222K, reflecting a relatively calm labor market despite recent layoffs [4] Q1 Earnings Reports - Alphabet (GOOGL) reported Q1 earnings of $2.81 per share, exceeding the expected $2.02, with revenues of $76.50 billion compared to the $75.53 billion consensus [5] - Alphabet's cloud revenues reached $12.26 billion, up from $9.57 billion year-over-year, and YouTube ad revenue grew by 90 basis points to +8.93% [6] - GOOGL's shares rose +5% in after-market trading following a +2.5% increase prior to the earnings release, although it remains down roughly -10% year-to-date [6] Other Company Earnings - Intel (INTC) reported Q1 earnings of +$0.13 per share, surpassing the expected $0.01, with revenues of $12.7 billion, slightly above the $12.3 billion estimate [7] - Despite outperforming expectations, Intel's shares fell -5% in late trading due to a pullback in next-quarter guidance [7] - Skechers (SKX) reported Q1 earnings of $1.34 per share, beating the expected $1.18, but revenues of $2.41 billion fell short of the $2.44 billion projection, leading to an -8% decline in shares [8]

Core Insights - Skechers reported revenue of $2.41 billion for the quarter ended March 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 7.1% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) was $1.34, slightly up from $1.33 in the same quarter last year, with an EPS surprise of +14.53% against the consensus estimate of $1.17 [1] Revenue Performance - Geographic Revenue in Asia Pacific was $589 million, down 2.6% year-over-year and below the estimated $618.58 million [4] - Domestic Wholesale sales reached $496.20 million, representing a 4.2% increase year-over-year, but below the average estimate of $533.12 million [4] - Domestic Direct-to-Consumer sales were $357.50 million, exceeding the estimate of $335.74 million with a year-over-year growth of 10.8% [4] - Revenue from Europe, Middle East & Africa was $718.20 million, up 14.4% year-over-year and above the estimated $708.61 million [4] - International Direct-to-Consumer sales were $521.90 million, slightly below the estimate of $543.09 million, with a year-over-year increase of 2.9% [4] - Revenue from the Americas was $1.10 billion, reflecting an 8.3% year-over-year increase but below the estimated $1.12 billion [4] - International Wholesale sales were $1.04 billion, slightly above the estimate of $1.03 billion, with a year-over-year growth of 9.6% [4] - Total Wholesale sales amounted to $1.53 billion, a 7.8% increase year-over-year, but below the average estimate of $1.55 billion [4] - Total Direct-to-Consumer sales were $879.40 million, a 6% increase year-over-year, but below the estimate of $885.27 million [4] Stock Performance - Skechers shares have returned -14.8% over the past month, compared to a -5.1% change in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]

3. Nvidia Nvidia's revenue surged 12% year over year in Q4, driven by record quarterly data center revenue. Nvidia also guided for nearly 65% growth in revenue for Q1, but fears of a slowdown sent the artificial intelligence (AI) stock tanking 13.2% in March. Nike expects its current-quarter revenue to drop by a mid-teens percentage, but tariffs pose a new threat. In fiscal 2024, 50%, 27%, and 18% of Nike's namesake brand footwear were produced in Vietnam, Indonesia and China, respectively, so having to pay ...

Group 1: Earnings Season Overview - The earnings season has commenced, with several consumer-facing companies, including Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG), American Airlines (AAL), and Skechers (SKX), scheduled to report this week [1] - Guidance from these companies will be critical in assessing the state of the consumer and their post-earnings stock performance [1][8] Group 2: Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) - CMG shares have declined nearly 25% in 2025, underperforming the S&P 500, with negative EPS revisions leading to a Zacks Consensus EPS estimate of $0.28, down nearly 10% since January [2] - Year-over-year growth is projected at 3.7%, with sales expected to increase by 8.5% to $2.9 billion, reflecting a 5% downward revision [3] - CMG has consistently posted double-digit percentage year-over-year sales growth, with the latest period showing sales of $2.8 billion, a 13% improvement [5] Group 3: American Airlines (AAL) - AAL's guidance will be a significant factor in its earnings release, especially following Delta Air Lines' (DAL) recent results, which indicated a cautious outlook due to economic uncertainty [10] - Analysts have reduced their EPS expectations for AAL, reflecting a broader theme of uncertainty that is likely to influence the stock's movement post-earnings [11][13] Group 4: Skechers (SKX) - SKX shares have dropped over 30% in 2025, following a strong multi-year performance, with analysts cutting EPS expectations by 23% to a current estimate of $1.18 [14][16] - Revenue expectations for SKX remain stable, with quarterly sales projected at $2.4 billion, while margins will be a key focus in the earnings report [16][19] - The stock has seen a decline of approximately 9% over the past two years, suggesting that much of the negative sentiment may already be reflected in the share price [19]

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Skechers despite higher revenues, with the actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Skechers is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.18 per share, reflecting an 11.3% decrease year-over-year [3]. - Revenue projections stand at $2.44 billion, indicating an 8.3% increase from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 3.62% over the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Skechers is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -1.54% [10][11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a favorable Zacks Rank [8]. - Skechers currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat conclusively [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Skechers was expected to earn $0.74 per share but only achieved $0.65, resulting in a surprise of -12.16% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, Skechers has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [13]. Conclusion - Skechers does not appear to be a compelling candidate for an earnings beat, and investors should consider other factors when making decisions regarding the stock ahead of the earnings release [16].