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巴西:政府财政和公共部门债务统计任务技术援助报告(2024年8月5日至16日)(英)
IMF· 2025-04-28 05:55
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The technical assistance mission focused on improving the compilation and dissemination of government finance statistics (GFS) and public sector debt statistics (PSDS) in Brazil, following the methodologies outlined in the Government Finance Statistics Manual 2014 (GFSM 2014) and the Guide on Public Sector Debt Statistics 2011 (PSDSG 2011) [5][12] - A significant achievement was the proposal of a five-year work program aimed at strengthening Brazil's fiscal statistics and transitioning to the use of GFS as the official statistics for policy purposes [7][14] - The mission identified the need for a unified sectorization list of public sector units to address discrepancies in fiscal statistics and improve data consistency [37][39] Summary by Sections Summary of Mission Outcomes and Priority Recommendations - The mission was conducted in response to requests from the Ministry of Finance, Central Bank of Brazil, and the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics, focusing on enhancing fiscal statistics for decision-making [5][12] - Key tasks included reviewing the sectorization of public sector units and ensuring consistency in fiscal statistics [6][13] Detailed Technical Evaluation and Recommendations - The mission noted significant progress in implementing GFSM 2014 since 2007, with ongoing improvements in data sources and compilation techniques [10][20] - Recommendations included developing a five-year work program to enhance GFS and PSDS reliability and quality [15][32] Migration to GFS Statistics for Policy Purposes - A proposed five-year plan aims to transition to GFS for policy purposes, addressing weaknesses in traditional fiscal statistics [23][25] - The mission emphasized the importance of a transparent process for compiling GFS to reassure users of its reliability [28][29] Discrepancies – General Themes - The mission highlighted discrepancies in financing statistics, averaging around 1.1% of GDP from 2017 to 2023, with specific peaks during the COVID pandemic [31][34] - Recommendations included creating key fiscal indicators and improving the coverage of institutional units to reduce discrepancies [32][34] Sectorization of the Public Sector - The lack of a unified sectorization list was identified as a root cause of discrepancies in fiscal statistics [39][40] - The mission recommended maintaining and updating a complete sectorization list to enhance GFS coverage [41][43]
生成式人工智能在中央银行的应用
BIS· 2025-03-11 06:20
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - Generative AI has the potential to significantly boost global productivity, with estimates suggesting annual gains between $2.6 trillion and $4.4 trillion, and an output increase of 15-20% over 15 years post-adoption [3][4] - A survey indicates that over 40% of corporations report a return on investment from advanced Generative AI initiatives within the range of 11-30% [3] - The adoption rate of Generative AI among firms is rapidly increasing, with 65% of international corporations using it regularly by early 2024, nearly double the percentage from 2023 [6][5] - The amount of data created globally is projected to grow from 149 zettabytes in 2024 to over 394 zettabytes by 2028, fueling AI development [7] Summary by Sections Workshop Goals and Focus - The workshops aim to showcase projects, share expertise among central banks, and reduce reliance on external service providers, with the latest workshop focusing on Generative AI applications in central banking [2] AI Applications in Central Banking - AI enhances forecasting and nowcasting capabilities, regulatory compliance, financial supervision, and legal analysis, indicating its growing ubiquity in central banking [9][11] Workforce and Governance - A sound AI governance framework is essential, emphasizing policy preparedness and the need for firms to adapt their workforce towards IT, engineering, and mathematics expertise [19][23] - Training and reskilling are crucial for successful AI adoption, addressing resistance to change among employees [23] Cross-Institutional Cooperation - Encouragement of cross-institutional cooperation is vital due to the blurred regulatory boundaries in data-intensive technologies like AI, with a focus on cross-border data sharing [24][25]
When is the Fed's next meeting?
Yahoo Finance· 2024-06-06 15:07
This month, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) — a division of the Federal Reserve responsible for setting monetary policy — will meet again to evaluate the health of the economy and make key decisions regarding the federal funds rate. In September, the Fed decided to cut its benchmark rate for the first time this year. And many experts believe additional rate cuts are in store before 2025 is over. These decisions impact not only how the economy functions as a whole but also everyday consumers, as ...