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Countdown to Mondelez (MDLZ) Q3 Earnings: A Look at Estimates Beyond Revenue and EPS
ZACKS· 2025-10-23 14:16
Core Insights - Mondelez (MDLZ) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.73 per share, reflecting a decline of 26.3% year-over-year, while revenues are forecasted to reach $9.74 billion, indicating a 5.9% increase compared to the previous year [1] - Analysts have revised the consensus EPS estimate downward by 0.5% over the past 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment of projections [1][2] Revenue Estimates - North America revenue is projected at $2.77 billion, showing a year-over-year decline of 1.8% [4] - Europe revenue is expected to reach $3.67 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 10.5% [4] - AMEA revenue is estimated at $2.04 billion, indicating a 10.4% increase from the prior year [4] - Latin America revenue is forecasted at $1.25 billion, representing a 4% increase year-over-year [5] Operating Income Estimates - AMEA Non-GAAP operating income is projected at $298.89 million, down from $348.00 million in the same quarter last year [5] - Europe Non-GAAP operating income is estimated at $500.65 million, compared to $761.00 million a year ago [6] - North America Non-GAAP operating income is expected to be $491.07 million, down from $593.00 million in the previous year [6] - Latin America Non-GAAP operating income is forecasted at $125.54 million, compared to $142.00 million in the same quarter last year [7] Stock Performance - Mondelez shares have decreased by 3.8% over the past month, contrasting with a 0.2% increase in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [7] - The company holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating expectations of underperformance relative to the overall market in the near term [7]
Investor-backed Maple Donuts appoints Greg Somerville as CEO
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-23 13:35
Core Insights - Maple Donuts has appointed Greg Somerville as CEO, marking a significant leadership transition aimed at accelerating growth and market expansion [1][2][4] - Somerville brings extensive experience from previous roles in major companies, which is expected to enhance Maple Donuts' operational capabilities and customer relationships [3][4] Company Overview - Maple Donuts, founded in 1946 by the Burnside family, specializes in producing private-label doughnuts for retail and foodservice channels in the US [2] - The company is a portfolio entity of Swander Pace Capital, which acquired it in the summer of 2023 [2][4] Leadership Transition - The appointment of Greg Somerville is seen as a strategic milestone for Maple Donuts, with expectations for improved partnerships and market expansion [3][4] - Luke Burnside, the vice president for sales, emphasized Somerville's customer-first mindset and operational expertise as key to the company's growth [3] Future Prospects - The company is at an "exciting inflection point," with inquiries about potential new markets and customers as part of its expansion program [3] - Swander Pace Capital has not disclosed the financial terms of the acquisition, but it has a history of successful investments in various food-related companies [4][5]
The Simply Good Foods pany(SMPL) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-23 13:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For fiscal year 2025, the company reported a 9% increase in net sales, with 3% organic growth and a 3% increase in adjusted EBITDA [6][32] - In Q4, reported net sales were $369 million, a decline of 1.8% year-over-year, while organic net sales grew 3.5% [28][29] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 was $66.2 million, down 14.5% from the previous year, primarily due to inflationary pressures and the impact of the 53rd week [30][32] - The company recorded a non-cash impairment loss of $60.9 million related to the Atkins brand [31] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Quest generated nearly two-thirds of the company's net sales in Q4, with consumption growth of 11% and net sales growth of over 13% for the fiscal year [16][20] - Atkins experienced a consumption decline of 12% in Q4 and 10% for the full year, primarily due to distribution losses [20][21] - OWYN saw a consumption increase of 14% in Q4 and 34% for the full year, despite facing some product quality issues [22][24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The nutritional snacking category grew by 13% in fiscal year 2025, reflecting a strong consumer trend towards high-protein, low-sugar, and low-carb products [7][16] - The company noted that over 70% of Americans are actively seeking more protein and fewer carbs in their diets [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company's vision is to be a leader in high-protein, low-sugar, and low-carb food and beverage, capitalizing on a generational shift towards these products [6][7] - The integration of OWYN has been largely completed, and the company is focusing on expanding its product offerings and marketing efforts [8][24] - The company is investing in innovation and expanding capacity to support its fast-growing salty snacks business [8][9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged challenges such as inflation and distribution losses for Atkins but expressed confidence in overcoming these issues [10][14] - The company expects net sales growth for fiscal year 2026 to be in the range of -2% to +2%, with a focus on Quest and OWYN offsetting declines in Atkins [39][40] - Management anticipates gross margins to decline by 100-150 basis points in fiscal year 2026, with a stronger second half expected [39][42] Other Important Information - The company repaid $150 million of its term loan debt in fiscal year 2025 and has a strong balance sheet with low net debt levels [35][36] - A $150 million increase to the stock repurchase program was approved by the board, reflecting confidence in the business [36] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of OWYN product quality issues on future sales - Management acknowledged the product quality issue related to pea protein but stated that it has been rectified and is confident in OWYN's growth trajectory moving forward [46][47][50] Question: Competition in the high-protein, low-sugar market - Management noted that competition is not new and emphasized the importance of agility and innovation to stay ahead in the market [55][59] Question: Top-line guidance and expected performance of Quest and OWYN - Management confirmed that Quest is expected to grow in the high single digits, while OWYN is projected to be in the double-digit range, with Atkins facing a decline [65][66]
The Simply Good Foods pany(SMPL) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-23 13:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For fiscal year 2025, the company reported a 9% increase in net sales, with 3% organic growth and a 3% increase in adjusted EBITDA [6][32] - In Q4, reported net sales were $369 million, a decline of 1.8% year-over-year, while organic net sales grew 3.5% [28][29] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 was $66.2 million, down 14.5% from the previous year, primarily due to inflationary pressures and the impact of a 53rd week in the prior year [30][32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Quest generated nearly two-thirds of the company's net sales in Q4, with a year-over-year consumption growth of 11% and net sales growth of over 13% for the full year [16][20] - Atkins experienced a consumption decline of 12% in Q4 and 10% for the full year, largely due to distribution losses [20][21] - OWYN saw a consumption growth of 14% in Q4 and 34% for the full year, with household penetration increasing to 4.2% [22][24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The nutritional snacking category grew by 13% in fiscal year 2025, reflecting a strong consumer trend towards high protein and low sugar products [7][16] - The company noted that over 70% of Americans are actively seeking more protein and fewer carbs in their diets, indicating a favorable market environment [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to be a leader in high protein, low sugar, and low carb food and beverage, capitalizing on a generational shift in consumer preferences [6][7] - Investments in innovation and marketing have increased, with a focus on expanding distribution and enhancing product offerings [8][9] - The company is proactively managing the Atkins brand to align shelf space with sales and support the growth of Quest and OWYN [13][21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged challenges such as inflation and distribution losses for Atkins but expressed confidence in overcoming these hurdles [10][14] - The company expects net sales growth for fiscal year 2026 to be in the range of -2% to +2%, with a stronger second half anticipated [39][40] - Management emphasized the importance of innovation and marketing investments to drive growth and improve margins in the future [39][42] Other Important Information - The company repaid $150 million of its term loan debt in fiscal year 2025 and repurchased nearly 1.6 million shares [35][36] - A non-cash impairment loss of $60.9 million was recorded related to the Atkins brand, reflecting updated revenue projections [31] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of OWYN product quality issues on future sales - Management confirmed that the product quality issue related to pea protein has been addressed and expressed confidence in OWYN's growth trajectory moving forward [46][47][50] Question: Competition in the high protein, low sugar market - Management acknowledged the competitive landscape but emphasized the company's agility and robust supply chain as key advantages [55][59] Question: Top-line guidance and expected growth rates - Management indicated that Quest and OWYN are expected to grow in the high single digits and double digits respectively, while Atkins is projected to decline by about 20% [65][66]
The Simply Good Foods pany(SMPL) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-23 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q4 2025, reported net sales were $369 million, a decline of 1.8% year-over-year, while organic net sales grew 3.5% [26][27] - Adjusted EBITDA was $66.2 million, down 14.5% from the previous year, primarily due to inflationary pressures and the impact of lapping the 53rd week [28][30] - Gross profit was $126.6 million, a decline of 13.3%, with gross margin at 34.3%, down 450 basis points year-over-year [27][28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Quest generated nearly two-thirds of the company's net sales in Q4, with consumption growth of 11% and net sales growth of over 13% for the full year [15][19] - Atkins experienced a consumption decline of 12% in Q4 and 10% for the full year, primarily due to distribution losses [19][20] - OWYN saw consumption growth of 14% in Q4 and 34% for the full year, with household penetration increasing to 4.2% [21][22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The nutritional snacking category grew by 13% in fiscal 2025, with a significant shift towards high-protein, low-sugar, and low-carb products [6][14] - Quest and OWYN now represent nearly three-quarters of the company's net sales, both growing at double-digit rates [6][15] - The company is expanding its presence in mainstream aisles, indicating a shift in consumer purchasing behavior [66][67] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to be a leader in high-protein, low-sugar, and low-carb food and beverage, capitalizing on a generational shift in consumer preferences [5][14] - There is a focus on innovation, with increased investment in R&D and marketing to enhance product offerings and brand awareness [8][66] - The company is proactively managing the Atkins brand to align shelf space with sales, while prioritizing growth for Quest and OWYN [10][20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged challenges such as inflation and distribution losses for Atkins but expressed confidence in overcoming these headwinds [9][12] - The outlook for fiscal 2026 includes expected net sales growth in the range of -2% to +2%, with a focus on Quest and OWYN offsetting declines in Atkins [35][36] - Management emphasized the importance of maintaining long-term growth strategies despite short-term challenges [24][36] Other Important Information - The company repaid $150 million of its term loan debt in fiscal 2025 and has a strong balance sheet with low net debt levels [32][33] - A $150 million increase to the stock repurchase program was approved, reflecting management's confidence in the business [33] - The company plans to invest $30 to $40 million in capital expenditures in fiscal 2026 to support growth initiatives [40][41] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of OWYN's product quality issues on future sales - Management confirmed that the product quality issue related to pea protein has been addressed and expressed confidence in OWYN's growth trajectory moving forward [43][45] Question: Competition in the high-protein, low-sugar market - Management acknowledged the competitive landscape but emphasized the company's agility and robust supply chain as key advantages [50][52] Question: Top-line guidance and expected growth rates for Quest and OWYN - Management indicated that Quest is expected to grow in the high single digits, while OWYN is projected to grow in the double-digit range, with Atkins facing a decline [59][60]
Here's where the economy is starting to show 'K-shaped' bifurcation
CNBC· 2025-10-23 12:45
Economic Overview - The current economic landscape is characterized by a "K-shaped" recovery, where wealthier Americans are increasing their spending while lower-income consumers are pulling back due to rising costs [1][3]. Consumer Spending Trends - Lower- and middle-income consumers are facing significant pressure from rising prices on essentials like groceries and gas, leading to a decline in their spending [3]. - Wealthier consumers are benefiting from stock market gains and rising home values, which is contributing to their increased purchasing power [3]. Company Insights - Coca-Cola is experiencing divergent sales growth, with higher demand for premium products among wealthier consumers and increased sales at dollar stores catering to lower-income shoppers [4]. - McDonald's is responding to the divided consumer landscape by expanding its value menu, as traffic from lower-income consumers has dropped by double digits [5]. - Chipotle is also noting pressure on lower-income consumers, which will influence their pricing strategy moving forward [6]. Automotive Sector - The average price for a new vehicle has surpassed $50,000 for the first time, driven by wealthier households who have access to favorable loan conditions [8][9]. - Auto loan defaults are rising, particularly among consumers with lower credit scores, indicating financial strain in this demographic [8]. Airline Industry - Delta Air Lines anticipates that revenue from premium offerings will exceed that from coach cabins next year, reflecting a trend towards higher-cost tickets among affluent travelers [10]. Hospitality Sector - Hilton is observing a bifurcation in consumer spending but does not expect this trend to persist, predicting a shift as inflation and interest rates decrease [11][12]. - Revenue from luxury offerings at Hilton is performing well, while affordable brands are experiencing a drop in revenue [12][13].
Brownes Dairy buys UK co-packer for RTD coffee push
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-23 12:30
Brownes Dairy has acquired its UK co-packing business Indul in a bid to boost sales of RTD coffee brand Hunt And Brew in the country. The deal included a factory in Hungerford, west of London. Financial details were not disclosed. Australia-based Brownes Dairy launched Hunt And Brew in the UK in July last year. The brand was already on sale in its domestic market and in South East Asia. "Previously we were limited in the factory as other brands products we’re also being produced, limiting our capacity," ...
The Simply Good Foods pany(SMPL) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-10-23 12:30
Financial Performance in Fiscal Year 2025 - The company reported net sales growth of 9%[9], with organic net sales growth of 3%[9] - Adjusted EBITDA grew by 3%[9] - Quest's FY25 organic net sales increased by 13% year-over-year[14], reflecting nearly 20% 5-Year CAGR[14] - OWYN's full fiscal year retail takeaway grew 34%[25] - Atkins' FY25 retail takeaway declined 10%[19] - Q4 2025 reported net sales grew -1.8% year-over-year to $363.5 million[32] from $351.1 million[32] in Q4 2024 - Q4 2025 Adjusted EBITDA decreased 14.5% year-over-year to $66.2 million[34] from $77.5 million[34] in Q4 2024 - Fiscal Year 2025 net sales increased 9% year-over-year to $1,450.9 million[36] from $1,306.7 million[36] in FY24 - Fiscal Year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA increased 3.4% year-over-year to $278.2 million[38] from $269.1 million[38] in FY24 Fiscal Year 2026 Outlook - The company anticipates net sales to be between -2% to +2%[10][46] - Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between -4% to +1%[10][46]
Noma and Novonesis partner to scale deliciousness
Globenewswire· 2025-10-23 11:03
Core Insights - Noma and Novonesis are collaborating to enhance food flavors and create healthier products by merging culinary arts with bioscience [1][3][4] Company Collaboration - The partnership aims to unite influential chefs and leading scientists to translate lab innovations into culinary experiences [3][7] - Noma's founder, René Redzepi, emphasizes the importance of flavor in inspiring new eating habits and unlocking new culinary possibilities [4][6] Innovation and Approach - Noma utilizes fermentation to develop unique flavors, while Novonesis brings over 100 years of fermentation expertise to the collaboration [4][5] - The partnership focuses on local ingredients and community preferences, with Novonesis adjusting taste profiles using biosolutions [5][6] Product Development - The collaboration will explore new flavors, textures, and nutritional profiles, aiming to create products that are healthier and more flavorful [7] - Initial products from this partnership will be showcased at Gulfood Manufacturing in Dubai from November 4-6 [7]
The Simply Good Foods Company Reports Fiscal Fourth Quarter and Full Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results and Provides Fiscal Year 2026 Outlook
Globenewswire· 2025-10-23 11:00
Core Viewpoint - The Simply Good Foods Company reported solid financial results for fiscal year 2025, with net sales increasing by 9% and a focus on integrating the OWYN acquisition while navigating inflationary pressures and evolving consumer habits [2][11][12]. Financial Performance - For the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, net sales were $369.0 million, a decrease of 1.8% year-over-year, primarily due to a 6.9% headwind from lapping an extra week in the previous year [3][6]. - Organic net sales growth was 3.5%, with the OWYN acquisition contributing $5.6 million, or 1.5%, to reported net sales growth [3][11]. - Gross profit for the fourth quarter was $126.6 million, down 13.3% from the previous year, with a gross margin of 34.3%, reflecting a 450 basis point decrease due to elevated input costs [5][12]. Operating Expenses - Operating expenses increased to $138.4 million, up $40.3 million year-over-year, with selling and marketing expenses decreasing by $8.4 million due to planned reductions for the Atkins brand [7][13]. - General and administrative expenses were $40.6 million, slightly down from the previous year, with a notable decrease in costs excluding integration expenses [7][13]. Net Income and Earnings - The company reported a net loss of $12.4 million for the fourth quarter, compared to a net income of $29.3 million in the prior year, resulting in a loss per diluted share of $0.12 [6][9]. - Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter was $66.2 million, a decrease of 14.5% from $77.5 million in the previous year [9][10]. Fiscal Year 2025 Summary - For the full fiscal year 2025, net sales reached $1,450.9 million, a 9% increase driven by a 7.9% contribution from the OWYN acquisition and 3.0% organic growth [11][15]. - Gross profit for the year was $525.7 million, up 2.8% year-over-year, with a gross margin of 36.2%, reflecting a decrease of 220 basis points due to inflationary pressures [12][15]. Balance Sheet and Cash Flow - At the end of fiscal year 2025, the company had cash of $98.5 million and a term loan balance of $250.0 million, having repaid over $200.0 million of its debt during the year [18][19]. - Cash flow from operations was approximately $178.5 million, down from $215.7 million in the previous year, primarily due to higher working capital needs [19]. Outlook for Fiscal Year 2026 - The company anticipates a balanced outlook for fiscal year 2026, with expectations for net sales growth between -2% and +2% year-over-year and a decline in gross margins by 100 to 150 basis points [24][21]. - Increased marketing spending is planned for Quest and OWYN, with expectations for stronger performance in the second half of the fiscal year [21][22].