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Why Roku (ROKU) Outpaced the Stock Market Today
ZACKS· 2025-10-23 22:50
Company Performance - Roku's stock closed at $98.28, with a daily increase of 2.34%, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.58% [1] - Over the past month, Roku's shares experienced a loss of 2.22%, which is better than the Consumer Discretionary sector's loss of 2.64% but underperformed the S&P 500's gain of 0.16% [1] Earnings Projections - Roku is expected to release its earnings on October 30, 2025, with projected earnings per share (EPS) of $0.07, indicating a 216.67% increase year-over-year [2] - Revenue for the same quarter is projected to be $1.21 billion, reflecting a 13.46% rise from the previous year [2] Full Year Estimates - For the full year, earnings are projected at $0.14 per share and revenue at $4.66 billion, representing increases of 115.73% and 13.24% respectively from the prior year [3] - Recent analyst estimate revisions for Roku indicate positive sentiment regarding the business outlook [3] Valuation Metrics - Roku has a Forward P/E ratio of 691.42, significantly higher than the industry average of 31.59, indicating it is trading at a premium [6] - The company also has a PEG ratio of 11.32, compared to the Broadcast Radio and Television industry's average PEG ratio of 1.89 [7] Industry Context - The Broadcast Radio and Television industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 87, placing it in the top 36% of over 250 industries [8] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]
FOX vs. ROKU: Which Stock Should Value Investors Buy Now?
ZACKS· 2025-10-23 16:40
Core Insights - The article compares Fox Corporation (FOX) and Roku (ROKU) to determine which stock offers better value opportunities for investors [1] Valuation Metrics - FOX has a forward P/E ratio of 13.05, while ROKU has a significantly higher forward P/E of 691.42 [5] - FOX's PEG ratio is 1.29, indicating a more favorable valuation compared to ROKU's PEG ratio of 11.32 [5] - FOX's P/B ratio stands at 1.94, whereas ROKU's P/B ratio is 5.46, further highlighting FOX's relative undervaluation [6] Analyst Outlook - FOX currently holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a positive earnings estimate revision trend, while ROKU has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3] - The improving earnings outlook for FOX positions it as a superior value option compared to ROKU [7]
Pricing & Ad Momentum Lift Netflix's Q4 View: Is Upside Sustainable?
ZACKS· 2025-10-22 18:11
Core Insights - Netflix's latest results highlight the impact of pricing power and advertising momentum on its growth trajectory, with a 17% year-over-year revenue increase in Q3 and a forecasted 16.7% rise in Q4 2025 revenues to $11.9 billion, driven by higher memberships, price adjustments, and ad sales [1][9] Revenue Growth - Full-year revenues for 2025 are projected at $45.1 billion, indicating a 16% year-over-year increase, supported by robust demand [9] - Advertising has emerged as a significant growth engine, with Netflix achieving its best ad-sales quarter ever, and U.S. upfront commitments more than doubling [2] Advertising Strategy - Management aims to double ad revenues in 2025, leveraging the expanding ad-supported tier and the integration of Netflix Ads Suite and Yahoo DSP for improved targeting and measurement [2] - The dual strategy of affordable ad-supported options alongside premium user monetization is driving revenue growth [3] Pricing Strategy - Strategic price hikes in key markets, such as the U.S. and Canada, have increased average revenue per user (ARPU) and raised the operating margin to approximately 28% [3] - Current subscription plans range from $7.99 to $24.99, enhancing profitability [3] Content Pipeline - A strong content slate is anticipated to maintain user engagement, with notable releases in Q4 2025 including the final season of "Stranger Things" and live events [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate predicts revenue growth of 15.6% and 12.9% for 2025 and 2026, respectively [4] Competitive Landscape - Disney is enhancing its ad monetization and pricing flexibility through its AdTech stack across platforms, although it faces challenges with stagnant ARPU around $8 [5] - Amazon is leveraging its Prime Video and retail data to create a powerful advertising ecosystem, with projected retail media sales exceeding $60 billion in 2025 [6] Stock Performance and Valuation - Netflix shares have increased by 32% year-to-date, slightly underperforming the Zacks Broadcast Radio and Television industry, which rose by 33% [7] - The company is currently trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 39.95, which is higher than the industry average of 31.05 [10] - The consensus estimate for 2025 earnings is $26.10 per share, reflecting a 31.62% increase from the previous year [13]
Netflix (NFLX) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Lag Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-10-21 23:21
Core Viewpoint - Netflix reported quarterly earnings of $5.87 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.89 per share, representing an earnings surprise of -14.80% [1] - The company posted revenues of $11.51 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, slightly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.12% [2] Financial Performance - Earnings per share (EPS) for the same quarter last year was $5.4, indicating a year-over-year increase [1] - Revenue for the same quarter last year was $9.82 billion, showing a year-over-year increase of approximately 17.3% [2] Market Performance - Netflix shares have increased by about 39% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 14.5% [3] Future Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $5.35 on revenues of $11.92 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $26.10 on revenues of $45.06 billion [7] - The Zacks Rank for Netflix is currently 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the market in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Broadcast Radio and Television industry, to which Netflix belongs, is currently in the top 29% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a favorable outlook compared to lower-ranked industries [8]
Will WBD's Strategic Separation Lay Groundwork for Future Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-10-21 16:51
Core Insights - Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) is splitting into Warner Bros. (Streaming & Studios) and Discovery Global Media (Linear Networks) to simplify operations and sharpen strategic focus [1][4] - The new Warner Bros. will consolidate major creative assets and is expected to generate over $3.8 billion in Adjusted EBITDA by 2025 [2][8] - Discovery Global Media, which includes CNN and other networks, is projected to achieve over $4 billion in EBITDA, supported by a strong content slate [3][8] Financial Projections - The total revenue estimate for WBD in 2025 is $41.82 billion, reflecting a 4.3% year-over-year increase [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 network revenues for Discovery Global Media is $17.57 billion [3] - WBD's 2025 EPS estimate is 36 cents per share, a significant improvement from a loss of $4.62 per share a year ago [13] Competitive Landscape - WBD faces strong competition from Disney and Netflix, both of which have established ecosystems and aggressive content strategies [5] - WBD's focus on high-value franchises and disciplined cost control differentiates it in the competitive landscape [5] Stock Performance and Valuation - WBD shares have increased by 73.4% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector and the Broadcast Radio and Television industry [6] - The stock is currently trading at a forward price/sales ratio of 1.2X, significantly lower than the industry's 4.86X [10]
Netflix Gears Up to Report Q3 Earnings: Buy, Sell or Hold NFLX Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-10-17 16:51
Core Insights - Netflix is expected to report third-quarter 2025 results on October 21, projecting revenues of $11.526 billion, reflecting approximately 17% year-over-year growth [1][19] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter revenues is $11.52 billion, indicating a growth of 17.3% year over year [2] - The company anticipates diluted earnings per share of $6.87, with expected operating income of $3.625 billion and net income of $2.979 billion for the quarter [2] Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The consensus mark for earnings is $6.89 per share, slightly above the company's guidance [2] - The operating margin is forecasted at 31%, a 2 percentage point improvement compared to the same quarter in 2024 [6] - Revenue growth is driven by member expansion, pricing adjustments, and increasing advertising revenues [1][19] Content Performance - Key content releases, including Squid Game Season 3 and KPop Demon Hunters, significantly boosted engagement [8] - Squid Game Season 3 achieved 60.1 million views in its first three days, while KPop Demon Hunters became Netflix's most-watched animated original film with over 236 million views [8] - The company expanded its live programming with notable boxing matches, enhancing viewer engagement [9] Advertising Business - Netflix is nearing completion of U.S. upfront negotiations, aiming to double advertising revenues in 2025 [10] - The rollout of the Netflix Ads Suite across all advertising markets is expected to yield results in line with company expectations [10] Regional Revenue Growth - Asia-Pacific revenues are projected at $1.39 billion, indicating 23.9% growth year over year [12] - Latin America revenues are estimated at $1.45 billion, suggesting a rise of 17.3% from the previous quarter [12] - EMEA revenues are pegged at $3.68 billion, reflecting a 17.5% increase year over year [13] - U.S. and Canada revenues are expected to reach $4.99 billion, indicating a 15.5% rise year over year [13] Stock Performance and Valuation - Netflix shares have gained 32.7% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector [14] - The stock is currently trading at 38.18X forward earnings, above its five-year median of 33.8X, indicating a premium valuation [16] - The valuation appears stretched compared to the industry average of 29.92X [16] Investment Considerations - The company demonstrates strong operational execution with solid third-quarter guidance and improving margins [20] - However, premium valuation and competitive pressures in the streaming landscape suggest limited near-term upside [20] - Existing shareholders are advised to maintain positions, while prospective investors may consider waiting for a more favorable entry point [20]
Roku (ROKU) Sees a More Significant Dip Than Broader Market: Some Facts to Know
ZACKS· 2025-10-16 22:51
Core Viewpoint - Roku's stock performance is being closely monitored ahead of its upcoming earnings report, with significant projected increases in both earnings per share and revenue compared to the previous year [2][3]. Financial Performance - Roku's projected earnings per share (EPS) for the upcoming quarter is $0.07, representing a 216.67% increase year-over-year [2]. - The consensus estimate for Roku's revenue is $1.21 billion, indicating a 13.46% rise from the same quarter last year [2]. - For the entire fiscal year, earnings are expected to be $0.14 per share and revenue is projected at $4.66 billion, reflecting increases of 115.73% and 13.24% respectively from the previous year [3]. Analyst Estimates - Recent changes to analyst estimates for Roku indicate a positive outlook on the company's business operations and profit generation capabilities [4]. - The Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has increased by 18.71% over the past month, suggesting growing analyst confidence [6]. Valuation Metrics - Roku currently has a Forward P/E ratio of 709.78, which is significantly higher than the industry average Forward P/E of 30 [6]. - The company has a PEG ratio of 11.62, compared to the Broadcast Radio and Television industry's average PEG ratio of 1.86 [7]. Industry Context - The Broadcast Radio and Television industry, which includes Roku, is part of the Consumer Discretionary sector and holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 84, placing it in the top 35% of over 250 industries [8].
Why Fox (FOX) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2025-10-15 17:11
Core Viewpoint - Fox Corporation (FOX) is positioned well to potentially beat earnings estimates in its upcoming quarterly report, supported by a strong history of exceeding expectations [1][2]. Earnings Performance - Fox has a solid track record of surpassing earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 18.94% over the last two quarters [2]. - In the most recent quarter, Fox reported earnings of $1.27 per share, exceeding the expected $1.03 per share by 23.30% [2]. - For the previous quarter, the company reported $1.1 per share against an expectation of $0.96 per share, resulting in a surprise of 14.58% [2]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Estimates for Fox have been trending upward, influenced by its history of earnings surprises [5]. - The stock has a positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) of +11.87%, indicating recent bullish sentiment among analysts regarding its earnings prospects [8]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) suggests a high likelihood of another earnings beat [8]. Statistical Insights - Research indicates that stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6]. - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7]. Upcoming Earnings Report - Fox's next earnings report is anticipated to be released on October 30, 2025 [8].
3 Reasons to Hold WBD Stock Now Despite a 67.7% Year-to-Date Rally
ZACKS· 2025-10-14 16:11
Core Insights - Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) has seen a 67.7% increase year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Broadcast Radio and Television industry and the Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector, which rose by 30.4% and 4.7% respectively, driven by improved content monetization, debt reduction, and operational efficiency [2] - Despite the positive momentum, investor sentiment remains cautious due to ongoing restructuring and competitive pressures, leading to a preference for holding positions rather than increasing exposure [2] Year-to-Date Performance - WBD's growth strategy is anchored in its two core engines: Studios and Streaming, which are essential for long-term content monetization [5] - The Studios division has focused on quality and efficiency, rebuilding its production slate with established franchises and original IP, aiming for consistent returns across various revenue streams [6] Streaming and Studios Momentum - The streaming business is evolving towards sustainable profitability, with HBO Max shifting from subscriber-led growth to a profit-oriented model through advertising and geographic expansion [7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for WBD's third-quarter 2025 streaming revenues is projected at $2.74 billion, reflecting a 4.1% year-over-year increase, while Studios revenue is estimated at $3.16 billion, indicating a 17.8% year-over-year increase [8][9] Separation Strategy - The planned separation of WBD into Warner Bros. (Studios and Streaming) and Discovery Global (Linear Networks) aims to enhance operational focus but introduces near-term uncertainty [10] - In Q2, WBD retired $17.7 billion of bonds, reducing gross debt by $2.7 billion, although the associated bridge-loan facility incurs higher interest costs, impacting free cash flow until the separation is complete [11] Competitive Landscape - WBD operates in a highly competitive media landscape, facing challenges from Netflix, Disney, and Amazon, which have established strong market positions and diversified monetization strategies [13][14] - WBD trades at a forward 12-month price-to-sales multiple of 1.17X, significantly lower than the averages of its peers, reflecting investor caution regarding its ongoing separation and financing costs [14] Conclusion - WBD's improving execution in studios and streaming, along with progress in deleveraging, supports its long-term recovery potential, but competition and limited earnings visibility continue to affect sentiment [18] - The stock trades at a discount to peers, indicating value but lacking near-term catalysts for re-rating, suggesting a hold strategy until uncertainties are resolved [18]
Sirius XM (SIRI) Beats Stock Market Upswing: What Investors Need to Know
ZACKS· 2025-10-13 23:16
Group 1: Stock Performance - Sirius XM (SIRI) closed at $21.45, marking a +2.48% increase from the previous day, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 1.56% [1] - Prior to this trading session, Sirius XM shares had declined by 10.1%, lagging behind the Consumer Discretionary sector's loss of 5.13% and the S&P 500's gain of 0.41% [1] Group 2: Upcoming Earnings - Sirius XM is set to release its earnings report on October 30, 2025, with expected earnings of $0.79 per share, indicating a year-over-year growth of 194.05% [2] - Revenue is anticipated to be $2.14 billion, reflecting a 1.23% decrease compared to the same quarter last year [2] Group 3: Full Year Projections - For the full year, earnings are projected at $2.71 per share, representing a +52.25% change from the prior year, while revenue is expected to be $8.52 billion, showing a -2.02% change [3] - Recent adjustments to analyst estimates for Sirius XM may indicate changing near-term business trends, with positive revisions suggesting analyst optimism [3] Group 4: Valuation Metrics - Sirius XM is currently trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 7.71, which is a discount compared to its industry's Forward P/E of 29.67 [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 0.32, significantly lower than the Broadcast Radio and Television industry's average PEG ratio of 1.84 [6] Group 5: Industry Ranking - The Broadcast Radio and Television industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 49, placing it in the top 20% of over 250 industries [7] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]