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GTA 6 Delay Makes Take-Two Valuation Tough: Video Game ETF CEO Says 'Long-Only Holders Need Patience'
Benzinga· 2025-07-18 16:52
Core Viewpoint - Take-Two Interactive Software's stock valuation is heavily influenced by the anticipated release of "Grand Theft Auto VI," now scheduled for May 26, 2026, which has led to a significant shift in revenue forecasts and stock performance [1][2][6]. Group 1: Release Date and Market Expectations - The release of "Grand Theft Auto VI" has been officially set for May 26, 2026, moving it out of fiscal 2026 and into fiscal 2027, allowing the development team to finalize what is described as their "most ambitious title ever" [2]. - Prediction markets indicate a 68% chance of the game being released before June 2026, an 84% chance before August 2026, and a 94% chance before 2027 [3]. Group 2: Pricing Strategy - Analysts expect the game to be priced higher than typical releases, with standard editions around $80 and deluxe editions exceeding $100, reflecting the franchise's strong market position [4]. - The higher pricing strategy is not expected to impact the overall gaming sector significantly, as most publishers will continue to release games at $70 and monetize through post-launch content [5]. Group 3: Stock Valuation and Performance - The delay of "Grand Theft Auto VI" has caused Take-Two's stock to drop by 7% to 10%, translating to a $2 billion reduction in revenue forecasts for the current year [6]. - Despite the short-term challenges, sell-side targets for Take-Two's stock remain clustered around $235 to $240, anticipating a $3 billion-plus launch year in fiscal 2027 [6]. - Take-Two's stock is currently trading at $228.66, with a year-to-date increase of 25.8% in 2025, within a 52-week range of $135.24 to $245.08 [6].
EXCLUSIVE: Video Game ETF CEO Says Switch 2 Is 'Blockbuster,' EA Gains From Sports, GameStop Doesn't Pass ETF Test
Benzinga· 2025-07-17 22:27
Core Insights - The Roundhill Video Games ETF NERD is experiencing significant growth in 2025, primarily driven by the successful launch of Nintendo's Switch 2 console [1][2]. Nintendo - The Switch 2 launched at a price of $449, which is $150 higher than the original model, yet it achieved remarkable sales, with 3.5 million units sold in the first four days, marking the fastest start for any console in Nintendo's history [2][3]. - Nintendo's management is projecting to ship 15 million consoles in the current fiscal year, which is expected to increase revenue by over 60% and operating profit by around 13% [3]. - Nintendo is the largest holding in the Roundhill Video Games ETF, comprising 12.1% of its assets, with a focus on monetizing intellectual property beyond traditional game sales [4]. Electronic Arts (EA) - EA's sports titles, particularly Madden and College Football, are significant revenue drivers, with expectations of a college basketball franchise potentially generating $300 million in bookings [7][8]. - The return of a college basketball game could conservatively sell four million titles, enhancing gamer engagement during off-seasons [8]. GameStop - GameStop is excluded from the Roundhill Video Games ETF due to its focus on tracking the Nasdaq CTA Global Video Games Software Index, which does not include physical retailers [9]. - GameStop's financial performance, characterized by double-digit revenue declines and volatility disconnected from fundamentals, further disqualifies it from ETF inclusion [10]. ETF Performance - The Roundhill Video Games ETF closed at $25.94, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 31.3% in 2025 and a 57.7% rise over the past year [10].
GameSquare Holdings (GAME) Update / Briefing Transcript
2025-07-16 17:00
Summary of GameSquare's Conference Call Company Overview - GameSquare is a digital media, entertainment, and technology company founded in August 2020, achieving over $100 million in pro forma annual revenue within four years [3][4] - The company serves top video game publishers and collaborates with global brands like McDonald's, Nike, and Porsche [4] Ethereum Treasury Strategy - GameSquare has launched a $100 million Ethereum-focused treasury management strategy aimed at generating sustainable on-chain yields through decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols [6][7] - The strategy is expected to drive over $10 million in incremental annual profitability, which will be reinvested into Ethereum asset purchases and growth initiatives [7] Strategic Partnerships - The treasury strategy is supported by partnerships with Gulf Capital and Dialectic, with Ryan Zuhr from Dialectic managing the Ethereum treasury strategy [5][27] - Dialectic has a strong track record in the DeFi ecosystem, achieving significant yields on various assets, including 14.02% on Ether [10][11] Yield Generation and Risk Management - The strategy targets on-chain yields of 8% to 14%, along with staking opportunities and potential Ethereum appreciation [6] - Dialectic employs an automated risk management system, utilizing machine learning and hyper diversification to manage risks effectively [14][22] - The company has maintained zero down months over the past three years, indicating strong performance and risk management capabilities [16][24] Market Position and Future Outlook - GameSquare aims to differentiate itself from competitors by focusing on productive use cases within the Ethereum ecosystem, such as DeFi, NFTs, and stablecoins [30][31] - The partnership with Dialectic is expected to provide GameSquare with a competitive edge in achieving real returns beyond merely holding Ether [31] Conclusion - GameSquare is optimistic about its Ethereum treasury strategy and its potential to create long-term value for shareholders while continuing to grow as a profitable media company [33]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-15 19:58
Game Development & Release - Krafton is extending the bonus period for employees working on 'Subnautica 2' [1] - The release of 'Subnautica 2' has been pushed out to next year [1] Legal Issues - The former leadership group of developer Unknown Worlds has filed a complaint for breach of contract [1]
Should You Buy Take-Two Stock Around $235?
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-15 00:22
Core Viewpoint - Investors are optimistic about Take-Two Interactive's future, particularly with the upcoming release of Grand Theft Auto VI, which is expected to significantly boost the company's performance [1][3]. Financial Outlook - Take-Two's stock is currently trading at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 87 for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, which is projected to drop to 25 for fiscal 2027, reflecting expectations for strong sales from GTA VI and other titles [5]. - Management anticipates net bookings to grow approximately 5% in fiscal 2026, reaching between $5.9 billion and $6.0 billion, with nearly half of these bookings expected from Zynga's mobile titles [7]. - Analysts project a 52% revenue growth for fiscal 2027, estimating it will reach a record $9.1 billion, driven by the sales of GTA VI [8]. Growth Projections - Wall Street analysts forecast that Take-Two's revenue could reach $10.9 billion by fiscal 2030, indicating a compound annual growth rate of 14% over the next five years [10]. - The company has a long-term growth strategy with 25 titles planned for release through fiscal 2028, which includes existing franchises and new mobile titles [11]. Earnings and Consumer Spending - A significant portion of Take-Two's revenue, approximately 75%, comes from recurrent consumer spending, which includes virtual currency and in-game purchases, indicating strong potential for margin growth [12]. - Analysts expect adjusted earnings to grow at an annualized rate of 39% over the next five years, potentially reaching $16.03 per share, which could lead to a share price of $400 if the stock maintains a P/E ratio of 25 [13].
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-11 04:36
A Polish studio developing the Witcher video-game franchise has become one of Europe’s most richly valued companies, with its shares rising 40% this year https://t.co/BhfcgdoeHf ...
Motorsport Games Celebrates Significant Month for Le Mans Ultimate and Studio 397
Globenewswire· 2025-07-09 20:10
Core Insights - Motorsport Games Inc. has achieved significant operational milestones for its game Le Mans Ultimate and its online racing system RaceControl, enhancing user experience and engagement [1][4][5] Group 1: Game Development and Updates - In June 2025, Motorsport Games executed major updates for Le Mans Ultimate, including support for Teams and Driver Swaps, and Custom Liveries for RaceControl Pro subscribers [3] - The game transitioned to "version 1.0" on June 13, 2025, introducing two new cars for all players and confirming the addition of the European Le Mans Series as an expansion [3][4] - The company plans to release new content on July 22, 2025, including quality of life fixes and the highly anticipated Career Mode expected in early 2026 [6] Group 2: Performance Metrics - Le Mans Ultimate reached an all-time peak concurrent player count, surpassing initial launch levels from February 2024 and more than doubling the previous month's figures [4] - The game generated revenues approximately eleven times faster than the prior title, rFactor 2, over the past eighteen months [4] - Subscriptions to the RaceControl service grew by 148% in June 2025 compared to the previous month, setting new monthly revenue records since its launch in December 2024 [4] Group 3: Company Vision and Strategy - Motorsport Games aims to create racing games that are authentically close to reality while building a comprehensive virtual racing ecosystem [6] - The company is focused on enhancing its esports offerings, including the renowned Le Mans Virtual Series, to drive excitement and engagement among racing fans [6]
X @IcoBeast.eth🦇🔊
IcoBeast.eth🦇🔊· 2025-07-07 01:21
Rumor has it we’re getting Pudgy Party (from the same crew that put out FIFA and NFL rivals) before end of AugustPersonally I’m pretty excited to try it…Fall Guys is one of the few party games I play with friends these days, and footage I’ve seen from this looks relatively similar.Gaming on Polkadot is very much alive. Hopeful for anothew W for Mythical Games. We will get mainstream videos games with crypto integration eventually. Just will look different than what everyone thought for the last few years.My ...
Electronic Arts (EA) Upgraded to Buy: Here's Why
ZACKS· 2025-07-03 17:00
Core Viewpoint - Electronic Arts (EA) has received an upgrade to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating a positive outlook based on rising earnings estimates, which significantly influence stock prices [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Impact - The Zacks rating system emphasizes the importance of earnings estimate revisions, which are strongly correlated with near-term stock price movements [4][6]. - Institutional investors often adjust their valuations based on changes in earnings estimates, leading to significant buying or selling activity that affects stock prices [4]. Recent Performance and Outlook - EA is projected to earn $8.21 per share for the fiscal year ending March 2026, with no year-over-year change expected [8]. - Over the past three months, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for EA has increased by 10.5%, reflecting a positive trend in earnings outlook [8]. Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with only the top 20% receiving a "Strong Buy" or "Buy" rating [9][10]. - The upgrade of EA to a Zacks Rank 2 places it in the top 20% of Zacks-covered stocks, suggesting potential for market-beating returns in the near term [10].
X @Decrypt
Decrypt· 2025-07-03 14:22
RT GG (@ggDecrypt)EverQuest, Planetside Co-Creator Reveals Open-World Shooter Game 'Reaper Actual'► https://t.co/lJ8Jr1iwkZ https://t.co/lJ8Jr1iwkZ ...