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中国房地产周度总结: 交易在稳定市场情绪下仍持平__
2025-08-25 02:04
In terms of market performance, transaction volume remain largely plateaued with primary/secondary markets recording +9%/-2% wow, sending MTD-Aug volume to -17%/flattish yoy. Sentiment held steady, with new home search activities unchanged wow, while secondary home visitor traffic improved 3% wow. However, secondary price 19 August 2025 | 7:23AM CST China Property Weekly Wrap Week 33 Wrap - Transactions remain plateaued amidst stable market sentiments Key highlights for the week: On the inventory buyback fr ...
中国房地产周度总结: 交易在稳定市场情绪下仍持平
2025-08-25 01:39
Summary of China Property Weekly Wrap Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **Chinese property market**, highlighting transaction trends and market sentiments during Week 33 of 2025. Key Highlights - **Inventory Buyback Initiatives**: Policymakers are preparing to mobilize central state-owned enterprises (SOEs) to purchase unsold homes from distressed property developers. The People's Bank of China's Q2 monetary policy report emphasizes the need to enhance existing supportive measures, including the ARH relending program, which has an issuance balance of Rmb16.2 billion by the end of Q3 2024 against a total quota of Rmb300 billion, aimed at stabilizing the housing market and optimizing financing systems for the property sector [1][2]. Market Performance - **Transaction Volumes**: - Primary market transactions increased by **9% week-over-week (wow)** but decreased by **17% year-over-year (yoy)**. - Secondary market transactions decreased by **2% wow** and **1% yoy**. - Overall, the market sentiment remained stable, with new home search activities unchanged week-over-week, while secondary home visitor traffic improved by **3% wow**. However, secondary price expectations from agents weakened by **0.7 percentage points (pp) wow**, marking the second consecutive week of softening [2][5]. Key Data Points - **Sales Performance**: - New home sales volume averaged **+9% wow** and **-17% yoy**, with tier-3 cities and the Pearl River Delta (PRD) outperforming. - Secondary transactions averaged **-2% wow** and **-1% yoy**, with negative price appreciation expectations from agents but not homeowners. - Year-to-date (YTD) primary gross floor area (GFA) sold was down **7% yoy**, while secondary GFA sold was up **12% yoy** [5][25]. Inventory and Valuation Insights - **Inventory Levels**: - Inventory balance decreased by **0.1% wow** and **4.0% from end-2024 levels**, with inventory months at **25.8** (compared to an average of **26.0** in July 2025) [35]. - **Valuation Trends**: - Offshore coverage developers saw an average share price increase of **6% wow** (compared to **3% for MSCI China**), with CR Land and Greentown outperforming at **+11%** and **+10% wow**, respectively. Onshore developers averaged **+2% wow** [46][48]. Completions and New Starts - **Completions**: - The GSPC tracker indicates a **20% yoy decline** in completions for August 2025, compared to a **29% yoy decline** in July 2025 [40]. - **New Starts**: - New starts are expected to record a mid-teens level yoy decline in August, based on land sales trends in 300 cities and a **+2pp wow** increase in nationwide cement shipment ratios [40]. Implications for the Market - The report suggests that property sales in approximately **75 cities** indicate a likely **17% yoy decline** in presales for top-100 developers in August, compared to a **27% decline** in July [7]. - The overall sentiment in the property market remains cautious, with ongoing challenges in sales and price expectations, despite some positive movements in specific segments [6][7]. Conclusion - The Chinese property market is experiencing a plateau in transaction volumes, with mixed performance across different city tiers. Policymaker interventions and market stabilization efforts are crucial as the sector navigates ongoing challenges and seeks to transition to a new development model [1][2][6].
中国房地产行业 - 要清除中国住房库存需要什么-构建正向反馈循环是关键-China Property_ What would it take to clear China's housing inventory (No. 3)_ Forming a positive feedback loop is the key
2025-08-22 02:33
21 August 2025 | 3:43PM CST China Property What would it take to clear China's housing inventory (No. 3): Forming a positive feedback loop is the key In light of persistent deflationary pressure and weak demand, we look back at history to learn how the government successfully overcame such challenges in the past. Our case-study on the Shanghai property market back in the 90s provide some insights. Build more supply ahead of demand. In our last edition on this topic, we found that China's tier-1/2 cities hav ...
LHN:共居子品牌Coliwoo将旧武吉知马消防局改造为综合生活体验目的地
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-21 17:01
Core Viewpoint - LHN's subsidiary Coliwoo is set to launch a revitalized Bukit Timah Fire Station by September 2025, transforming it into a vibrant lifestyle destination that integrates nature, community, and curated experiences [1] Group 1: Project Overview - The project, named "Coliwoo Bukit Timah Fire Station," will feature the brand's latest co-living residences aimed at young professionals, students, and digital nomads seeking a nature-centric urban lifestyle [1] - The mixed-use development will include experiential retail, community activities, and environmental initiatives to engage both members and the public [1] Group 2: Location and Accessibility - The project is strategically located near the scenic Rail Corridor at 260 Upper Bukit Timah Road, just a few minutes' drive from the city center [1] - It is designed to serve as an ideal retreat for families, students, expatriates, corporate employees, pet lovers, and outdoor enthusiasts [1]
香港宏观策略、经济、地产与银行 - 香港银行 HIBOR利率飙升是否构成阻力-Hong Kong Macro Strategy, Economics, Property and Banks-Is the HIBORS pike a Headwind
2025-08-21 04:44
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Hong Kong Macro Strategy, Economics, Property, and Banks - **Key Focus**: The impact of HIBOR (Hong Kong Interbank Offered Rate) fluctuations on the economy, property market, and banking sector in Hong Kong Core Insights and Arguments 1. **HIBOR Spike**: The 1-month HIBOR has increased from 0.91% to 2.86%, with potential to reach the 3% range, posing challenges for 2H25 GDP and credit quality of HK banks while potentially benefiting banks' net interest income (NII) [1][4][5] 2. **Economic Growth Forecast**: Anticipated GDP growth for 2H25 is projected at 2.1% YoY, down from 3.1% in 1H25, primarily due to the HIBOR spike and reduced borrowing appetite [3][23] 3. **Property Market Outlook**: Despite the HIBOR increase, the residential property market remains positive, driven by expected lower mortgage rates linked to future Fed rate cuts and rising rental demand [4][36] 4. **Banking Sector Implications**: The HIBOR spike raises concerns about net interest margin (NIM) performance and credit risks, particularly in commercial real estate (CRE) exposure for local banks [5][52] 5. **Future Rate Expectations**: A sustained decline in interest rates is contingent on anticipated Fed rate cuts, with expectations of a cumulative 175 basis points reduction by 2026 [3][22] Additional Important Insights 1. **Market Positioning**: The recent rise in HIBOR is attributed to a low aggregate balance of HK$54 billion and adjustments in USD/HKD carry trade positioning [2][12] 2. **Investment Recommendations**: Preferred stocks include Henderson Land, HK Land, and Link REIT, while New World Development (NWD) is avoided due to high gearing [4][36] 3. **Credit Quality Concerns**: Local banks, particularly Hang Seng Bank, face significant credit quality challenges due to their exposure to HK CRE, which constitutes about 15% of their loan books [54][58] 4. **Investor Sentiment**: The recovery in the stock market and rising rental prices contribute to a more optimistic outlook for the property sector, with mainland Chinese buyers playing a significant role in transactions [36][38] 5. **Liquidity Management**: The HKMA's liquidity management strategies are crucial in stabilizing HIBOR and maintaining the HKD peg, with interventions expected if USD/HKD approaches the weak end of the trading band [21][30] This summary encapsulates the critical points discussed in the conference call, highlighting the implications of HIBOR fluctuations on the Hong Kong economy, property market, and banking sector.
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-08-20 23:16
Senior employees of Singapore property conglomerate CapitaLand allegedly took bribes from a longtime contractor of its projects in India, according to a lawsuit filed in the city-state https://t.co/ehnhlEmRTt ...
Earth Science Tech, Inc. Boosts Share Repurchase Program to $10 Million and Extends Authorization Through 2027
Globenewswire· 2025-08-20 12:45
Core Viewpoint - Earth Science Tech, Inc. has approved a significant enhancement and a two-year extension of its common stock repurchase program, increasing total authorization to $10 million, which will now run through December 31, 2027 [1][2][3] Repurchase Program Details - The company has already deployed over $1.8 million to repurchase 20,834,214 shares since the program's inception on January 29, 2024, reflecting a commitment to enhancing shareholder value [2][4][8] - The remaining authorization for the repurchase program is $8,169,104.50, with the new expiration date set for December 31, 2027 [8] Company Overview - Earth Science Tech, Inc. operates as a strategic holding company focused on acquiring and scaling high-potential businesses, with current operations in compounding pharmaceuticals, telemedicine, and real estate development through its subsidiaries [5][6] - The company's subsidiaries include RxCompoundStore.com, Peaks Curative, Avenvi, Mister Meds, and others, each specializing in different aspects of healthcare and real estate [5][7][9]
固定收益部市场日报-20250820
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2025-08-20 08:29
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core View of the Report The report provides a comprehensive update on the fixed - income market, including bond price movements, macro - news, and company - specific financial and operational information. It also highlights potential investment opportunities, such as the recommendation to buy INCLEN 4.5 04/18/27 in the RNW complex [15]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Trading Desk Comments - Yesterday, the new DBS 3.989 28 was 3bps tighter from RO at par. In Asia IG, HYUELE 2.375 31s was 1bp tighter. SK Hynix repaid KRW3.4tn (cUSD2.5bn) [2]. - In financials, there was selling in STANLNs due to USD9.6bn unlawful transactions allegations. STANLN Perps were down 0.1pt. Yankee AT1s were weaker [2]. - In lifers, JP DAIL 6.2 Perps/MYLIFE 5.8 54s/NIPLIF 6.5 55s were down 0.4pt. KR TYANLI 35 was 1bp tighter. Tongyang Life announced the redemption of USD300mn TYANLI 5.25 Perp on 22 Sep'25 [2]. - In Chinese AMCs, CFAMCI 25/29s were 0.1 - 0.2pt higher. China CITIC FAMC expects its 1H25 net profit to increase 12.5 - 16.3% yoy to RMB6 - 6.2bn [2]. - In HK Corp, there was selling in HYSAN/CPREIT/CKHH/MTRC for profit - taking. HYSAN 4.85/7.2 Perps was 0.4 - 1.1pts lower. MTRC 55 was 1bp wider and MTRC Perps were 0.1 - 0.2pt lower [2]. - In Chinese HY, HONGQI 28s were 1bp tighter. China Hongqiao announced the buy - back of 10.2mn shares for cHKD234mn. GWFOOD 30 was 1.1pts lower. WESCHI 26 was 0.1pt higher [2]. - In Chinese properties, FTLNHD 25 - 26 were 0.2pt higher, FUTLAN 28 was unchanged. Seazen obtained approval for up to RMB1.1bn (cUSD147.5mn) onshore ABS offering and announced a profit warning for 1H25 results [2]. - In SEA, PTTGCs were 0.2 - 1.4pts higher (1 - 4bps tighter). PTT Global Chemical eyes THB30bn (cUSD923mn) from non - core assets monetization. PERTIJs were 1 - 2bps tighter. VLLPM 27 - 29 were down 0.1 - 1.5pts [2]. - This morning, the new ALVGR 6.55 Perp was up 0.5pt from RO at par. China and KR IGs were 1 - 3bps wider. There was profit - taking from BNKEAs/NANYANs. BBLTB subs were 2bps wider. SHIKON 35 was 1bp tighter [3]. - INCLEN 27s/INGPHL 27s/RPVIN27 - 28s were 0.1 - 0.4pt higher after results announcement. CTFSHK 29 was 0.4pt lower this morning [3]. - In the LGFV space, flows were mixed. Higher - yielding (8%+) papers were sought after by HF and RM, while there was profit - taking on 5% - 7% yielding papers. TSIVMG 1.55 29 was up 0.7pt [4]. Macro News Recap On Tuesday, S&P was down 0.59%, Dow was up 0.02%, and Nasdaq was down 1.46%. UST yield was lower, with 2/5/10/30 yields at 3.75%/3.82%/4.30%/4.90% [7]. Desk Analyst Comments - INCLEN's module and cell manufacturing drove 1QFY26 revenue and adj. EBITDA growth [8]. - ReNew Energy (RNW) reported a 71% yoy increase in 1QFY26 revenue to INR39.0bn, with adj. EBITDA rising 43% yoy to INR27.2bn. The manufacturing segment contributed significantly [8]. - In May'25, RNW secured INR8.7bn (cUSD100mn) from Marquee Investment for a 10% stake in its solar manufacturing subsidiary. The investment will expand manufacturing capacity [9]. - RNW's total operational capacity reached 11.1GW in 1QFY26, up 16% yoy. The PLF for wind assets improved to 32.8%, while solar PLF declined to 24.6% [10]. - RNW reiterates its FY26 guidance for adj. EBITDA at INR87 - 93bn and maintains CFe guidance at INR14 - 17bn. 1QFY26 adj. EBITDA represents 29 - 31% of the full - year target [11]. - As of Jun'25, cash and bank balance was INR76.1bn, 6% lower than in Mar'25. 1QFY26 capex was INR5.1bn, down 86% yoy [12]. - RNW's net debt/LTM adj. EBITDA was down to 7.5x in Jun'25 from 8.3x in Dec'24 [13]. - On 2 Jul'25, RNW received a final non - binding offer to be taken private at USD8 per share, a 13.2% increase from the previous proposal [14]. - The analyst maintains a buy on INCLEN 4.5 04/18/27 in the RNW complex [15]. Offshore Asia New Issues - Priced: Ganzhou Urban Investment Holding issued USD250mn, 3 - year bonds at a 4.8% coupon. Tongling State - owned Capital Operation Holding Group issued USD200mn, 3 - year bonds at a 4.65% coupon [20]. - Pipeline: No new issues pipeline today [20]. News and Market Color - Yesterday, 118 credit bonds were issued onshore with an amount of RMB114bn. Month - to - date, 1,319 credit bonds were issued, raising RMB1,183bn, a 3.7% yoy increase [22]. - The US government is exploring ways to get stakes in companies like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Micron, and Samsung [22]. - BHP plans to cut annual capex to USD10bn in FY28 - 30 from USD11bn in FY26 - 27 and will sell Carajas copper assets in Brazil for up to USD465mn [22]. - Media reported CK Asset was approached for short - term financing or equity investment opportunities [22]. - Seazen expects 1H25 profit to fall by up to 48% yoy to RMB500 - 700mn (cUSD69.6 - 97.5mn) [22]. - HPCL - Mittal Energy will purchase USD56.39mn of HMELIN 5.45 10/22/26 and USD85.55mn of HMELIN 5.25 04/28/27 in tender offers [22]. - LG Electronics aims to expand in the Indian home electronics market [22]. - Powerlong 1H25 loss will widen to up to RMB2.9bn (cUSD403mn) [22]. - West China Cement will hold fixed income investor meetings from 26 Aug'25 [22]. - Xiaomi 1H25 revenue rose 38.2% yoy to RMB227.3bn (cUSD31.6bn) and plans to enter the European EV market by 2027 [22].
Earth Science Tech, Inc. Board of Directors Approves Reduction of Authorized Common Stock
Globenewswire· 2025-08-19 20:05
Core Points - Earth Science Tech, Inc. has announced a reduction in its authorized shares of common stock from 350 million to 300 million, reflecting the Board's confidence in the company's trajectory and commitment to long-term shareholder value [1][2][3] - The current outstanding share count is approximately 294.3 million, leading the Board to determine that the previous authorization level was unnecessary [3] Company Overview - Earth Science Tech, Inc. operates as a strategic holding company focused on acquiring and scaling high-potential businesses, with current operations in compounding pharmaceuticals, telemedicine, and real estate development through its subsidiaries [4] - The company's subsidiaries include RxCompoundStore.com, Peaks Curative, Avenvi, Mister Meds, and others, each specializing in different aspects of healthcare and real estate [4][6][10] - RxCompoundStore.com is a licensed compounding pharmacy operating in multiple states and is actively pursuing licensure in the remaining U.S. states [5] - Peaks Curative is a telemedicine platform that offers consultations for compounded medications and is expanding its services nationwide [7] - Avenvi is involved in real estate development and manages the company's ongoing $5 million share repurchase program [10]