GREENTOWN CHINA(03900)
Search documents
房地产1-11月月报:投资和销售两端再走弱,政府定调着力稳定房地产-20251216
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-12-16 02:10
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate sector, highlighting opportunities in shopping center value reassessment and new housing tracks [4][22][39] Core Insights - The investment side of the real estate sector continues to weaken, with cumulative investment from January to November 2025 down by 15.9% year-on-year, and a significant drop of 30.3% in November alone [4][21] - The sales side is also under pressure, with cumulative sales area down by 7.8% year-on-year and a notable decline of 25.1% in November [22][35] - Funding sources are tightening, with total funding for real estate development down by 11.9% year-on-year, and a sharp decline of 32.5% in November [40] Investment Side Summary - Cumulative real estate development investment from January to November 2025 reached 785.91 billion yuan, down 15.9% year-on-year, with November's single-month investment declining by 30.3% [5][21] - New construction starts fell by 20.5% year-on-year, with a 27.6% drop in November [19][21] - The report forecasts continued weakness in investment, with predictions for 2025-2026 showing construction starts down by 18.0% and total investment down by 14.2% [4][21] Sales Side Summary - Cumulative sales area for real estate from January to November 2025 was 790 million square meters, down 7.8% year-on-year, with November's sales area declining by 17.3% [22][35] - Cumulative sales revenue reached 7.5 trillion yuan, down 11.1% year-on-year, with a 25.1% drop in November [22][35] - The average selling price of properties decreased by 3.4% year-on-year, with a notable decline of 9.5% in November [34][35] Funding Side Summary - Total funding sources for real estate development amounted to 850 billion yuan, down 11.9% year-on-year, with November showing a 32.5% decline [40] - Domestic loans decreased by 2.5% year-on-year, with a 10.4% drop in November [40] - Self-raised funds fell by 11.9% year-on-year, with a significant 30.7% decline in November [40]
房地产行业点评报告:高基数下销售疲软,年末市场延续以价换量趋势
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-12-15 14:14
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [2] Core Viewpoints - The real estate market is experiencing weak sales under high base conditions, with a trend of exchanging price for volume continuing towards the end of the year [1][5] - The overall performance of the sales market has been lackluster since the second half of the year, with a significant decline in sales data reflecting persistent market hesitation [8][33] Summary by Sections Sales Data - From January to November 2025, the national commercial housing sales area was 787 million square meters, down 7.8% year-on-year, with residential sales area down 8.1% [5][14] - In November 2025, the sales area and amount of commercial housing decreased by 17.3% and 25.1% year-on-year, respectively, with a notable trend of price reduction to stimulate sales [5][14] Construction Data - The new construction area from January to November 2025 was 535 million square meters, down 20.5% year-on-year, with residential new construction down 19.9% [6][19] - The completion area was 395 million square meters, down 18.0% year-on-year, indicating continued pressure on construction data [6][19] Investment Data - Real estate development investment from January to November 2025 was 7.86 trillion yuan, down 15.9% year-on-year, with residential development investment down 15.0% [7][23] - The funds available to real estate developers were 8.51 trillion yuan, down 11.9% year-on-year, with significant declines in various funding sources [7][25] Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include those with strong credit and good urban fundamentals, such as Greentown China, China Merchants Shekou, and China Overseas Development [8][35] - Companies benefiting from both residential and commercial real estate recovery, such as China Resources Land and Longfor Group, are also recommended [8][35]
行业透视 | 房企亲子社群 “内卷” 实录:从泳池到课堂,谁在承包孩子的成长?
克而瑞地产研究· 2025-12-13 03:05
◎ 文/ 沈晓玲 在房地产行业步入存量时代,越来越多的房地产企业开始关注业主的居住体验。亲子类社群IP凭借覆盖范围广、家庭参与度高的优势,成为众多头部房企的布局重 点。比如已经 坚持了17年的绿城"海豚计划",华润的"达尔文课堂"、"小企鹅计划"等等 ,这些各具特色的亲子社群IP,背后蕴藏着房企怎样的定位逻辑与运营巧 思? 绿城"海豚计划","泳池"资源让夏日约定坚持了17年的 01 绿城的"海豚计划"源于2009年,在闲谈中一则关于儿童溺亡的新闻让大家唏嘘不已。宋卫平随后在董事会上提议, 教会所有绿城社区的3-18岁的孩子游泳,期间产生的费用,由绿城一力承担。 房企找到能够匹配自身资源,符合自身品牌定位的亲子类社群,是当前要做好社群运营的主要问题之一。 在"海豚计划"实施8年后,2017年"海豚计划"作为当时国内规模最大、影响力最终的社区公益服务项目, 被上海大世界吉尼斯总部授予"在中国最多城市举办的青少 年游泳培训公益活动"的记录。 伴随着这17年前的美好承诺,绿城的"海豚计划"怀着"让每个孩子都学会游泳"的初心,从最初覆盖5000多小学员,再走向全国, 到如今已经覆盖全国70余座城市、 300多个园区, ...
Day4 | 2025年十大作品全国20强展示
克而瑞地产研究· 2025-12-12 09:37
上海静安里 日前,"2025年中国房企产品测评"全国入围项目进入项目展示阶段。 2025年中国房企产品测评 工作启动于9月中下旬,收到 企业及业内专家推选的优秀项目踊跃参评, 初选的入围项目已于12月3日揭晓。 详情请戳 《2025年十大作品全国20强揭晓》 本次所有入围项目仍将采用专家评审和网络票选结合的评选方式,最终评出 2025年 "全国十大高端/轻奢/品质作品""全国好房子"等奖项 ,目前相关测评工作正在有序进行 中。 点击图片查看入围项目详情 高端入围项目 厦门保利安控御宸天悦 领御湾海悦传奇 开发企业:保利发展、厦门 安控地产 产品类型: 高层住宅 建筑风格: 现代 珠海华发香山湖畔 华发科技+好房子迭代力作 国际酒店化智慧住区 开发企业:华发股份 产品类型: 高层/超高层住宅、商业 建筑风格:现代 与城市开放共融,营造充满礼序友爱与生机活力的尊贵生活境界 开发企业: 绿城中国、保利置业、瑞马集团 产品类型: 中高层、小高层住宅 建筑风格:现代 品质入围项目 天津保利珺璟和煦 天津新政下的全新立体折叠重构全洋房社区 开发企业:保利发展 产品类型:小高层住宅 建筑风格:现代 北京长安华曦府 长安为序 ...
内房股普涨 万科企业(02202)涨4.03% 中央经济工作会议指出着力稳定房地产市场
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 04:22
金吾财讯 | 内房股普涨,截至发稿,融信中国(03301)涨5.26%,万科企业(02202)涨4.03%,雅居乐集团 (03383)涨3.28%,融创中国(01918)涨3.09%,世茂集团(00813)涨2.30%,旭辉控股集团(00884)涨2.78%, 绿城中国(03900)涨2.69%。 消息面上,中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在北京举行。会议确定,明年经济工作抓好以下重点任 务。坚持守牢底线,积极稳妥化解重点领域风险。着力稳定房地产市场,因城施策控增量、去库存、优 供给,鼓励收购存量商品房重点用于保障性住房等。深化住房公积金制度改革,有序推动"好房子"建 设。加快构建房地产发展新模式。积极有序化解地方政府债务风险,督促各地主动化债,不得违规新增 隐性债务。优化债务重组和置换办法,多措并举化解地方政府融资平台经营性债务风险。 金吾财讯 | 内房股普涨,截至发稿,融信中国(03301)涨5.26%,万科企业(02202)涨4.03%,雅居乐集团 (03383)涨3.28%,融创中国(01918)涨3.09%,世茂集团(00813)涨2.30%,旭辉控股集团(00884)涨2.78%, 绿城中国( ...
榜样的力量!2025湾区年度榜单出炉,这些房企成为标杆
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-12-12 03:12
立足大湾区,共筑"好房子"。在以质破局的浪潮中,房地产行业正经历一场深刻的自我革新。作为经济 活力最为澎湃的开放高地,大湾区也成为房地产"韧性向上 质见未来"的生动实践场。 一批扎根湾区、深耕市场的标杆房企,以多维创新凝聚发展韧性。从产品力的精研、科技与住宅的深度 融合,到全周期服务体系的构建,他们不再局限于空间的建造,更致力于营造安全、舒适、绿色、智慧 的人居体验。 以"韧性向上 质见未来"为精神内核,2025南都地产湾区美好生活年度评选荣耀启动。哪些房企穿越周 期,在产品打造、品牌建设、交付能力等维度表现亮眼,成为湾区房地产行业的中坚力量?重磅奖项已 正式揭晓! 保利发展广东公司、越秀地产、新世界中国获评"年度湾区力量",绿城中国华南区域公司、珠实地产拿 下"年度湾区品牌影响力企业",广州地铁地产、新鸿基地产、龙湖荣获"年度湾区高质量交付房企"。 年度湾区力量 企业 保利发展广东公司 获奖理由 保利发展不断提升产品与服务的质量,获得社会广泛认 可。保利发展广东公司作为其一级平台央企,践行"三好 理念"与"好房子战略",构筑韧性发展生态,树立行业 高质量发展典范。2025年,凭借保利玥玺湾等标杆项 目,以硬 ...
内房股普涨 中央经济工作会议:着力稳定房地产市场,强调因城施策
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-12 02:49
港股频道更多独家策划、专家专栏,免费查阅>> 责任编辑:栎树 12月12日,港股内房股盘初拉升上涨,其中,世茂集团、融信中国、万科企业涨超5%,融创中国涨 4.5%,绿城中国、雅居乐集团、金辉控股、碧桂园皆涨超3%,旭辉控股、中国金茂、龙湖集团、新城 发展涨超2%。 消息上,中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在北京举行。会议确定,明年要坚持守牢底线,积极稳妥化 解重点领域风险。着力稳定房地产市场,因城施策控增量、去库存、优供给,鼓励收购存量商品房重点 用于保障性住房等。深化住房公积金制度改革,有序推动"好房子"建设。加快构建房地产发展新模式。 积极有序化解地方政府债务风险,督促各地主动化债,不得违规新增隐性债务。优化债务重组和置换办 法,多措并举化解地方政府融资平台经营性债务风险。 | 代码 | 名称 | 最新价 | 涨跌幅 √ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 00813 | 世茂集团 | 0.218 | 5.31% | | 01918 | 融创中国 | 1.380 | 4.55% | | 03301 | 融信中国 | 0.160 | 5.26% | | 02202 | 万科企业 ...
港股异动丨内房股普涨 中央经济工作会议:着力稳定房地产市场,强调因城施策
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-12 01:52
| 代码 | 名称 | 最新价 | 涨跌幅 √ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 00813 | 世茂集团 | 0.218 | 5.31% | | 01918 | 融创中国 | 1.380 | 4.55% | | 03301 | 融信中国 | 0.160 | 5.26% | | 02202 | 万科企业 | 3.910 | 5.11% | | 03900 | 绿城中国 | 8.840 | 3.51% | | 03383 | 雅居乐集团 | 0.315 | 3.28% | | 02007 | 碧桂园 | 0.500 | 3.09% | | 09993 | 金辉控股 | 2.120 | 3.41% | | 00884 | 旭辉控股集团 | 0.185 | 2.78% | | 01030 | 新城发展 | 2.120 | 2.42% | | 00817 | 中国金茂 | 1.280 | 2.40% | | 00960 | 龙湖集团 | 9.560 | 2.25% | | 00081 | 中国海外宏洋集 | 2.040 | 1.49% | | 03377 | 远洋集团 | 0.112 | 1 ...
2025年12月中央经济工作会议点评:着力稳定房地产市场,积极稳妥化解风险





Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-12-11 14:28
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate sector, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [2][4]. Core Insights - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasized stabilizing the real estate market and managing risks in key areas, with a focus on city-specific policies to control supply, reduce inventory, and improve quality [2][4]. - The report highlights two major opportunities: the rise of "good housing" policies and the potential for value reassessment in commercial real estate, particularly during a period of monetary easing [4][12]. - The report anticipates further supportive policies for both supply and demand in the real estate market, including potential reductions in mortgage rates and optimization of purchase restrictions [4][12]. Summary by Sections Macroeconomic Policy - The report underscores the implementation of more proactive macroeconomic policies to promote stable economic growth and achieve a good start for the 14th Five-Year Plan [4][6]. - It suggests that fiscal and monetary policies will become more aggressive, with expectations for further interest rate cuts [4][8]. Real Estate Market - The report notes that the emphasis on stabilizing the real estate market reflects a dual focus on halting price declines and addressing existing risks [4][12]. - It mentions the introduction of policies aimed at controlling supply, reducing inventory, and encouraging the acquisition of existing properties for affordable housing [4][12]. - The report also discusses the need for reform in the housing provident fund system and the promotion of high-quality housing development [4][12]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on the value reassessment of shopping centers and the new "good housing" sector, maintaining a "positive" rating for real estate and property management [4][12]. - Specific companies to watch include: - Commercial real estate: China Resources Land, New Town Holdings, Kerry Properties, Longfor Group, with a focus on Hang Lung Properties and Swire Properties [4][12]. - Good housing companies: Jianfa International, Binjiang Group, Greentown China, China Jinmao [4][12]. - Undervalued companies: Jianfa Co., China Merchants Shekou, Yuexiu Property, China Overseas Development, Poly Developments [4][12]. - Property management: China Resources Vientiane, Greentown Service, China Merchants Jinling, Poly Property, China Overseas Property [4][12]. - Second-hand housing intermediaries: Beike-W [4][12].
Day3 | 2025年十大作品全国20强展示
克而瑞地产研究· 2025-12-11 08:50
日前,"2025年中国房企产品测评"全国入围项目进入项目展示阶段。 2025年中国房企产品测评 工作启动于9月中下旬,收到 企业及业内专家推选的优秀项目踊跃参评, 初选的入围项目已于12月3日揭晓。 详情请戳 《2025年十大作品全国20强揭晓》 本次所有入围项目仍将采用专家评审和网络票选结合的评选方式,最终评出 2025年 "全国十大高端/轻奢/品质作品""全国好房子"等奖项 ,目前相关测评工作正在有序进行 中。 点击图片查看入围项目详情 高端入围项目 广州保利天曜 一朝开光曜 开发企业:保利发展 产品类型: 超高层住宅 建筑风格: 现代 杭州·绿城溪径恒庐 莫奈花园的浪漫与现代东方的生活情景交融 开发企业:绿城中国 产品类型:合院 、叠墅 建筑风格:浪漫法式与现代东方融合 轻奢入围项目 杭州保利天奕 高新主城电建TOP系轻奢住区 开发企业:中国电建地产、河南颐城控股有限公司 产品类型:高层住宅 建筑风格:现代 南宁邦泰·璟和 开发企业:邦泰集团 一座划时代的改善样板 产品类型:高层住宅 建筑风格:现代 品质入围项目 长沙龙湖·观萃 城市隐奢・自然共生的理想松弛人居 开发企业:龙湖集团 产品类型:高层住宅 ...