Core Viewpoint - Rigetti Computing (NASDAQ: RGTI) specializes in quantum computer chips known as superconducting qubit processors and offers cloud access to these technologies [1] Company Summary - The company has been rated as "Hold" due to its stock price reflecting current valuations [1] - Rigetti focuses on producing objective, data-driven research primarily on small- to mid-cap companies, which are often overlooked by investors [1] Industry Context - The analysis occasionally includes large-cap companies to provide a broader perspective on equity markets [1]

Core Insights - Rigetti Computing Inc (NASDAQ:RGTI) experienced a decline of 4.6%, trading at $31.57 after reporting mixed third-quarter results [1] - The company reported adjusted losses of 3 cents per share, which were better than the anticipated losses of 5 cents per share, but revenue of $1.95 million fell short of estimates of $2.2 million [1] Stock Performance - Since reaching a record high of $58.15 on October 14, RGTI has seen a 45% decrease in its stock price [2] - Despite the recent decline, the stock has increased by 107.6% year to date [2] Options Activity - RGTI has seen significant options trading activity, with 30,000 puts and 24,000 calls exchanged [4] - The most popular option is the November 12 put, with new positions being opened at the weekly 11/14 31-strike put [4] - The stock's 50-day put/call volume ratio stands at 3.18, indicating a higher put bias compared to 95% of readings from the past year [4]

Company Performance - CoreWeave reported a revenue of $1.36 billion, exceeding expectations, but the company faced a loss of $0.22 per share, which was better than the anticipated loss of $0.39 [2][3] - The company narrowed its revenue guidance for 2025 to between $5.05 billion and $5.15 billion, below the consensus estimate of $5.29 billion [4][5] - Regetti's stock has increased over 2,000% year-over-year, but it reported a loss of $0.03 per share, better than the expected loss of $0.05, while revenue fell short at $1.95 million against expectations of over $2.3 million [6][7][8] Market Reactions - CoreWeave's shares fell by 9% in early trading due to concerns over guidance and data center construction delays [2][3] - Analysts are reducing price targets for CoreWeave following the quarterly results [5][6] - Regetti's stock dropped by 5% despite better-than-expected loss figures, attributed to revenue missing market expectations [7][8] Strategic Developments - Paramount Sky Dance, following its merger, reported revenue of over $6 billion but missed the expected $6.97 billion, while reporting a loss of $0.12, better than the anticipated loss of $0.34 [11][12] - The company is planning to cut an additional 1,600 jobs as part of its cost-saving measures [13][14] - Management remains optimistic about reaching cost savings targets by 2026, emphasizing growth through cost-cutting strategies [14][15]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenues in Q3 2025 were $1.9 million, down from $2.4 million in Q3 2024, impacted by the expiration of the National Quantum Initiative [12] - Gross margins in Q3 2025 were 21%, compared to 51% in Q3 2024, due to revenue composition and pricing variability [12][13] - Operating loss for Q3 2025 was $20.5 million, compared to $17.3 million in the prior year [14] - GAAP net loss for Q3 2025 was higher than in Q3 2024, with a non-GAAP net loss of $10.7 million, or $0.03 per share, compared to $13.4 million, or $0.07 per share, in Q3 2024 [15] - As of September 30, 2025, the company had approximately $558.9 million in cash and equivalents, with no debt [15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company announced purchase orders totaling approximately $5.7 million for two 9-qubit Novera quantum computing systems, which are upgradable [6][7] - A three-year, $5.8 million contract from the Air Force Research Laboratory (AFRL) was announced to advance superconducting quantum networking [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The expiration of the National Quantum Initiative and its pending reauthorization in the U.S. Congress impacted revenue [12] - The company is engaged with various academic and government sectors to enhance quantum computing capabilities [9][10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to deliver a 150-plus qubit system by the end of 2026 and a 1,000-plus qubit system by the end of 2027, with anticipated gate fidelity improvements [5][6] - The company is focusing on public-private partnerships to advance quantum technologies [9] - The company intends to open an Italian subsidiary to pursue business opportunities in the region [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about future sales driven by recent contracts and collaborations, despite current revenue challenges [12][15] - The company is optimistic about being selected for phase B of the DARPA Quantum Benchmarking Initiative project in the coming months [10][18] Other Important Information - The company is exploring options for a new chip fab facility to enhance capabilities beyond the current 150 mm fab [63][66] - The potential investment for a new quantum fab is expected to be in the hundreds of millions of dollars, significantly less than a CMOS fab [66] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss the DARPA phase B and the feedback received? - Management noted that while not selected for phase B, constructive feedback was received, focusing on error correction and long-range coupling [17][18] Question: What is the comfort level for achieving 99% fidelity by 2027? - Management is confident in achieving 99.7% fidelity at 150-plus qubits by 2026 and 99.8% at 1,000 qubits by 2027 [21][22] Question: Will the 1,000-qubit system use chiplet-based architecture? - The plan is to use 36-qubit chiplets for the 1,000-qubit system, with confidence in achieving the fidelity targets [27][28] Question: How will revenue recognition work for the Novera system sales? - Revenue for the two Novera systems will be recognized upon shipment, expected in Q1 and Q2 of 2026 [31] Question: What is the expected impact of the National Quantum Initiative funding? - The recent reinstatement of funding to $625 million over five years is seen as a positive step, though discussions for higher funding amounts are ongoing [88][89] Question: What is the company's strategy regarding potential M&A? - The company is open to exploring M&A opportunities to accelerate its roadmap but believes it can execute its plans organically [50][51]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenues in Q3 2025 were $1.9 million, down from $2.4 million in Q3 2024, impacted by the expiration of the National Quantum Initiative [12] - Gross margins in Q3 2025 were 21%, compared to 51% in Q3 2024, due to revenue composition and pricing variability [12][13] - Operating loss for Q3 2025 was $20.5 million, compared to $17.3 million in the prior year [14] - GAAP net loss for Q3 2025 was higher than in Q3 2024, primarily due to non-cash changes in fair value of derivative liabilities [15] - As of September 30, 2025, the company had approximately $558.9 million in cash and equivalents, with no debt [15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company announced purchase orders totaling approximately $5.7 million for two 9-qubit Novera quantum computing systems, which are upgradable [6][7] - A three-year, $5.8 million contract from the Air Force Research Laboratory (AFRL) was announced to advance superconducting quantum networking [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The expiration of the National Quantum Initiative and its pending reauthorization in the U.S. Congress impacted revenue [12] - The company is engaged with various academic and government institutions to advance quantum computing capabilities [9][10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to deliver a 100+ qubit chiplet-based quantum system by the end of 2025, with a roadmap to deploy a 150+ qubit system by the end of 2026 and a 1,000+ qubit system by the end of 2027 [5][6] - The company is focusing on public-private partnerships to advance quantum technologies [9] - The company intends to open an Italian subsidiary to pursue business opportunities in the region [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about future sales driven by recent contracts and collaborations, despite current revenue challenges [12][15] - The company is focused on achieving quantum advantage within the next three to five years, targeting 1,000 qubits with 99.9% fidelity [18][22] - Management is optimistic about potential funding increases for quantum initiatives from the U.S. government [88][89] Other Important Information - The company is exploring options for a new chip fab facility to enhance capabilities beyond the current 150 mm fab [63][66] - The potential investment for a new quantum fab could be in the hundreds of millions of dollars, significantly less than a traditional CMOS fab [66] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about DARPA phase B and the feedback received? - Management noted that while not selected for phase B, constructive feedback was received, focusing on error correction and long-range coupling [17][18] Question: What is the comfort level for achieving 99% fidelity by 2027? - Management expressed confidence in achieving 99.7% fidelity at 150+ qubits by 2026 and 99.8% at 1,000 qubits by 2027 [22][23] Question: Will the 1,000-qubit system be chiplet-based? - The plan is to use 36-qubit chiplets for the 1,000-qubit system, with no significant challenges anticipated for long-range coupling [28][30] Question: How will revenue recognition work for the Novera sales? - Revenue for the two Novera systems will be recognized upon shipment, expected in Q1 and Q2 of 2026 [32] Question: What is the expected gross margin profile moving forward? - Management indicated that margins may improve with upcoming sales, particularly from Novera systems [71] Question: What types of applications will the 1,000-qubit system run? - The system is expected to handle complex applications like drug discovery and financial forecasting, which current CPUs and GPUs struggle with [76][77] Question: How does the recent funding from the Energy Department affect the business? - The reinstatement of the National Quantum Initiative funding is seen as a positive step, although discussions for higher funding amounts are ongoing [88][89]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenues in Q3 2025 were $1.9 million, down from $2.4 million in Q3 2024, impacted by the expiration of the National Quantum Initiative [10] - Gross margins decreased to 21% in Q3 2025 from 51% in Q3 2024, attributed to the composition of revenue and pricing variability [10] - Total operating expenses increased to $21 million in Q3 2025 from $18.6 million in the same period of the prior year, due to salary increases, new hires, and higher stock-based compensation [11] - GAAP net loss for Q3 2025 was higher than in Q3 2024, primarily due to a non-cash change in the fair value of derivative warrant and earn-out liabilities [12] - As of September 30, 2025, the company had approximately $558.9 million in cash and equivalents, with no debt, and this increased to approximately $600 million by November 6, 2025 [12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company announced purchase orders totaling approximately $5.7 million for two 9-qubit Novera quantum computing systems, which are upgradable [5] - A three-year, $5.8 million contract from the Air Force Research Laboratory (AFRL) was secured to advance superconducting quantum networking [6] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The expiration of the National Quantum Initiative and its pending reauthorization in the U.S. Congress impacted revenue, with future sales dependent on its renewal [10] - The company is engaged with various academic and government sectors to enhance quantum computing capabilities, including collaborations with Montana State University and the Center for Development of Advanced Computing [7][8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to deliver a 150-plus qubit system by the end of 2026 and a 1,000-plus qubit system by the end of 2027, with anticipated gate fidelity improvements [4][5] - The strategy includes deepening support for quantum computing capabilities in academic and government sectors and integrating with NVIDIA's NVLink for AI supercomputer quantum integration [8] - The company plans to open an Italian subsidiary to accelerate business opportunities in the region [9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about future sales from recent contracts and collaborations, which are expected to benefit revenue in Q4 2025 and into 2026 [10] - The management acknowledged challenges in achieving long-range coupling and error correction, which are critical for future milestones [17] - The company is optimistic about being selected for phase B of the DARPA Quantum Benchmarking Initiative project in the coming months [18] Other Important Information - The company is exploring options for potential M&A to accelerate its roadmap, although it believes it can execute its current plans organically [47][48] - The company is considering significant capital expenditures for upgrading its chip fabrication facility in the future [56][60] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about DARPA phase B and the feedback received? - Management noted that while they were not selected for phase B, constructive feedback was received regarding error correction and long-range coupling, which are important for future milestones [16][17] Question: What is the comfort level for achieving 99% fidelity by 2027? - Management expressed confidence in achieving 99.8% fidelity with 1,000 qubits by the end of 2027, emphasizing the importance of error correction [20][22] Question: Will the 150-qubit and 1,000-qubit systems use chiplet-based approaches? - The company plans to use 9-qubit chiplets for the 150-qubit system and 36-qubit chiplets for the 1,000-qubit system [27] Question: How will revenue recognition work for the Novera system sales? - Revenue for the two Novera systems will be recognized upon shipment, expected in Q1 and Q2 of 2026 [31] Question: What is the expected gross margin profile moving forward? - Management indicated that while gross margins were lower in Q3, future sales, particularly from Novera, are expected to have better margins [64] Question: How does the recent funding for the National Quantum Initiative affect the business? - Management noted that the reinstatement of funding to $625 million over five years is a positive step, although discussions for higher funding amounts are ongoing [81][82]

Core Viewpoint - Traders are shifting their focus from artificial intelligence (AI) stocks to quantum computing stocks in search of significant price movements [1] Group 1 - The interest in quantum computing stocks is growing as traders seek alternatives to AI stocks for potential high returns [1]

Core Insights - Rigetti Computing reported a smaller-than-expected adjusted loss for Q3, but revenue fell short of consensus estimates, leading to a decline in stock price [1][2][4]. Financial Performance - For Q3, Rigetti reported a loss of 3 cents per share on an adjusted basis, compared to a 7-cent loss a year earlier [2]. - Revenue decreased by 18% to $1.95 million, while analysts had forecasted a 5-cent loss on revenue of $2.2 million [2]. Technology Development - The company is on track to deliver a 100-plus qubit chiplet-based quantum system with an anticipated 99.5% median two-qubit gate fidelity by the end of 2025, as stated by CEO Subodh Kulkarni [3]. Market Reaction - Rigetti's stock fell over 4% to $31.72 in early trading following the earnings report, despite having advanced 68% in 2025 prior to the report [4]. Contracts and Revenue Recognition - Earlier in the year, Rigetti secured a $5.8 million contract with the Air Force Research Laboratory to explore quantum networking, but has yet to recognize any revenue from this deal [4]. Industry Context - Quantum computing operates on a subatomic level and aims to solve complex problems beyond the capabilities of classical computers [5]. - The quantum computing sector has experienced volatility in 2025, influenced by controversies surrounding Nvidia and the timeline for commercially viable quantum technology [5]. Stock Ratings - Rigetti holds a Composite Rating of 70 out of a best-possible 99, indicating moderate growth potential [6]. - The stock has an Accumulation/Distribution Rating of A, suggesting heavy institutional buying over the past 13 weeks [7].

Core Insights - BTQ Technologies Corp has made a strategic investment of approximately 2 million Euros for a minority stake in Qperfect SA and has exercised its option to acquire all outstanding securities of QPerfect, marking a significant step towards building an integrated quantum technology platform [1][2][3] - The acquisition positions BTQ as a fully integrated quantum technology company, expanding its capabilities from post-quantum security to encompass quantum cryptography and computing [2][3][7] - The combined entity aims to leverage QPerfect's advanced quantum emulator, MIMIQ, and Quantum Logical Unit (QLU) to address critical bottlenecks in quantum technology, enhancing the design and deployment of quantum-secure applications [3][4][5] Investment and Acquisition Details - The acquisition is expected to close by the end of 2025, pending foreign direct investment approval by French authorities and stock exchange approval [1] - QPerfect is recognized as a leading neutral atom quantum computing company based in Strasbourg, France, and the acquisition will consolidate BTQ's position in the European quantum ecosystem [2][3][18] Technological Advancements - QPerfect's MIMIQ emulator allows for high-speed design and testing of quantum programs, while the Quantum Logical Unit provides stability and scalability for quantum systems [3][4] - The integration of these technologies into BTQ's cryptographic platform will accelerate the rollout of post-quantum security solutions across various sectors, including finance and communications [3][4][6] Research and Development Focus - BTQ will establish its European research and development hub in Strasbourg, collaborating with leading universities and national programs to advance quantum technology [8][9] - Early milestones include demonstrating the Quantum Logical Unit on local neutral atom hardware and piloting quantum-safe digital signatures [8][11] Competitive Positioning - The acquisition positions BTQ as Europe's leading software-driven developer of neutral atom architectures, focusing on the software and control layers that enhance the practicality and interoperability of quantum systems [7][8] - BTQ's strategy emphasizes the integration of advanced error correction and simulation with its leadership in post-quantum cryptography, creating a comprehensive pathway from secure communications to scalable quantum computing [7][8] Intellectual Property and Commercial Model - The combination of BTQ and QPerfect creates a consolidated portfolio of European patents and registered software, enabling scalable and fault-tolerant quantum systems [3][17] - QPerfect's licensing model and active research agreements with institutional and industrial partners reinforce commercial traction and support recurring software licensing [5][6]

Core Insights - Xanadu Quantum Technologies is set to become the only public pure play photonic quantum computing company following its merger with Crane Harbor Acquisition Corp. [1][8] - The company claims to have achieved quantum supremacy in 2022 with its 216-qubit system, Borealis, which solved a complex problem in 2 minutes compared to 7 million years for the fastest classical supercomputer [5][3] - Xanadu projects significant growth, aiming for up to 100,000 physical qubits and 1,000 logical qubits in its fault-tolerant computer by 2029 [6] Company Overview - Xanadu is recognized as the first pure play quantum computing company to achieve quantum supremacy [3] - The company has developed an open-source software platform called PennyLane, which is reportedly used by up to 47% of quantum programmers [7] - Xanadu's expected pro forma market capitalization upon merger completion is approximately $3.6 billion [8] Financial Projections - Estimates for Xanadu's 2024 revenue range from $6 million to $9 million, with expectations of operating at a net loss due to its early development stage [9] - The financial details of Xanadu remain unclear as it transitions from a private to a public company [8] Market Impact - The debut of Xanadu on Nasdaq is anticipated to attract attention from investors, potentially affecting the stock prices of existing quantum computing companies like IonQ, Rigetti Computing, and D-Wave Quantum [2][11] - Investors may shift their focus from these companies to Xanadu, which could lead to temporary dips in their stock prices [11][12]