Acquisition Advances Permian Basin Growth Strategy TULSA, Okla., June 3, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- ONEOK, Inc. (NYSE: OKE) today announced the acquisition of the remaining 49.9% interest in Delaware G&P LLC (Delaware Basin JV) from NGP XI Midstream Holdings, L.L.C. for $940 million, consisting of $530 million in cash and $410 million in ONEOK common stock.  Delaware Basin JV owns natural gas gathering and processing facilities in the Delaware Basin in West Texas and New Mexico, with a total processing capacity o ...

Company Overview - Energy Transfer (ET) is one of the largest midstream companies globally, valued at over $60 billion, with a robust asset portfolio [2]. Performance Analysis - The company has experienced recent underperformance, which aligns with the analysis provided in previous articles [2]. Investment Strategy - The Value Portfolio focuses on constructing retirement portfolios using a fact-based research strategy, which includes thorough analysis of 10Ks, analyst commentary, market reports, and investor presentations [2].

Core Viewpoint - High-yield dividend stocks like Prologis, MPLX, and McCormick not only offer attractive yields but also have the potential for rapid dividend growth, making them appealing long-term investment opportunities. Group 1: Prologis - Prologis is the largest owner of logistics-related real estate globally, currently offering a 3.6% yield [3] - The company has a strong credit rating, allowing it to borrow at favorable rates, which benefits its tenants [4] - Amazon is its largest tenant, contributing only 5% of total rent, indicating stability in dividend payouts even if Amazon's performance declines [5] - Prologis has raised its dividend payout by 11.7% annually over the past five years, with less than 30% of its net operating income coming from international markets, suggesting room for growth [6] Group 2: MPLX - MPLX is a midstream energy company with a significant focus on gas and crude oil transportation, offering a substantial 7.5% yield [8] - The company has a reliable revenue stream due to its ties with Marathon Petroleum, which enhances its ability to raise dividends [9] - MPLX has increased its dividend payout by 8.1% annually over the past decade, with a recent 12% year-over-year rise in net income indicating potential for further increases [9] Group 3: McCormick - McCormick, a leader in spices and flavorings, has paid dividends consistently since 1925 and has raised its payout for 38 consecutive years [11] - The company has increased its dividend payout by 8.4% annually over the past decade, although it faced challenges due to rising commodity costs [12] - Despite a 31% decline in stock price from its peak in 2020 and stagnant sales in the first quarter of 2025, McCormick expects adjusted earnings to rise by 6% this year [13] - Currently, McCormick offers a 2.5% yield, which could lead to a double-digit yield on cost for patient investors [14]

Core Viewpoint - The midstream energy sector presents attractive investment opportunities, particularly for income-oriented investors seeking high dividend yields, as companies focus on cash flow rather than production growth [1][2]. Group 1: Energy Transfer - Energy Transfer offers a forward yield of 7.3% and plans to increase its distribution by 3% to 5% annually [4]. - The company has improved its balance sheet, achieving its strongest financial position in history, with a high percentage of take-or-pay contracts ensuring stable cash flows [5]. - Energy Transfer is increasing its growth capital expenditure to $5 billion from $3 billion, anticipating mid-teens returns on projects, and is exploring opportunities related to artificial intelligence [6]. - The stock is trading at a forward enterprise value (EV)-to-EBITDA multiple of 8.1 times, indicating it is undervalued [7]. Group 2: Enterprise Products Partners - Enterprise Products Partners has a forward yield of 6.8% and has consistently increased its distribution for 26 years, even during market turmoil [8]. - The company maintains a conservative approach with one of the best balance sheets in the midstream sector, supported by a robust coverage ratio of 1.7 times based on distributable cash flow [9]. - Growth capital expenditure is set to increase to between $4 billion and $4.5 billion this year, up from $3.9 billion last year, with $6 billion in growth projects expected to come online [10]. - The stock is attractively valued, trading at a forward EV/EBITDA ratio of under 10 times [11]. Group 3: Western Midstream Partners - Western Midstream Partners offers a robust yield of 9.4% and plans to grow its distribution by mid-to-low single digits annually [12]. - The company has low leverage of under 3 times, indicating strong financial health, and its contracts include cost-of-service protections and minimum volume commitments (MVCs) to ensure cash flow stability [13]. - While not pursuing aggressive growth, the company is focused on safe, high-return organic growth projects and is open to acquisitions or stock buybacks if attractive projects are not available [14]. - The stock is considered a good value, trading at a forward EV/EBITDA ratio of 9 times based on 2025 analyst estimates [14].

With the demand for data processing increasing due to the rapid expansion of artificial intelligence (AI) applications, data centers are facing unprecedented energy challenges. Natural gas is emerging as a pivotal solution in the power strategies of these facilities, offering the reliability, scalability and economic viability needed to support continuous and intensive data processing operations.Integrating natural gas with renewable energy sources allows data centers to balance sustainability goals with op ...

Summary of ONEOK (OKE) Fireside Chat - May 28, 2025 Company Overview - **Company**: ONEOK (OKE) - **Industry**: Energy and Natural Gas Key Points and Arguments Commodity Price Impact - ONEOK is less affected by commodity price fluctuations compared to other companies, which can see cash flow changes of up to 40% with a $1 change in gas or a $10 change in oil prices [4][6] - Recent oil price declines have not led to a decrease in volume for ONEOK, indicating stability in their operations [4][6] Natural Gas Outlook - Natural gas production in the U.S. has increased from approximately 20 trillion cubic feet (Tcf) in 2000-2007 to around 42 Tcf in 2024, driven by coal-to-gas conversions and LNG exports [8][9] - Current LNG export facilities are projected to increase capacity to 10 billion cubic feet (Bcf) per day, with potential future expansions [10] - The demand for natural gas is expected to grow due to factors such as artificial intelligence data centers and ongoing coal plant conversions [11] Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs) and Petrochemicals - NGLs are primarily byproducts of crude oil and natural gas production, and their value is dependent on transportation to markets where they can be sold at higher prices [12][13] - The U.S. is expected to remain a significant supplier of ethane to petrochemical companies, with a notable portion being exported to China [18][20] Regulatory Environment - The current administration is actively seeking specific feedback from the industry to improve regulatory processes, which is seen as a positive change [22] - Tariff policies are viewed as volatile, but there is a growing understanding that they may not be permanent [23][24] Strategic Focus and Growth - ONEOK's strategy emphasizes brownfield expansions to reduce capital costs and enhance integration within their existing systems [26][27] - The company has divested non-integrated assets to focus on core business areas, which has allowed for better capital allocation [28] Financial Strategy - ONEOK aims for a balanced capital allocation strategy, prioritizing organic growth projects while maintaining a strong dividend policy [75][76] - The company targets a debt-to-EBITDA ratio of around 3.5 times, with plans for stock buybacks if excess cash is generated [78][79] Storage and Volatility Management - Storage capacity is seen as a critical component for managing the volatility of natural gas pricing, especially with increasing LNG exports [37][44] - ONEOK is expanding its storage capabilities, which are expected to provide opportunities in a volatile market [47][59] Customer Diversification - The company is shifting from a supply-push model to a demand-pull model, diversifying its customer base and reducing reliance on specific markets [51][52] Long-term Outlook - The Bakken region is expected to sustain production levels for decades, supported by advancements in drilling technology [54] - ONEOK anticipates continued growth in its core business, driven by synergies from recent acquisitions and ongoing demand for natural gas and NGLs [83][84] Additional Important Insights - The integration of various assets is a key focus for ONEOK, as it allows for better control over revenue streams and operational efficiencies [91][94] - The company is positioned well in the LNG market, with the U.S. being a significant player in global exports, particularly to Asia [71][72] This summary captures the essential insights from the ONEOK Fireside Chat, highlighting the company's strategic focus, market outlook, and financial strategies.

Core Insights - The oil and energy sector is characterized by upstream operations being vulnerable to price fluctuations, while midstream activities provide stable fee-based revenues [1] - A comparative analysis between ConocoPhillips (COP) and Enbridge Inc. (ENB) highlights the contrasting business models of exploration and production versus midstream energy [1] Group 1: Enbridge Inc. (ENB) - ENB's business model minimizes commodity price volatility and volume risks through regulated or take-or-pay contracts, which support 98% of its EBITDA [2] - Over 80% of ENB's profits come from activities that allow automatic price or fee increases, ensuring earnings and dividend protection in high inflation [2][3] - ENB operates an extensive transportation network, including 18,085 miles of crude oil and liquids pipelines and 71,308 miles of gas pipelines, transporting 20% of the total natural gas consumed in the U.S. [4][5] - The company has a C$28 billion backlog of secured capital projects, expected to generate incremental cash flows by 2029 [6] Group 2: ConocoPhillips (COP) - The U.S. Energy Information Administration forecasts lower oil prices for 2025 and 2026, which poses a gloomy outlook for COP, as significant production volumes are crude oil [7] - COP has experienced downward earnings estimate revisions for 2025 and 2026, indicating analysts' concerns about its business environment [8] - The company's tax exposure has increased due to higher profits from countries with elevated tax rates, raising its overall tax rate to about 40% [9] Group 3: Comparative Performance - Over the past year, ENB's stock increased by 35.4%, while COP fell by 25.1%, contrasting with the oil-energy sector's decline of 4.6% [10] - ENB trades at a trailing 12-month enterprise value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio of 15.25, significantly higher than COP's 4.80, indicating a premium valuation for ENB [11]

Group 1: Market Reactions and Stock Performance - April's "Liberation Day" led to significant market volatility, creating opportunities for both bullish and bearish investors [1][2] - Deckers Outdoor Corp. (DECK) experienced a 20% decline due to tariff cost absorption, highlighting the impact of trade policies on specific companies [2] - Notable stock performances included Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) up 29%, Coupang Inc. (CPNG) up 26%, and JBT Marel Corp. (JBTM) up 18% [7] Group 2: Tax Legislation and Economic Impact - The U.S. House of Representatives passed a comprehensive tax bill aimed at extending the 2017 tax cuts, which is expected to increase consumer demand [6] - Intuit Inc. (INTU) is recommended as a beneficiary of potential tax changes, regardless of Congressional actions [4] - Analysts predict a surge in revenues for Sezzle Inc. (SEZL) by 62% this year, benefiting from increased consumer spending [9] Group 3: Technology Sector Developments - The tech sector is poised for growth as regulations are expected to be relaxed, particularly benefiting chipmakers like Monolithic Power Systems Inc. (MPWR) which has seen a 20% increase [12] - Interactive Brokers Group Inc. (IBKR) is positioned to capitalize on the relaxation of tech regulations, offering a platform that integrates various trading assets [13][15] - The potential for growth in prediction markets and cryptocurrencies is highlighted as new areas of opportunity for Interactive Brokers [16] Group 4: Energy Sector Opportunities - The energy sector is set to benefit from accelerated permit approvals for fossil fuel production, with MPLX LP (MPLX) identified as a strong player in the natural gas pipeline industry [18][20] - MPLX is expected to see a 7% increase in revenues and profits this year, with a favorable risk-reward profile due to its conservative asset base [21] - The stock trades at a discount compared to competitors, offering a high dividend yield of 7.6% [21]

Core Insights - Midstream companies have lower exposure to oil and gas price volatility, making them attractive to risk-averse investors seeking stable income [1] Company Analysis - Enterprise Products Partners LP (EPD) is expected to generate additional fee-based earnings from $7.6 billion in major capital projects, while Kinder Morgan, Inc. (KMI) has an active project backlog of $8.8 billion [2] - EPD has a distribution coverage ratio of 1.7, indicating it generates 1.7 times the cash needed for distributions, while KMI's dividend payout is fully covered with a net income of $717 million against a dividend of $650 million [4] - EPD consistently offers a higher yield of 6.7% compared to KMI's 4.3% [5] - EPD holds the highest credit rating in the midstream sector, with $31.9 billion in total debt, 96% of which is fixed rate with a long maturity of 18 years [7] - KMI's net debt stands at $32.8 billion, with a leverage ratio of 4.1, indicating higher debt relative to earnings [8] - EPD's net debt to EBITDA ratio is 2.97, lower than KMI's 3.87, suggesting EPD can pay off its debt more quickly [9] - EPD retained $842 million in distributable cash flow for growth, while KMI increased its debt by approximately $1 billion to cover spending [10] Investment Considerations - EPD demonstrates stronger distribution safety, financial discipline, and balance sheet resilience compared to KMI, making it a more favorable investment option [14]

Core Viewpoint - The midstream energy sector presents high-yield stock opportunities for income-focused investors, with a $1,000 investment being a suitable starting point [1] Group 1: Midstream Energy Sector Overview - Pipeline companies are likened to energy toll roads, having minimal exposure to energy prices, but lower energy prices can lead to reduced volumes and potential contract renegotiations [2] - The midstream business is capital intensive, resulting in companies carrying debt, indicating that these stocks are not risk-free investments [2] Group 2: Energy Transfer - Energy Transfer offers a high yield of 7.3% and a low forward EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 8.1 times, significantly below the historical average of 13.7x for midstream MLPs [4] - The company has improved its leverage post-pandemic and currently has its highest percentage of take-or-pay contracts, ensuring revenue regardless of customer usage [5] - Energy Transfer is increasing its growth capex from $3 billion to $5 billion, with growth projects expected to come online late this year or next [6] Group 3: Enterprise Products Partners - Enterprise Products Partners has consistently increased its distribution for 26 years, supported by a fee-based business model and take-or-pay contracts [8] - The company plans to increase its growth capex to between $4 billion and $4.5 billion, with $6 billion in projects expected to come online this year [9] - The stock trades at a forward EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 10 times, with a yield of 6.6%, making it a stable option for long-term investors [10] Group 4: MPLX - MPLX has a strong balance sheet with a leverage ratio of 3.3 times and a distribution coverage ratio of 1.5 times, having grown its distribution by over 10% annually for the past three years [11] - The company operates in natural gas and NGL services, as well as crude oil logistics, with growth opportunities primarily in the natural gas segment [12] - MPLX is expanding through acquisitions, including the purchase of the remaining 55% interest in the BANGL pipeline system, enhancing its strategic position [13] - The stock has a yield of 7.4% and a forward EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 10.3 times, indicating reasonable valuation [14]