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Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in The Marcus Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-06-20 13:41
Group 1 - The Marcus Corporation (MCS) is experiencing significant activity in the options market, particularly with the Nov 21, 2025 $2.50 Put showing high implied volatility, indicating potential for a major price movement [1] - Implied volatility reflects market expectations for future stock movement, suggesting that investors anticipate a significant event that could lead to a rally or sell-off [2] - The Marcus is currently rated as Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) in the Leisure and Recreation Services industry, which is in the top 30% of the Zacks Industry Rank, with recent earnings estimates for the current quarter increasing from 5 cents per share to 16 cents [3] Group 2 - The high implied volatility for The Marcus could indicate a developing trading opportunity, as options traders often seek to sell premium on such options to capture decay, hoping the stock does not move as much as expected by expiration [4]
Carnival (CCL) Increases Despite Market Slip: Here's What You Need to Know
ZACKS· 2025-06-18 22:46
Group 1: Stock Performance - Carnival (CCL) closed at $23.61, reflecting a +1.42% change from the previous day's closing price, outperforming the S&P 500 which had a loss of 0.03% [1] - Prior to the recent trading session, Carnival shares had gained 1.66%, surpassing the Consumer Discretionary sector's loss of 0.61% and the S&P 500's gain of 0.6% [1] Group 2: Earnings Expectations - Carnival is expected to report an EPS of $0.24, representing an increase of 118.18% from the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue is anticipated to be $6.21 billion, indicating a 7.35% increase compared to the prior year [2] Group 3: Annual Estimates - For the annual period, earnings are projected at $1.88 per share and revenue at $26.1 billion, reflecting increases of +32.39% and +4.3% respectively from the previous year [3] - Recent analyst estimate revisions suggest a positive outlook for Carnival's business [3] Group 4: Zacks Rank and Valuation - Carnival currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), with the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate shifting 1.7% upward over the past month [5] - The Forward P/E ratio for Carnival is 12.4, which is lower than the industry average of 19.54 [6] - Carnival's PEG ratio stands at 0.54, compared to the industry average PEG ratio of 1.49 [6] Group 5: Industry Context - The Leisure and Recreation Services industry, which includes Carnival, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 71, placing it in the top 29% of over 250 industries [7] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]
Royal Caribbean (RCL) Sees a More Significant Dip Than Broader Market: Some Facts to Know
ZACKS· 2025-06-13 22:46
Company Performance - Royal Caribbean's stock closed down 2.88% at $258.08, underperforming the S&P 500 which lost 1.13% [1] - Over the past month, Royal Caribbean shares gained 6.25%, outperforming the Consumer Discretionary sector's gain of 3.54% and the S&P 500's gain of 3.55% [1] Financial Expectations - Analysts expect Royal Caribbean to report earnings of $4.04 per share, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 25.86% [2] - Revenue is anticipated to be $4.54 billion, up 10.44% from the prior-year quarter [2] Full Year Projections - For the full year, earnings are projected at $15.42 per share and revenue at $18.03 billion, indicating changes of +30.68% and +9.36% respectively from the previous year [3] - Recent revisions to analyst estimates suggest a positive outlook for the business [3] Stock Performance Correlation - Empirical research indicates that revisions in estimates correlate with stock price performance [4] - The Zacks Rank system, which incorporates estimate changes, has a track record of outperformance [4] Zacks Rank and Valuation - Royal Caribbean currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) with a recent upward shift of 0.65% in the consensus EPS estimate [5] - The company is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 17.24, which is below the industry average of 19.84 [6] - The PEG ratio for Royal Caribbean is 0.79, compared to the industry average PEG ratio of 1.47 [6] Industry Context - The Leisure and Recreation Services industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 78, placing it in the top 32% of over 250 industries [7] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]
Carnival Stock Trading at a Discount: Is it Time to Climb Aboard?
ZACKS· 2025-06-13 15:10
Core Insights - Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) is trading at a discount compared to its industry, with a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11.90X, below the five-year average and the industry average of 18.11X [2][3][8] - The company has experienced a decline in share price of 5.4% year-to-date, while peers like Royal Caribbean have gained 15.2% [4] Valuation and Performance - CCL's forward P/E ratio of 11.90X indicates a discounted valuation compared to industry peers such as Royal Caribbean (16.18X), Norwegian Cruise Line (8.44X), and OneSpaWorld (18.89X) [3][8] - The Zacks Leisure and Recreation Services industry has lost 1.8% year-to-date, while the Consumer Discretionary sector has gained 5.8% [4] Growth Drivers - Carnival is capitalizing on strong demand with record advance bookings and higher pricing power, projecting a 32% increase in EPS for 2025 [8][10] - The company focuses on exclusive cruise destinations, enhancing guest experiences and pricing power through proprietary locations like Half Moon Cay [11] - Fleet modernization efforts are improving energy efficiency and expanding revenue opportunities, lowering costs and enhancing returns on invested capital [12] - Land-based operations in Alaska complement cruise offerings, allowing for unique vacation packages and maintaining strategic control over growth [13] Earnings Estimates and Analyst Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Carnival's fiscal 2025 EPS has been revised upward from $1.85 to $1.87, reflecting strong analyst confidence [14] - Analysts forecast a 31.7% jump in fiscal 2025 earnings for Carnival, compared to growth rates of 30.7% for Royal Caribbean and 12.1% for Norwegian Cruise [17] - The average price target for Carnival stock is $28.21, indicating a potential upside of 19.7% from the last closing price of $23.57 [18] Broker Sentiment - Carnival holds an average brokerage recommendation of 1.58, indicating a favorable outlook with 18 Strong Buy recommendations from 26 firms [19] - The positive analyst support and a wide range of price targets highlight optimism regarding Carnival's recovery and long-term potential [20] Investment Consideration - Carnival's current valuation presents an attractive opportunity for investors, supported by strong booking momentum and strategic investments [21] - Given the bullish broker sentiment and consensus price targets, investors may consider initiating or adding to positions at current levels [22]
Is Inspirato Incorporated (ISPO) Outperforming Other Consumer Discretionary Stocks This Year?
ZACKS· 2025-06-12 14:46
Group 1 - Inspirato Incorporated (ISPO) is part of the Consumer Discretionary sector, which includes 255 stocks and has a Zacks Sector Rank of 12 [2] - ISPO has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), with a 35.1% increase in the consensus estimate for its full-year earnings over the past quarter, indicating positive analyst sentiment [3] - ISPO has gained approximately 17.8% year-to-date, outperforming the average return of 6.3% for Consumer Discretionary companies [4] Group 2 - Inspirato Incorporated belongs to the Leisure and Recreation Services industry, which consists of 30 stocks and is currently ranked 86 in the Zacks Industry Rank; this industry has seen a decline of about 1.6% year-to-date [6] - In contrast, Lincoln Educational Services Corporation, another stock in the Consumer Discretionary sector, has a year-to-date return of 36.7% and is part of the Schools industry, which is ranked 18 [4][7]
Here's Why Carnival (CCL) Fell More Than Broader Market
ZACKS· 2025-06-11 22:46
The most recent trading session ended with Carnival (CCL) standing at $23.87, reflecting a -2.61% shift from the previous trading day's closing. The stock's change was less than the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.27%. Prior to today's trading, shares of the cruise operator had gained 7.78% outpaced the Consumer Discretionary sector's gain of 6.45% and the S&P 500's gain of 6.9%.The upcoming earnings release of Carnival will be of great interest to investors. The company is predicted to post an EPS of $0.23, indi ...
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Marriott Vacations Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-06-09 14:41
Investors in Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) need to pay close attention to the stock based on moves in the options market lately. That is because the Jul 07, 2025 $50.00 Call had some of the highest implied volatility of all equity options today.What is Implied Volatility?Implied volatility shows how much movement the market is expecting in the future. Options with high levels of implied volatility suggest that investors in the underlying stocks are expecting a big move in one direction or t ...
Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) Beats Stock Market Upswing: What Investors Need to Know
ZACKS· 2025-06-06 22:51
Group 1: Stock Performance - Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) stock closed at $19.56, reflecting a +1.09% change from the previous day, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 1.03% [1] - The stock has increased by 8.22% over the past month, surpassing the Consumer Discretionary sector's gain of 7.46% and the S&P 500's gain of 5.27% [1] Group 2: Earnings Projections - The upcoming earnings per share (EPS) for Norwegian Cruise Line is projected at $0.51, representing a 27.5% increase year-over-year [2] - Revenue is anticipated to be $2.55 billion, indicating a 7.45% increase from the same quarter last year [2] Group 3: Fiscal Year Estimates - For the entire fiscal year, earnings are estimated at $2.05 per share and revenue at $10.07 billion, reflecting increases of +12.64% and +6.21% respectively from the previous year [3] - Recent analyst estimate revisions indicate optimism regarding the company's business and profitability [3] Group 4: Valuation Metrics - Norwegian Cruise Line has a Forward P/E ratio of 9.46, which is below the industry average Forward P/E of 19.77 [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 0.29, compared to the Leisure and Recreation Services industry's average PEG ratio of 1.35 [7] Group 5: Industry Ranking - The Leisure and Recreation Services industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 93, placing it in the top 38% of over 250 industries [8] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]
Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) Up 1.1% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?
ZACKS· 2025-06-06 16:37
Company Overview - Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) shares have increased by approximately 1.1% since the last earnings report, underperforming the S&P 500 [1] - Recent estimates for the company have trended downward, with a consensus estimate shift of 5.78% [2] Performance Metrics - The company has a subpar Growth Score of D, but a strong Momentum Score of A, and a Value Score of A, placing it in the top quintile for value investment strategy [3] - The aggregate VGM Score for Marriott Vacations Worldwide is B, which is relevant for investors not focused on a single strategy [3] Outlook - The overall trend of estimates for Marriott Vacations Worldwide has been downward, but the magnitude of these revisions appears promising [4] - The company holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicating an expectation of in-line returns in the upcoming months [4] Industry Comparison - Marriott Vacations Worldwide is part of the Zacks Leisure and Recreation Services industry, where Royal Caribbean (RCL) has seen a significant gain of 16.6% over the past month [5] - Royal Caribbean reported revenues of $4 billion for the last quarter, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 7.3%, with EPS rising from $1.77 to $2.71 [5] - Royal Caribbean is projected to post earnings of $4.04 per share for the current quarter, indicating a year-over-year change of 25.9% [6]
Manchester United (MANU) Reports Q3 Loss, Misses Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-06-06 13:16
Financial Performance - Manchester United reported a quarterly loss of $0.04 per share, significantly better than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.33, and an improvement from a loss of $0.31 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of 87.88% [1] - The company posted revenues of $202.17 million for the quarter ended March 2025, slightly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.15%, but showing an increase from year-ago revenues of $173.36 million [2] - Over the last four quarters, Manchester United has surpassed consensus EPS estimates four times, but has only topped consensus revenue estimates once [2] Stock Performance and Outlook - Manchester United shares have declined approximately 20.4% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 1% [3] - The company's future stock performance will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and the earnings outlook [4][6] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is -$0.25 on revenues of $210.02 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is -$0.74 on revenues of $842.59 million [7] Industry Context - The Leisure and Recreation Services industry, to which Manchester United belongs, is currently ranked in the top 38% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [8] - Empirical research suggests a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked by investors [5]