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New York Mortgage Trust(NYMT) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-01 13:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The recurring earnings in Q1 2025 increased to a level consistent with the company's dividend of $0.20 per share, reflecting a strategic portfolio restructuring initiated two years ago [6][7] - Earnings Available for Distribution (EAD) per share rose to $0.20 in Q1 2025 from $0.16 in Q4 2024, while quarterly EPS contribution from adjusted net interest income increased to $0.40 per share, up from $0.36 in the prior quarter [12][13] - GAAP book value and adjusted book value per share increased to $9.37 and $10.43 respectively, representing a 1% increase compared to the end of 2024 [17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Agency RMBS investments now account for over 50% of company assets, with approximately $1.5 billion of Agency RMBS purchased in Q1 2025, nearly four times more than the previous quarter [11][18] - In the residential credit sector, $397 million of whole loans were purchased, with a focus on bridge loans and rental loans [19][20] - The portfolio recourse leverage ratio decreased to 0.5 times from 1.1 times, reflecting successful securitizations in the residential loan sector [10][17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The market experienced spread widening in Agency RMBS and residential credit, with current coupon agency spreads widening from 135 basis points to 143 basis points [22] - As of April 2025, adjusted book value is estimated to be down approximately 1.5% [38] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to maintain a strong focus on Agency RMBS while also exploring opportunities in residential credit, particularly BPL rental loans [21][41] - The strategic shift towards more liquid agency RMBS is intended to enhance flexibility in capital allocation depending on market conditions [21][22] - The company has reduced its JV equity exposure to less than 1% of the overall portfolio, indicating a shift in investment strategy [28] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the potential for additional revenue generation through service fee income and highlighted the importance of operational efficiencies in supporting dividend coverage [8][12] - The company anticipates continued market volatility but is prepared to deploy liquidity into attractive investment opportunities as they arise [21][22] - Management does not foresee significant impacts from potential GSE reforms in the near to medium term [33][34] Other Important Information - The company recognized net unrealized gains of $118.2 million during the quarter, primarily from higher valuations in the agency RMBS portfolio [14] - General and administrative expenses increased slightly due to non-recurring employee severance costs related to restructuring initiatives [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of FHFA and GSEs changes on business - Management discussed potential GSE reforms, indicating that it could lead to higher mortgage rates and liquidity issues, but does not expect significant changes in the near term [33][34] Question: Update on book value performance in Q2 - As of April 2025, adjusted book value is estimated to be down approximately 1.5% [38] Question: Capital allocation strategy amidst market volatility - Management confirmed a continued focus on Agency RMBS and BPL, with a preference for BPL rental over BPL bridge loans [40][41] Question: Timing surrounding mezzanine and multifamily investments - The 10% payoff rate mentioned was year-to-date as of early April, with expectations for continued resolutions in the multifamily mezzanine portfolio [44] Question: Future capital allocation preferences - Management expressed a preference for Agency RMBS in the near term but acknowledged the potential for shifts depending on market conditions [46]
New York Mortgage Trust(NYMT) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-04-30 21:43
New York Mortgage Trust, Inc. 2025 First Quarter Financial Summary These and other risks, uncertainties and factors, including the risk factors and other information described in our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K, as updated and supplemented from time to time, and our subsequent Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and other information that we file from time to time with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), could ...
New York Mortgage Trust Reports First Quarter 2025 Results
Globenewswire· 2025-04-30 20:05
Core Insights - New York Mortgage Trust, Inc. reported a net income of $30.285 million for the first quarter of 2025, translating to a basic earnings per share of $0.33, a significant recovery from a net loss of $68.34 million in the same period of the previous year [2][37][41] - The company achieved an economic return on book value of 3.13% and an economic return on adjusted book value of 2.71% for the quarter [2][4] - The company completed the issuance of $82.5 million in senior notes, raising approximately $79.3 million in net proceeds, which will support its investment activities [6] Financial Performance - Interest income for the quarter was reported at $129.734 million, up from $83.892 million year-over-year, while interest expense increased to $96.636 million from $66.029 million [37][41] - The net interest income for the quarter was $33.098 million, compared to $17.863 million in the same quarter of the previous year [37][41] - The yield on average interest-earning assets was 6.47%, with a net interest spread of 1.32% [2][23] Investment Activities - The company purchased approximately $1.5 billion in Agency RMBS with an average coupon of 5.35% and $396.8 million in residential loans with an average gross coupon of 9.33% [7] - Two securitizations of residential loans were completed, resulting in net proceeds of approximately $326.3 million [8] - The company repurchased 231,200 shares of its common stock for a total cost of approximately $1.5 million, averaging $6.50 per share [9] Capital Allocation - As of March 31, 2025, the total investment portfolio carrying value was $8.270581 billion, with significant allocations in residential loans and investment securities [11] - The company reported total assets of $10.004055 billion, an increase from $9.217282 billion at the end of the previous year [35] Management Commentary - The CEO highlighted that the increased investment activity in the first quarter was a response to more attractive market conditions, leading to a substantial boost in earnings [10] - The management believes that the strengthened balance sheet will provide flexibility to capitalize on market dislocations and further grow earnings throughout the year [11]
AGNC, Instability, Diversity And Cash
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-30 15:58
Core Insights - AGNC (NASDAQ: AGNC) operates a leveraged model that invests in mortgage-backed securities, enhancing returns by utilizing funding from lower interest rate entities [1] - The company employs hedging strategies, including interest rate swaps and US-based securities, to protect its investments from significant volatility [1] Company Overview - AGNC focuses on mortgage-backed securities, which are financial instruments backed by mortgage loans [1] - The company’s investment strategy is designed to capitalize on lower interest rates to maximize returns [1] Investment Strategy - The use of leverage in AGNC's model allows for increased potential returns, but also introduces additional risk [1] - Hedging techniques are critical for mitigating risks associated with interest rate fluctuations and market volatility [1]
Two Harbors Investment (TWO) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-29 17:48
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company generated a total economic return of 4.4% for Q1 2025, with both RMBS and MSR contributing positively to the results [4] - Book value increased to $14.66 per share at March 31, compared to $14.47 at December 31, including a $0.45 common stock dividend [10] - Comprehensive income for the first quarter was $64.9 million, or $0.62 per weighted average common share [11] - Economic debt to equity decreased to 6.2 times [15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net interest and servicing income increased by $5.2 million due to portfolio shifts into higher coupon agency RMBS and lower borrowing rates [11] - The company decreased its mortgage exposure by 30% and reduced leverage during the first quarter [15] - The MSR portfolio's prepayment speed was 4.2 CPR for Q1, down 0.7% quarter over quarter [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Interest rates across the US treasury yield curve ended the first quarter lower than at the end of 2024, with two-year and ten-year notes both decreasing by 36 basis points [5] - Prepayment rates for the thirty-year agency RMBS universe decreased by 1.4 percentage points quarter over quarter to 5.6% CPR [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to scale its direct-to-consumer originations platform, increase offerings of second liens, and explore opportunities in the Ginnie Mae market [6][7] - The focus is on growing the presence in third-party subservicing and generating cost efficiencies through technology and AI applications [7] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed concerns about economic uncertainty driven by proposals on tariffs and trade policy, which could impact the dollar's status as the world's reserve currency [6] - The company is managing its portfolio for long-term stability while keeping leverage and risk at muted levels until there is more clarity on the economic path forward [29] Other Important Information - The company has maintained high liquidity levels, with $950 million in unused MSR asset financing capacity and $47 million in unused capacity for service and advances [13] - The MSR market remains well supported, with transfer volume normalizing to pre-COVID levels [22] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on book value through April and portfolio adjustments - Management indicated a 3.5% decline in book value through early April and noted further risk reduction in the portfolio due to increased volatility [33][34] Question: Impact of Rocket and Mr. Cooper merger on the servicing market - Management believes the merger's impact on demand for MSR will be muted, with combined demand likely equal to the sum of individual demands [41][42] Question: Comfort level with the dividend - Management expressed confidence in supporting the dividend given the current portfolio composition and wider spreads [50] Question: Sensitivity of book value to spread changes - Management explained that the sensitivity to spread changes is lower due to the allocation of capital between MSR and securities [52][56] Question: Liquidity levels and recapture efforts - Management confirmed high liquidity levels and noted that organic recapture from the direct-to-consumer channel remains low but is expected to improve as the platform scales [81][84] Question: Interest in the Ginnie Mae market - Management is exploring the Ginnie Mae market for potential opportunities and to enhance their service offerings [86]
Orchid Island Capital(ORC) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-25 19:04
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q1 2025, the company earned $0.18 per share compared to $0.07 in Q4 2024 [8] - Book value at March 31, 2025, was $7.94 per share, down from $8.09 at December 31, 2024 [8] - Total return for the quarter was 2.6% unannualized, compared to 0.6% for Q4 2024 [8] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The average portfolio size for Q1 was just under $6 billion, up from $5.3 billion in Q4 2024 [9] - The leverage ratio increased to 7.8% at March 31, 2025, from 7.3% at December 31, 2024 [9] - Prepayment speeds were 7.8% in Q1, down from 10.5% in Q4 2024 [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The market experienced significant volatility due to tariffs and their expected impact on the economy and inflation [11][72] - Swap spreads moved meaningfully negative late in the quarter and into April, affecting mortgage performance [18][22] - The performance of agency mortgages was strong, being the second-best sector in fixed income markets [22] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company raised $206 million in capital during Q1 2025, selling 25 million shares of stock [42] - The strategy involved deploying proceeds into higher coupon, shorter duration assets while hedging predominantly with longer duration hedges [31] - The company is cautious about future capital raising, considering the current market volatility and the need for liquidity [108][122] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The management expressed uncertainty regarding future economic conditions, citing potential slower growth and upward pressure on inflation due to tariffs [71][75] - The company is positioned with a skew towards higher coupon, shorter duration assets, which should benefit from a steeper yield curve [76] - Management remains vigilant and ready to reposition as market conditions evolve [77] Other Important Information - The company declared and paid dividends of $0.36 per share for each quarter [8] - The liquidity position at March 31, 2025, was 52.2%, slightly down from 52.9% at December 31, 2024 [9] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the duration gap at the end of the quarter and to-date? - The company does not provide duration in numerical terms but uses DV01, which was reported as $13, indicating a very narrow duration gap [84][85] Question: What is the current book value? - As of last Thursday, the estimated book value was $7.24, down 8.8%, but as of last night, it was estimated at $7.28, reflecting a decline of 8.3% quarter-to-date [94][95] Question: Where do you see gross ROE sitting today? - The gross ROE is very high, potentially in the range of 20%, with spreads on 7-year swaps versus current coupon above 200 basis points [103][104] Question: How are you looking at dividend issuance and buybacks? - The company is cautious about buybacks given the current stock price and may consider raising capital for liquidity purposes [108][122] Question: Will the 2025 dividend be 100% taxable income? - It is too early to confirm, but year-to-date, the taxable income has been in line with distributions [127][129]
Orchid Island Capital(ORC) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-25 15:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q1, the company earned $0.18 per share compared to $0.07 in Q4 [5] - Book value at March 31 was $7.94 per share compared to $8.09 at December 31 [5] - Total return for the quarter was 2.6% unannualized compared to 0.6% for Q4 [5] - Liquidity at March 31 was 52.2% compared to 52.9% at December 31 [7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The average portfolio was just under $6 billion compared to $5.3 billion in Q4 [6] - The leverage ratio at March 31 was 7.8 compared to 7.3 at December 31 [6] - Prepayment speeds were 7.8% in Q1 compared to 10.5% for Q4 [6] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The market moved to price in three or more Fed cuts by the end of the year [11] - Swap spreads moved meaningfully negative late in the quarter and into April [14] - The spread of the current coupon mortgage to the ten-year has widened significantly [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company raised capital during the quarter and deployed it into higher coupon, shorter duration assets [24] - The strategy includes using longer duration hedges to mitigate exposure to declining swap spreads [24] - The company is focused on maintaining liquidity and is prepared to raise capital if necessary [76] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The management expressed uncertainty due to market volatility driven by tariffs and inflation [55] - The expectation is for slower growth and potential Fed eases, which could lead to a steeper yield curve [58] - The company is positioned with a skew towards higher coupon, shorter duration assets, which should work well in the current environment [59] Other Important Information - The company declared and paid dividends of $0.36 per share for each quarter [5] - The management acknowledged a mistake in the initial earnings release regarding the breakdown of earnings per share [9] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the duration gap at the end of the quarter and to date? - The duration gap is very narrow, with a DV01 basis of $13, remaining about the same as of now [62][63] Question: Where do you see gross ROE sitting today? - The gross ROE is estimated to be around 20%, with high volatility in swaps [73] Question: How are you looking at dividend issuance and buybacks? - The company is cautious about buybacks due to stock trading close to book value and may consider raising capital for liquidity [76][78] Question: Will the 2025 dividend be 100% taxable income? - It is uncertain at this point, but the taxable income has been right on top of the distribution year to date [91][93] Question: Thoughts on the Rocket Mortgage and Nationstar deal? - The deal may increase prepayment speeds and impact the convexity of the mortgage universe negatively [99][100]
Orchid Island Capital(ORC) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-25 15:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q1, the company earned $0.18 per share compared to $0.07 in Q4, with a book value of $7.94 per share down from $8.09 at the end of Q4 [5][6] - Total return for the quarter was 2.6% unannualized, an increase from 0.6% in Q4 [5] - The average portfolio size was just under $6 billion, up from $5.3 billion in Q4, with a leverage ratio of 7.8 compared to 7.3 at the end of Q4 [6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The average portfolio size increased, indicating a more substantial investment in mortgage-backed securities [6] - Prepayment speeds decreased to 7.8% in Q1 from 10.5% in Q4, reflecting changes in market conditions [6][52] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The market experienced significant volatility due to tariffs and their expected impact on the economy and inflation, leading to pricing in multiple Fed cuts by year-end [11][60] - Swap spreads moved meaningfully negative late in the quarter, impacting mortgage performance [14][15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company raised capital during the quarter, deploying it into higher coupon, shorter duration assets, and hedging with longer duration instruments [24][32] - The strategy focuses on maintaining a balance between risk and return, particularly in a volatile market environment [61] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed uncertainty regarding future economic conditions, highlighting potential inflationary pressures and slower growth due to tariffs [56][60] - The company is positioned to benefit from a steeper yield curve, which is anticipated to occur as a result of the current economic landscape [61] Other Important Information - The company declared and paid dividends of $0.36 per share for the quarter, maintaining a consistent payout [5] - Liquidity at the end of Q1 was 52.2%, slightly down from 52.9% at the end of Q4 [7] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the duration gap at the end of the quarter and to date? - Management indicated that the duration gap is narrow, with a DV01 basis of $13, remaining consistent [64][65] Question: What is the current book value? - The estimated book value was $7.28, reflecting an 8.3% decline quarter to date [70][71] Question: Where do you see gross ROE sitting today? - Management suggested that ROE is very high, potentially around 20%, due to volatile market conditions [79] Question: How are you looking at dividend issuance and buybacks? - Management noted that buybacks were reactivated due to stock price declines, and future capital raising may be considered for liquidity purposes [81][82] Question: How does the Rocket Mortgage and Nationstar merger affect prepay speeds? - Management indicated that the merger could lead to faster prepayment speeds, impacting the convexity of the mortgage universe [104]
Dynex Capital(DX) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-04-21 15:50
1 Safe Harbor Statement NOTE: This presentation contains certain statements that are not historical facts and that constitute "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Statements in this presentation addressing expectations, assumptions, beliefs, projections, estimates, future plans, strategies, and events, developments that we expect or anticipate will occur in the future, and future operating results or financial condition are forward-looking ...
Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment (CHMI) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-03-07 01:35
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q4 2024, the company generated GAAP net income applicable to common stockholders of $9.1 million or $0.29 per diluted share, while earnings available for distribution (EAD) were $3.3 million or $0.10 per share, impacted by approximately two cents per share of special committee-related expenses [12][25][26] - Book value per common share decreased to $3.82 from $4.02 as of September 30, 2024, with NAV down approximately $5.5 million or 2.3% relative to the previous quarter [13][26] - Financial leverage remained consistent at 5.3 times, with $46 million of unrestricted cash on the balance sheet [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The MSR portfolio had a UPB of $17.3 billion and a market value of approximately $234 million, representing about 46% of equity capital [19] - The RMBS portfolio accounted for approximately 38% of equity capital, with a weighted average three-month CPR of approximately 5.7% compared to 5.4% in the previous quarter [22][23] - The RMBS net interest spread was 2.9% lower than the prior quarter due to improved repo costs being offset by a reduction in swap and dollar roll income [23] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Long-term yields rose to seven-month highs, with the ten-year yield ending at 4.57%, nearly eighty basis points higher quarter over quarter [7] - Mortgage spreads widened and volatility increased due to concerns about the US election and future debt levels, despite two rate cuts by the Fed [16] - Prepayment speeds for the MSR portfolio averaged approximately 4.7% for Q4, down modestly from the previous quarter, while RMBS prepayment speeds rose modestly as expected [20][22] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company completed the internalization of management, which is expected to reduce operating expenses in 2025 by $1.1 million to $1.6 million [9][11] - The investment strategy will continue to focus on agency RMBS and select MSRs that present strong risk-adjusted return profiles while maintaining strong liquidity and prudent leverage [14][15] - The company remains cautious of the macroeconomic environment and geopolitical factors, expecting to maintain its current investment strategy [8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed concerns over persistent inflation and uncertainty about economic growth, indicating that additional rate cuts in 2025 will be fewer than previously expected [8] - The company anticipates continued volatility in the near term, with rates expected to remain higher until inflation shows signs of moderating or economic growth falters [18] - Management highlighted the importance of aligning management and shareholder interests through internalization, improving transparency and decision-making processes [10] Other Important Information - Operating expenses for the quarter were $4.5 million, including special committee-related expenses [28] - The board declared a dividend of $0.15 per common share for Q4 2024, paid in cash on January 31, 2025 [28] Q&A Session Summary Question: Special committee expenses and internalization benefits - The special committee expenses were found in the SG&A line item, and benefits from internalization will be reflected in SG&A and compensation and benefits going forward [31][33] Question: Repo costs and portfolio growth - Elevated repo costs were attributed to year-end expenses, but benefits have been seen in the first quarter, with potential for growth through capital raising [35][36][42] Question: Capital allocation between investment bins - The increase in servicing equity composition was due to an increase in MSR value, with a focus on RMBS for better returns in the current environment [48][51] Question: Expectations for Fed rate cuts - Expectations for fewer rate cuts this year may impact investment strategies, with a focus on the MSR portfolio's returns if rates drop [56][57] Question: Refinance activity and spec pools - Current refinanceability stands at about 5-10%, with a need for mortgage rates to drop to around 5.7%-5.8% for significant refinancing activity [71][73]