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Adecoagro S.A.(AGRO) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-12 16:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 reached $115 million, with year-to-date EBITDA at $206 million [3][6] - Gross sales totaled $323 million in Q3, reflecting a 29% year-over-year decline due to lower volumes and prices [6] - Year-to-date sales stood at $1 billion, with adjusted EBITDA at $206 million, indicating lower consolidated results primarily due to lower global prices and higher costs in USD terms [6][11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the sugar, ethanol, and energy business, crushing volume was 4% lower year-over-year, but a new quarterly record of 4.9 million tons was achieved, representing a 20% year-over-year increase [7][8] - The farming business saw a 13% year-over-year increase in total production, attributed to higher planted area and record productivity in rice operations [7] - Adjusted EBITDA for the farming business totaled $1 million in Q3, with year-to-date EBITDA at $19 million, impacted by lower international prices and higher costs [12][13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Brazil, the company achieved a record quarterly crushing volume and produced 40% more ethanol than the previous year [3] - In Argentina and Uruguay, the price-cost scenario remains challenging, leading to adjustments in crop mix and leased area [3][4] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on efficiency and being the lowest-cost producer to navigate the challenging market environment [5] - A strategic shift towards maximizing ethanol production was made due to better margins compared to sugar, with an ethanol mix of 58% compared to 45% the previous year [8] - The acquisition of a 50% stake in ProFertil, the largest producer of granular urea in South America, is expected to diversify operations and reduce result volatility [4][15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the tough year but emphasized the need to remain focused on efficiency [5] - The company expects crushing volumes to improve in 2025-2026, with a potential increase of 5%-6% due to better yields and conditions [24] - Cost reductions of 15%-20% are anticipated for the upcoming year, driven by higher yields and efficiencies [24] Other Important Information - Net debt increased by 35% year-over-year to $872 million, with a net leverage ratio of 2.8 times [16] - The shareholder distribution program for 2025 amounted to $45 million, including $10 million in share repurchases and $35 million in cash dividends [17] Q&A Session Summary Question: Future crushing volumes and CAPEX expectations - Management indicated that crushing volumes could see growth in 2025-2026, with CAPEX being revised downwards due to compressed EBITDA margins [20][22] Question: Actions to reduce leverage and crop area reduction rationale - Management explained that reducing leased area is aimed at lowering costs and focusing on high productivity farms, with expectations for improved EBITDA next year [27][29] Question: Financing details for ProFertil acquisition and dividend expectations - The acquisition is fully financed at competitive rates, and while it is too early to provide specific dividend guidance for 2026, management remains optimistic about future cash flows [38][40]