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安杰思(688581):内镜赛道高成长性国产龙头,外有出海空间、内有集采改善
Guotou Securities· 2025-09-14 08:22
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A" investment rating to the company with a target price of 112.69 CNY for the next six months [5][8]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leading domestic player in the high-growth endoscope market, with significant potential for overseas expansion and improvements in domestic procurement policies [1][2][4]. - The global endoscope market is projected to exceed 30 billion USD by 2026, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 7% for endoscopic consumables [2][25]. - The company has a comprehensive product line in endoscopic consumables, aligning closely with international competitors, and is transitioning towards becoming a comprehensive supplier in the endoscopy field [1][15]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has achieved full coverage of major categories in the endoscopic consumables sector, including hemostatic closure, EMR/ESD, biopsy, ERCP, and diagnostic instruments, with industry-leading technological innovation capabilities [1][15]. - The company is expanding its pipeline of products under development, aiming to transition into a comprehensive endoscopic solutions provider [1][20]. Global Market Potential - The global endoscope market is expected to grow significantly, with the 2023 market size estimated at 25 billion USD and projected to reach over 30 billion USD by 2026 [2][25]. - The company has rapidly developed its overseas business, achieving 330 million CNY in overseas revenue in 2024, with a CAGR of 34% from 2019 to 2024 [2][3]. Domestic Market Dynamics - The domestic medical endoscope market is expected to exceed 50 billion CNY by 2032, with a projected CAGR of 8.7% over the next decade [4][10]. - Recent procurement policy optimizations are expected to benefit innovative domestic leaders like the company, enhancing market order and supporting high-quality products [4][10]. Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenue growth rates of 24.8%, 25.0%, and 22.8% for the years 2025 to 2027, with net profit growth rates of 14.5%, 15.8%, and 15.3% respectively [8][10]. - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected to be 637 million CNY, with a net profit of 293 million CNY, reflecting strong growth despite short-term procurement pressures [20][21].