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奥联服务“二闯”港交所IPO:四成收入来自广东,前七月现金流再亮红灯,项目续约率“两连降”
Core Viewpoint - Aolian Service Group has refiled for a mainboard listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange after its initial application lapsed, but concerns remain regarding its profitability due to issues such as regional concentration, declining renewal rates, and negative operating cash flow [1] Group 1: Business Overview - Aolian Service is an independent provider of business and urban space services as well as community living services, headquartered in Guangzhou, China [1] - The company has expanded its services to residential communities since 2010 and to business and urban space sectors since 2014, currently operating in 25 provinces across China [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - Revenue is projected to grow from 342 million yuan to 476 million yuan from 2022 to 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 18%; net profit is expected to rise from 27.4 million yuan to 44.6 million yuan, with a CAGR of about 27% [2] - In the first seven months of 2025, the company reported revenue of 293 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.9%, and net profit of 27.3 million yuan, reflecting a significant growth of 47.6% [2] Group 3: Regional Concentration - Approximately 40% of Aolian Service's revenue comes from Guangdong province, which has remained a critical revenue source from 2022 to 2024, with contributions of 40.6%, 40.5%, and 40.4% respectively; in the first seven months of 2025, this figure was still at 36.5% [2] - Any adverse developments in Guangdong's economic conditions, policies, or regulatory environment could negatively impact the company's business and financial performance [2] Group 4: Project Renewal Rates - As of July 2025, Aolian Service managed 269 projects, including 149 business and urban space projects and 120 community projects; however, the renewal rate for business projects dropped from 47.3% in 2022 to 29.7% in 2023, before recovering to 43.5% in 2024 [3] - The renewal rate for community projects has also declined, falling from 90.5% in 2022 to 74.7% in 2024 [3][4] Group 5: Cash Flow and Receivables - Aolian Service's operating cash flow has turned negative again, with a net cash flow from operating activities of -8.6 million yuan in the first seven months of 2025, compared to -9.7 million yuan for the entire year of 2023 [5] - Trade receivables have surged from 81 million yuan at the end of 2022 to 213 million yuan by July 2025, marking a 163% increase over two and a half years, while the turnover days have extended from 54 days to 142 days [5]