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《2025年—2034年农业前景展望》预计—— 全球农渔市场持续扩张
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-07-23 22:08
Core Insights - The report by OECD and FAO forecasts growth in global agricultural and fishery markets over the next decade, although the growth rate is expected to slow down [1][2] Consumption Trends - Agricultural and fish consumption will continue to rise, driven by urbanization and increased income levels in low and middle-income countries, leading to more diverse and nutritious diets [1] - By 2034, the total caloric intake from animal-source foods is projected to increase by 6%, with chicken consumption growing the fastest, followed by beef and pork [1] Production Trends - Agricultural and fishery production is expected to grow, primarily due to productivity improvements, especially in low and middle-income countries [2] - The report anticipates a 16% increase in livestock production and a 12% increase in fishery production over the next decade, with aquaculture being a significant driver [2] International Trade - International trade will play a crucial role in the agricultural and fishery markets, with an expected increase in trade volume to balance global supply and demand [3] - Major meat-exporting countries identified include Brazil, the USA, Argentina, India, Thailand, and Turkey, while China, India, Vietnam, Bangladesh, Thailand, and Turkey are expected to be significant importers [3] Challenges and Opportunities - The report highlights the need for policymakers to ensure food security and nutrition, promote sustainable agricultural practices, and enhance international cooperation [4] - Addressing risks such as climate change and geopolitical tensions is essential for maintaining stability in agricultural and fishery production [4]