线上慢病管理
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格隆汇发布方舟健客首次覆盖报告:深度价值重估之路——“AI+”生态蓝图正在加速展开,领跑下一个十年
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-12 06:51
报告中英全文可从格隆汇官网及App、彭博终端、S&P Capital IQ、LSEG Refinitiv、FactSet、Morningstar、AlphaSense等渠道获取。 慢性病管理市场空间广阔,战略延伸水到渠成。按照GMV口径计算,中国的线上面向消费者的慢病管理市场将从2023年的455亿元人民币增长 到2030年的6000亿元人民币,年复合增长率为44.5%。减重、代谢类等专科领域需求尤为旺盛,叠加创新药普及,成为行业增长核心引擎。公 司精准卡位该赛道,充分利用"AI+H2H"模式先发优势,未来发展可期。公司把握慢性病患者巨大的客户终身价值,同时也满足医疗保健系统 中其他关键利益相关者(包括医生和制药公司)的需求。AI+H2H创新生态构建,价值进一步凸显。预计公司收入将在2025年达到35亿港元, 2026年达到48亿港元,分别对应0.8倍和0.6倍的P/S,而同业平均值分别为4.9倍和4.1倍。 格隆汇研究院发布方舟健客(6086.HK)首次覆盖报告《重塑认知:方舟健客的深度价值重估之路——"AI+"生态蓝图正在加速展开,领跑下一个 十年》。公司是中国最大的线上慢病管理平台;25H1,公司月活用 ...
重塑认知:方舟健客的深度价值重估之路 ——“AI+”生态蓝图正在加速展开,领跑下一个十年
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-12 06:37
中国领先的线上慢病管理平台。方舟健客(6086.HK)成立于2015年,"优质医生资源&丰富产品矩 阵"是公司的核心特点。自从2023年,公司已是中国最大的线上慢病管理平台;截至25H1,公司月活用 户超1190万名且复购率达85.4%。公司平台注册医生增长至22.9万名,其中58.9%来自三甲医院。在优质 医生资源的保障下,公司为慢病患者提供后续线上医疗咨询服务、电子处方服务以及重配处方服务等。 公司的合作供应商及医药公司分别达到1650 多家及980多家,其中不乏大型跨国公司和国内领先企业。 在产品矩阵方面,平台为用户提供超21.6万个药物SKUs,其中62%为处方药SKU。 慢性病管理市场空间广阔,战略延伸水到渠成。根据CIC的预测,按照GMV口径计算,中国的线上面向 消费者的慢病管理市场将从2023年的455亿元人民币增长到2030年的6000亿元人民币,年复合增长率为 44.5%,线上面向消费者慢病管理市场的渗透率预计将从2.9%上升到16.1%。其中减重、代谢类等专科 领域需求尤为旺盛,叠加创新药普及,成为行业增长核心引擎。公司精准卡位这一高增长赛道,充分利 用"AI+H2H"模式先发优势,战略价 ...
从业绩突围到价值重估,方舟健客(6086.HK)中期答卷里的增长与潜力
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-03 00:51
Core Viewpoint - The company, Fangzhou Jianke, reported a revenue of 1.494 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 12.9%, and achieved a net profit of 12.5 million yuan, indicating a successful turnaround from losses [1][3][21]. Financial Performance - Revenue reached 1.494 billion yuan, up from 1.323 billion yuan [3] - Cost of sales was 1.225 billion yuan, compared to 1.057 billion yuan [3] - Gross profit stood at 268.3 million yuan, slightly up from 265.5 million yuan [3] - Adjusted net profit increased by 16.8% to 176 million yuan [1][3] User Engagement and Growth - The platform has 52.8 million registered users, with a monthly active user growth rate of 34.4% and a paid user repurchase rate of 85.4% [5][8]. - The high repurchase rate reflects strong user loyalty and the platform's effectiveness in chronic disease management [8]. Competitive Advantage - Fangzhou Jianke's core competitiveness lies in its H2H (Hospital-to-Home) smart healthcare ecosystem, which fosters long-term interactions between patients and healthcare providers [7]. - The platform has registered 229,000 doctors, with 58.9% from tertiary hospitals, enhancing user trust and engagement [8]. Service Experience and Supply Chain - The company improved its service experience by optimizing its app and mini-program, leading to a 28.2% increase in online retail pharmacy revenue to 864 million yuan [9]. - Prescription drugs accounted for 81.7% of total transaction value, highlighting the platform's focus on chronic disease management [9]. Market Dynamics and Policy Support - The aging population in China is driving demand for chronic disease management services, with over 310 million people aged 60 and above by the end of 2024 [17]. - Recent government policies support the integration of AI and big data in healthcare, providing a favorable environment for Fangzhou Jianke's growth [14][17]. Technological Integration - The company is advancing its "AI + Chronic Disease Management" strategy, utilizing AI tools to enhance service efficiency and patient management [19]. - AI-driven solutions have improved operational efficiency, with inventory turnover maintained at 25.7 days [19]. Valuation and Market Perception - Despite strong performance and competitive advantages, the company's market valuation remains low at approximately 5.2 billion yuan, not reflecting its potential in chronic disease management [21][22]. - The market's delayed recognition of the company's ecological value and AI integration strategy is seen as a key factor in the current valuation gap [22].