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2025年中国锂离子电芯‌行业产业链全景、行业产量、行业产值、市场需求及未来发展趋势研判:储能市场开启第二增长曲线,行业格局向头部集中[图]
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-10-18 02:18
Core Insights - The lithium-ion cell industry is experiencing robust growth driven by the "dual carbon" strategy, with annual growth rates exceeding 30% for new energy vehicles from 2021 to 2024, and a 37% year-on-year increase in production and sales in the first eight months of 2025 [1][6] - The total production of lithium batteries in China is projected to rise from 750 GWh in 2022 to 1,170 GWh in 2024, with a staggering 68% year-on-year increase in the first four months of 2025 [1][8] - Despite fluctuations in raw material prices leading to a decrease in industry total output value to 1.2 trillion yuan in 2024, the energy storage sector continues to drive growth, indicating strong future demand [1][11] Industry Overview - Lithium-ion cells are the core energy units of lithium-ion battery systems, consisting of four key materials: cathode, anode, electrolyte, and separator [2] - The industry is categorized into three segments: power batteries, energy storage batteries, and consumer batteries, with power batteries being the primary driver and energy storage systems emerging as the fastest-growing segment [6][8] Market Dynamics - The new energy vehicle market is the main growth driver for lithium-ion batteries, with production and sales maintaining an average annual growth rate of over 30% from 2021 to 2024 [6][8] - The energy storage sector is also experiencing explosive growth, with installed capacity expected to reach over 40% of the global total by the end of 2024, and a 29% increase in the first half of 2025 compared to the end of 2024 [1][6] Production Trends - The production of lithium batteries in China is expected to grow significantly, with a compound annual growth rate of 24.9% from 2022 to 2024, and a 68% year-on-year increase in early 2025 [1][8] - The market structure is evolving from being driven by consumer electronics to a dual-driven model of new energy vehicles and energy storage [8] Future Development Trends - The lithium-ion cell industry is expected to transition towards high-quality development driven by technology, with a focus on material breakthroughs and the industrialization of solid-state batteries [12][13] - The market will see a shift from price competition to a comprehensive competition involving technology, supply chains, and business models, leading to increased market concentration [12][14] - The industry is moving towards a more concentrated and ecological model, with leading companies leveraging their advantages to outcompete smaller firms and establish a closed-loop recycling system [14]