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摩根士丹利:华友钴业_2025 年下半年强劲初步业绩;钴价推动力持续
摩根· 2025-07-14 00:36
Investment Rating - The stock rating for Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co Ltd is Equal-weight [4] - The industry view is Attractive [4] Core Insights - Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co Ltd reported preliminary profit for 1H25 of Rmb2.6-2.8 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 56-68%, aligning with consensus estimates [1][2] - The net profit for Q2 2025 is estimated to be Rmb1.35-1.55 billion, reflecting an 18-35% year-on-year increase and an 8-24% quarter-on-quarter increase [1] - The substantial profit growth is attributed to the production from the Huafei project, stable operations and cost savings from the Huayue project, increased self-sufficiency in raw materials, rising cobalt prices, and improved operational efficiency [2] Financial Projections - The expected EPS for fiscal years ending in 2023, 2024, 2025, and 2026 are Rmb2.05, Rmb1.34, Rmb1.42, and Rmb2.00 respectively [4] - Revenue projections for the same fiscal years are Rmb65,936 million, Rmb63,642 million, Rmb66,235 million, and Rmb70,900 million respectively [4] - The company is anticipated to benefit from rising cobalt prices in 2H25, which have increased approximately 7% since the DRC announced an extension of the cobalt export ban [3]