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Overlooked Stock: NET All-Time High
Youtubeยท 2025-10-31 20:50
Company Overview - Cloudflare's shares have reached a record high following a reported revenue growth of 31% and Q4 guidance exceeding consensus expectations [1][2] - The company is recognized for its role in content delivery, web optimization, and edge cloud computing, positioning itself as a significant player in the industry [2][3] Financial Performance - Cloudflare's topline sales for the quarter were reported at $562 million, surpassing estimates of $545 million and significantly higher than $430 million from the same quarter last year [4] - The company reported earnings of $0.27 per share, beating estimates of $0.23 and improving from $0.20 in the previous year [4] - Notably, Cloudflare achieved a break-even net income on a GAAP basis, a significant milestone as it had previously reported losses [5][6] Future Guidance - For the next quarter, Cloudflare has adjusted its topline sales guidance to approximately $589 million, up from $581 million, and increased adjusted EPS to $0.27 from $0.26 [6] - The full-year guidance for fiscal year 2026 was raised from $2.75 billion to $3 billion, indicating a meaningful increase in expectations [7] - This adjustment suggests a projected 40% increase in sales relative to the current year based on adjusted consensus [8] Market Reaction and Analyst Sentiment - Following the earnings report, analysts have raised their price targets for Cloudflare, with estimates ranging from $245 to $250, averaging around $247, which is about $25 higher than the previous consensus [9] - The stock has already seen a year-to-date increase of over 100% prior to the earnings report, reflecting strong market confidence [10] Customer Base and Market Position - Cloudflare's customer base is diversified, with no single customer accounting for more than 2% of its revenue, reducing concentration risk [11][12] - The company's technology is noted for its ease of use, appealing particularly to small and midsize businesses, which may contribute to its growth trajectory [11][12] Valuation Considerations - Despite positive growth indicators, Cloudflare's stock is trading at high valuations, approximately 240 times this year's earnings and 191 times next year's earnings, which may limit further price target increases by analysts [14][15]
What's Happening With Akamai Stock?
Forbesยท 2025-10-13 12:35
Core Viewpoint - Akamai is undergoing a transformative shift from traditional content delivery to expanding sectors like security and cloud infrastructure, which may present opportunities for patient investors despite a 20% stock decline this year compared to the S&P 500's 15% increase [1] Group 1: Current Challenges - The immediate concern for Akamai is the lack of growth, with disappointing revenue forecasts for 2025 indicating that new ventures have not yet compensated for declines in the CDN sector [3] - Akamai is perceived as a "show-me" stock, with the market waiting for evidence that new services in cybersecurity and edge computing can drive significant revenue growth [4] - Weak guidance has made investors hesitant, although the valuation has tightened, with shares trading significantly below their 52-week peak [6] Group 2: Financial Health - Akamai maintains a robust financial standing, generating healthy cash flow with operating margins exceeding 15% and free cash flow margins above 30% [7] - The company has modest annual revenue growth of around 4 to 5%, but its balance sheet is strong, with approximately $5.3 billion in debt against an $11 billion market cap and nearly $1 billion in cash [7] Group 3: Market Position and Outlook - Competition from major cloud providers like Amazon and Google has negatively impacted Akamai's CDN operations but has also expanded the cybersecurity market that Akamai is pursuing [6] - For short-term traders, the outlook is uninspiring due to subdued growth during the transition, while long-term investors may find a brighter scenario as Akamai trades at a discount to the S&P 500 with a price-to-sales ratio of about 2.7 compared to 3.3 for the index [9]
Fastly Set to Report Q2 Earnings: How Should You Play the Stock?
ZACKSยท 2025-08-04 17:00
Core Viewpoint - Fastly (FSLY) is expected to report its second-quarter 2025 results on August 6, with anticipated revenue growth and a narrower non-GAAP loss compared to the previous year [1][2][9]. Revenue Expectations - FSLY expects revenues in the range of $143 million to $147 million, representing a 10% year-over-year increase at the midpoint [1][9]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is $145.1 million, indicating a 9.6% increase from the same quarter last year [1]. Loss Forecast - The company anticipates a non-GAAP loss between 4 and 8 cents per share, with the consensus mark for loss at 5 cents per share, which is an improvement from the 7 cents loss reported in the previous year [2][9]. Key Growth Drivers - Fastly's content delivery and edge computing platform is expected to benefit from go-to-market transformation efforts and packaging improvements, aiding in deal acquisition and steady revenue growth [3]. - Enterprise demand for advanced digital experiences and security solutions is likely to support top-line growth, with the Security segment benefiting from ongoing portfolio enhancements [4]. Market Dynamics - Adoption of edge computing solutions, particularly for dynamic content and AI-driven workloads, has been a significant catalyst for growth [4]. - Traditional content delivery remains the primary revenue driver, while security and compute offerings are helping to diversify the revenue mix [4]. Challenges - Competitive industry pricing may constrain gross margin expansion, and profitability is closely tied to operating discipline [6]. - Macroeconomic uncertainty and regulatory factors related to specific customer relationships are expected to negatively impact second-quarter results [6]. Earnings Outlook - According to the Zacks model, FSLY has an Earnings ESP of -53.13% and a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating lower odds of an earnings beat [7].
Fastly (FSLY) FY Conference Transcript
2025-06-04 17:20
Fastly (FSLY) FY Conference Summary Company Overview - Fastly has transitioned from a content delivery network (CDN) to an edge delivery platform, focusing on delivering high-quality user experiences for applications, websites, and streaming services [6][8] - The company emphasizes partnerships with customers to provide fast, safe, and engaging web experiences [6] Key Points Business Model and Strategy - Fastly's edge platform includes content delivery, edge security (DDoS, bot mitigation, web application firewall), edge compute, and observability [7] - The transition to a full edge platform has diversified Fastly's customer base beyond media and publishing to include high-tech, retail, e-commerce, hospitality, and healthcare [8] - The company reduced revenue concentration from 40% in top 10 accounts to 32%, indicating a successful diversification strategy [10] - Fastly achieved 17% growth outside the top 10 accounts last quarter, showcasing the effectiveness of its platform expansion [10] Financial Performance and Margins - A more diversified customer base is expected to lead to improved margin potential and customer retention [12] - The exit of competitors like Edgio, StackPath, and Lumen has created a favorable pricing environment for Fastly, enhancing gross margins and customer loyalty [14] - Fastly's security portfolio is anticipated to increase customer stickiness and improve gross margins as more customers adopt multiple products [28] Cybersecurity Developments - Fastly invested heavily in R&D for cybersecurity in 2024, launching new products such as bot mitigation and a turnkey DDoS solution [16][17] - The company aims to enhance its go-to-market strategy with strong leadership in sales and marketing focused on security [17] - Fastly's web application firewall, developed from an acquisition, offers high efficacy and automatic protection, reducing total cost of ownership for customers [20] AI and Edge Compute Opportunities - Fastly is exploring opportunities in AI, particularly in AI bot detection and providing infrastructure for training datasets [30][31] - The company launched an AI accelerator to lower costs and improve response times for AI applications [32] - Fastly's edge compute market is growing, with a reported 67% growth in serverless compute using WebAssembly technology [38] Market Trends and Customer Focus - There is a growing demand for high-performance solutions that enhance user experience, which aligns with Fastly's offerings [39] - Traditional enterprises are increasingly investing in sophisticated digital experiences, driving growth in Fastly's compute services [42] Additional Insights - Fastly's focus on delivering a complete edge solution positions it well against competitors who have exited the market due to high customer concentration and reliance on CDN revenue [14] - The company's strategy to integrate security with delivery services is expected to create a more defensible business model over time [26] - Fastly's ability to provide a seamless experience for dynamic content at the edge is crucial for attracting new customers and retaining existing ones [40]
Akamai(AKAM) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-08 21:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - First quarter revenue reached $1,015 million, representing a 3% year-over-year increase and a 4% increase in constant currency [5][24] - Non-GAAP operating margin was reported at 30%, exceeding guidance [5] - Non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) was $1.7, up 4% year-over-year and 6% in constant currency, surpassing the high end of guidance [5][26] - Total Q1 CapEx was $226 million, accounting for 22% of revenue [26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Security and compute combined accounted for 69% of total revenue, growing 10% year-over-year as reported and 11% in constant currency [6][24] - Compute revenue grew to $165 million, a 14% year-over-year increase as reported and 15% in constant currency [24] - Security revenue was $531 million, growing 8% year-over-year as reported and 10% in constant currency [24] - Delivery revenue was $319 million, down 9% year-over-year as reported and down 8% in constant currency [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International revenue was $486 million, up 2% year-over-year or 5% in constant currency, representing 48% of total revenue [25] - Foreign exchange fluctuations negatively impacted revenue by $5 million sequentially and $14 million year-over-year [25] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Akamai is transforming from a CDN pioneer into a cybersecurity and cloud computing company [6] - The company is focusing on enhancing its security offerings, particularly in API security and Guardicore segmentation solutions [6][9] - New product introductions, such as the firewall for AI, are aimed at addressing emerging threats in AI applications [10][11] - The sales transformation efforts are on track, with a focus on new customer acquisition and longer-term contracts [19][65] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed caution regarding potential recession impacts on bookings later in the year [20][21] - The company anticipates a $10 million impact from tariffs in 2025, amortized over six years [20] - Akamai expects to maintain revenue growth and healthy margins despite heightened economic volatility [36] Other Important Information - Akamai was recognized as one of the most trustworthy companies in America by Newsweek [22] - The company has approximately $1.3 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: What drove the upside in delivery revenue? - Management indicated that traffic growth was the primary driver, with strong performance across various sub-verticals [40][41] Question: How did security revenue perform in Q1? - Security revenue met internal expectations, with strong growth in API security and Guardicore solutions [43][45] Question: What role can Akamai play with AgenTeq AI and the AI firewall? - Akamai aims to protect AI applications from various attacks and ensure they do not ingest harmful information [48][50] Question: What differentiates Akamai in the segmentation market? - Akamai's scale, ease of use, and trustworthiness set it apart in the market, particularly for large enterprises [58][60] Question: What are the expectations for compute growth? - The growth in compute is driven by cloud infrastructure services, with expectations of 40-45% ARR growth [86]
Akamai(AKAM) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-08 21:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - First quarter revenue reached $1,015 million, representing a 3% year-over-year increase and a 4% increase in constant currency [4][23] - Non-GAAP operating margin was reported at 30%, exceeding guidance [4] - Non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) was $1.7, up 4% year-over-year and up 6% in constant currency, surpassing the high end of guidance [4][26] - Total Q1 CapEx was $226 million, accounting for 22% of revenue [26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Security and compute combined accounted for 69% of total revenue, growing 10% year-over-year as reported and 11% in constant currency [5][24] - Security revenue was $531 million, growing 8% year-over-year as reported and 10% in constant currency [24] - Compute revenue grew to $165 million, a 14% year-over-year increase as reported and 15% in constant currency [23][24] - Delivery revenue was $319 million, down 9% year-over-year as reported and down 8% in constant currency [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International revenue was $486 million, up 2% year-over-year or 5% in constant currency, representing 48% of total revenue [24] - Foreign exchange fluctuations negatively impacted revenue by $5 million sequentially and $14 million year-over-year [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Akamai is transforming from a CDN pioneer into a cybersecurity and cloud computing company, focusing on security solutions like Guardicore and API security [5][6] - The company introduced new products such as the firewall for AI, aimed at protecting AI applications from emerging threats [10][11] - Akamai aims to enhance its edge computing capabilities with the introduction of a managed container service [17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed caution regarding potential recession impacts on bookings later in the year, although no current impacts were noted [20] - The company expects to lose a few million dollars in revenue in the latter half of 2025 due to federal cutbacks, but sees potential for increased revenue from solutions that generate savings for federal agencies [21] - Akamai remains committed to maintaining strong customer relationships and trust, which are core values for the company [22] Other Important Information - Akamai's capital allocation strategy includes share buybacks, with approximately $1.5 billion remaining on the current repurchase authorization [27] - The company completed the migration of Edgeio customers to its platform, expecting revenue contributions from Edgeio to remain between $85 million to $105 million for 2025 [28] Q&A Session Summary Question: What drove the upside in delivery revenue? - Management indicated that traffic growth was the primary driver, with strong performance across various sub-verticals [38][39] Question: How did security revenue perform in March? - Security revenue met internal expectations, with growth driven by strong API security and Guardicore performance [41][42] Question: What role can Akamai play with AgenTic AI and its AI firewall? - Akamai's AI firewall is designed to protect AI applications from various attacks, ensuring the integrity of AI agents and their data [47][50] Question: What differentiates Akamai's segmentation product in the market? - Akamai's scale, ease of use, and trustworthiness set it apart, allowing it to protect large enterprises effectively [56][60] Question: What are the expectations for security revenue growth? - Management expects security revenue growth of approximately 10% in constant currency for 2025, driven by strong demand for segmentation and API security solutions [34][90]
Akamai(AKAM) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-02-21 03:10
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Akamai reported total revenue of $1.02 billion for Q4 2024, representing a 3% year-over-year increase [45] - Non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) was $1.66, exceeding guidance and down 2% year-over-year [50] - Security revenue reached $535 million, growing 14% year-over-year, while compute revenue grew to $167 million, a 24% year-over-year increase [46][48] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Security became the majority revenue contributor for the first time, surpassing $2 billion in annual revenue and growing 16% year-over-year [10] - Cloud computing revenue was $630 million, growing 25% over 2023, with cloud infrastructure services contributing $230 million, up 32% [10] - Combined revenue from security and compute accounted for 69% of total revenue in Q4 [48] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International revenue was $490 million, up 2% year-over-year, representing 48% of total revenue [49] - The company anticipates a decline in delivery revenue to shrink to about 10% year-over-year in 2025, with signs of improvement in the delivery marketplace [36] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Akamai is transforming from a CDN pioneer to a cybersecurity and cloud computing company, focusing on expanding its security offerings and cloud infrastructure services [9][12] - The company aims to achieve a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 10% for security products over the next three to five years, targeting over $3 billion in security revenue by the end of the decade [16][17] - Akamai plans to focus more on compute investments, expecting cloud infrastructure services ARR to grow by 40% to 45% in 2025 [29] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about future growth, citing strong demand for security solutions and cloud infrastructure services [41] - The company expects to see revenue growth acceleration in 2025, driven by improvements in product mix and operational efficiency [40] - Management acknowledged challenges from foreign exchange fluctuations and the impact of a major customer pursuing a DIY strategy [37][59] Other Important Information - Akamai's capital expenditures (CapEx) for Q4 were $193 million, representing 19% of revenue, with plans to continue share buybacks [51][52] - The company expects to generate approximately $85 million to $105 million in revenue from the Edgio transaction in 2025 [53] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you expand on the large cloud deal and the competitive environment? - Management indicated that the customer is increasing usage of Akamai's cloud infrastructure services and that a data center is being built in Scandinavia to meet specific needs [81][82] Question: Is the $100 million compute deal the same as the five-year deal with the largest delivery customer? - Management confirmed that they are the same customer [86] Question: Can you elaborate on the $60 million headwind from the largest customer? - The headwind is primarily due to the customer's DIY build-out, which will reduce reliance on Akamai's services [92] Question: What is the outlook for retaining Edgio contracts? - Management expressed confidence in retaining the Edgio customer base, with no significant churn anticipated [120] Question: What steps are being taken to minimize disruption from changes in the go-to-market strategy? - Management is in the early stages of a two-year process to transform the sales force and improve account segmentation and pricing strategies [105][106]