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TD Cowen's Oliver Chen shares his top retail picks for 2026
Youtubeยท 2025-12-24 18:51
Core Viewpoint - The retail sector is experiencing a bifurcation, with companies like Walmart and Costco positioned well to capture both lower and higher-income consumers, while brands like American Eagle face volatility in performance [5][12][13]. Company Insights - Warby Parker is highlighted as a strong player in the eyeglasses industry, benefiting from high customer satisfaction and innovative partnerships, particularly with Google [2][3]. - Walmart is recommended as a top investment due to its ability to attract a diverse customer base and its reputation for low prices, making it a defensive and offensive choice in the current market [6][8]. - Costco is also favored for its strong performance and value proposition, alongside Walmart [9][12]. - American Eagle is noted for its fluctuating performance, reflecting the challenges of the retail environment, particularly in the apparel sector [10][11]. Industry Trends - The retail landscape is characterized by heightened competition and changing consumer preferences, with a notable shift towards value-oriented retailers [11][12]. - The K-shaped economy is impacting consumer spending, with the top 20% of earners accounting for 50% of consumer expenditures, while lower-income consumers face more pressure [7][8]. - The apparel category is particularly challenging due to the presence of low-cost alternatives and changing fashion trends, leading to volatility in sales [14].