Deere said it is helping US farmers “substantially” cut costs, after President Donald Trump pressured farm-equipment manufacturers to drop prices for tractors https://t.co/cePEpRsG9Q ...

Core Insights - John Deere showcased its autonomous tractor at the New York Stock Exchange, highlighting its technological advancements in the farming industry [1][2] - The company aims to help farmers increase profitability and productivity through digital solutions and technology [5][12] Company Developments - John Deere has doubled its engaged acres to 500 million this year, with approximately 400,000 unique active monthly digital users [8] - The engaged acres concept involves digitizing farming operations, allowing for better decision-making through cloud-based platforms [9][10] - The company introduced the "see and spray" autonomous vehicle, which can reduce herbicide usage by up to 60%, saving farmers about $15 per acre [11][13] Industry Context - President Trump's comments on reducing environmental regulations could potentially lower equipment costs for companies like John Deere [3][4] - The agricultural sector is facing challenges, with many farmers filing for bankruptcy due to tariffs and economic pressures [12] - Trade agreements, particularly with China regarding soybean purchases, are seen as positive for grain demand [16] Financial Solutions - John Deere Financial offers various financing options to meet customer needs, including purchasing, leasing, and renting equipment [19] - The rental market for construction machinery has seen a significant increase, with 30-40% of machinery rented rather than purchased [18]

Core Viewpoint - As the holiday season approaches, investors are advised to review their portfolios and consider dropping underperforming stocks before the end of the year [1] Group 1: Target Inc. - Target has struggled in 2025, consistently missing expectations despite resilient consumer spending [2] - The company reported a 2.7% decline in comparable sales for fiscal Q3 2026 and lowered its full-year EPS guidance to $7 to $8 per share [2] - Analysts have issued 11 price reductions for Target's stock following its recent conference call, indicating a lack of confidence in its recovery [2][4] Group 2: Deere and Co. - Deere has faced significant challenges due to the trade war, with an expected tariff headwind of over $1.2 billion before taxes in 2026 [5] - Despite beating revenue and EPS estimates in fiscal Q4 2025, the company provided muted guidance due to ongoing sales headwinds [5][7] - The stock has struggled to gain momentum, facing resistance at the 200-day SMA and showing signs of declining momentum [7] Group 3: Tesla Inc. - Tesla's stock is highly volatile, trading at over 300 times earnings and facing declining vehicle sales in Europe and competition in China [8] - The expiration of the EV tax credit and lower emission standards in the U.S. are additional headwinds for the company [8] - Technical indicators suggest that Tesla shares may be approaching a new resistance level, with potential downside if they fail to break through [10] Group 4: United Parcel Service Inc. - UPS is facing challenges from tariff policies and a significant drop in volume from Amazon, which was down over 21% in Q3 [11] - Despite beating earnings expectations, the company provided tepid guidance, indicating ongoing struggles [11][13] - The stock has encountered resistance at the 200-day SMA, with multiple technical signals pointing to potential downside [13] Group 5: Vistra Corp. - Vistra reported a significant earnings miss for Q3 2025, missing revenue projections by over 23% [14] - The company is facing pressure from volatile natural gas prices and currently trades at high valuation multiples [14][16] - Technical indicators show a bearish trend, with the stock dipping below the 50-day SMA and a potential plunge below the 200-day SMA looming [16]

Core Insights - The Q3 earnings season has shown solid performance, with a projected 13.4% increase in earnings per share for S&P 500 companies, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth [2][25] - Retailers are under scrutiny as they report results, particularly in light of softening consumer sentiment ahead of the holiday shopping season [4] Earnings Reports - Macy's reported a surprise profit with its strongest comparable sales in over three years, but its elevated sales guidance fell short of last year's numbers, leading to a 3% drop in stock [5] - American Eagle Outfitters experienced an 11% stock surge after reporting a profit per share of $0.53, exceeding estimates, and a 6% year-over-year revenue increase to $1.36 billion [7][8] - CrowdStrike raised its full-year revenue guidance after reporting a 22% year-over-year revenue increase to $1.23 billion, despite a diluted loss per share of $0.14 [10][11][12] - Okta's revenue rose 12% to $742 million, beating estimates, but the stock fell due to market reactions [15][16] - Marvell reported earnings per share of $2.20 on revenue of $2.07 billion, but its stock slid 6% after announcing a $3.25 billion acquisition of Celestial AI [17][18] - Credo's stock surged 20% after reporting a profit of $0.44 per share and revenue of $268 million, both exceeding expectations [20][21] - MongoDB's stock soared 15% after reporting revenue of $628.3 million, a 19% year-over-year increase, and a smaller-than-expected loss per share [22][23][24] Market Reactions - Despite solid earnings, market reactions have been more negative than usual, with stocks of companies that missed earnings estimates dropping by an average of 5% [25][27] - Companies that beat earnings estimates saw an average stock price increase of only 0.4%, below the five-year average of 0.9% [26] Sector-Specific Insights - Deere's stock fell 5% after its outlook for the year fell short of expectations amid uncertainty in the US farm economy [28] - Dick's Sporting Goods reported a GAAP earnings per diluted share of $2.07, missing estimates, leading to a 2% drop in stock [40] - Abercrombie & Fitch's stock surged over 18% after reporting earnings per share of $2.36, driven by strong sales at its Hollister brand [42][43] - Best Buy's stock rose 3% after beating analysts' estimates and raising its full-year outlook [46] - Kohl's stock soared 42% after reporting better-than-expected results and increasing its full-year outlook [47] - Alibaba's stock rose 4% after beating quarterly revenue estimates, driven by investments in one-hour delivery and strong growth in its cloud division [48]

Deere’s Disappointing Outlook Shows Farm Recovery Is Elusive. Listen for more on Bloomberg Intelligence. https://t.co/aI2rARtIpw ...

Core Insights - Deere & Company reported fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings of $3.93 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.96, with a 14% decrease from the prior-year quarter due to higher production costs and tariff impacts offsetting gains from increased volumes [1][10] - Net sales of equipment operations reached $10.6 billion, up 14% year over year, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9.99 billion, while total net sales were $12.4 billion, an 11% increase year over year [2][10] Financial Performance - The cost of sales increased by 21% year over year to $7.94 billion, leading to a total gross profit decrease of 2.7% to $4.45 billion [3] - Selling, administrative, and general expenses rose by 3.6% to $1.28 billion compared to the prior-year period, resulting in total operating profit (including financial services) dipping 7% year over year to $1.35 billion [3] Segment Performance - Production & Precision Agriculture segment sales rose 10% year over year to $4.74 billion, beating estimates, but operating profit decreased 8% to $604 million due to higher production costs [4] - Small Agriculture & Turf sales increased 7% to $2.46 billion, with operating profit slumping 89% to $25 million due to higher warranty expenses and tariffs [5] - Construction & Forestry sales were $3.38 billion, up 27% year over year, with operating profit increasing 6% to $237 million despite increased production costs [6] Financial Services - Revenues in the Financial Services division were $1.55 billion, up 2% year over year, with net income rising to $293 million from $173 million in the prior-year quarter due to favorable financing spreads and lower provisions for credit losses [7] Cash and Debt Position - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of fiscal 2025 were $8.28 billion, up from $7.32 billion at the end of fiscal 2024, while cash flow from operating activities decreased to $7.5 billion from $9.23 billion [8] Fiscal Guidance - For fiscal 2026, Deere expects net income between $4.00 billion and $4.75 billion, with net sales for Production & Precision Agriculture projected to decrease by 5-10%, while Small Agriculture & Turf sales are expected to rise by 10% and Construction & Forestry sales by 10% [12] Stock Performance - Deere shares have gained 5.7% over the past year, outperforming the industry's growth of 4.5% [13]

Core Viewpoint - Deere & Co has indicated a significant increase in tariff impacts for 2026, forecasting annual profits below market expectations due to weaker margins on large tractors, resulting in a 5% drop in share prices [1] Financial Forecast - The company anticipates a pre-tax tariff impact of approximately $1.2 billion in fiscal 2026, up from nearly $600 million in 2025 [2] - Annual net income for fiscal 2026 is projected to be between $4.00 billion and $4.75 billion, which is below analysts' estimates of $5.33 billion [3] Quarterly Performance - For the latest quarter, Deere reported a net income of $1.06 billion, or $3.93 per share, down from $1.24 billion, or $4.55 per share, in the same period last year [4] - The fourth-quarter revenue increased by 11% to approximately $12.4 billion, exceeding estimates of $9.85 billion [4] Market Conditions - Lower crop prices and rising production costs have led farmers to postpone significant purchases, opting instead for rentals or pre-owned equipment [2] - The company is exploring production shifts, higher pricing, and expanding its used equipment portfolio to mitigate weak demand [3]

Core Insights - Deere & Company shares declined following a weak forecast, indicating that challenging market conditions will persist for an extended period [1][5] Financial Performance - In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, Deere reported earnings per share of $3.93 and revenue of $12.39 billion, both surpassing analyst expectations [3] - The Production & Precision Agriculture division saw a sales increase of 10% to $4.74 billion, while the Small Agriculture & Turf unit grew by 7% to $2.46 billion, and the Construction & Forestry segment surged by 27% to $3.38 billion [3] Future Outlook - For fiscal 2026, Deere anticipates net income between $4.00 billion and $4.75 billion, lower than the analyst consensus of $5.19 billion [2] - The company expects a decline in Production & Precision Agriculture sales by 5% to 10%, while projecting a 10% increase in both Small Agriculture & Turf and Construction & Forestry sales [4]

Dell - Dell's stock is experiencing positive momentum due to an optimistic AI-powered outlook, despite being an underperformer year-to-date [2][3] - The company reported adjusted EPS of $2.59, exceeding expectations, while revenue was slightly below expectations at approximately $27 billion, compared to the anticipated $27.27 billion [2] - Dell raised its AI server shipment target to $25 billion and expects fourth-quarter revenue of $31.5 billion, significantly above Wall Street's consensus [3][4] - The data center segment saw a surge in demand for Nvidia-powered AI systems, contributing to the positive outlook [3] - Dell has resumed returning $1.6 billion to shareholders through buybacks and dividends, indicating financial strength [4] - Full-year revenue guidance has been boosted to $111.7 billion, up from $17 billion, reflecting strong momentum in AI infrastructure [4][5] HPQ - HPQ's stock is facing weakness following its latest results, primarily due to a cautious outlook rather than past performance [6] - The company reported adjusted EPS of $0.93, slightly beating expectations, with revenue of $14.6 billion, surpassing the forecast of $14.4 billion [6] - HPQ's cautious outlook is attributed to rising costs from new US trade rules and a significant increase in memory prices [7] - The company plans to reduce its workforce by 4,000 to 6,000 employees due to these rising costs and a soft printing market, where printer revenue fell by 4% [7][8] - The PC division showed some strength with an 8% rise, partly due to the transition from Windows 10 prompting consumer upgrades [8] Deere - Deere's shares are under pressure due to a weak outlook, despite a solid recent quarter with adjusted EPS of $3.93 and revenue of $12.39 billion, both beating expectations [10] - Concerns about future performance stem from tariffs and a weak agricultural cycle, leading to reduced large equipment purchases by farmers [11] - Although net income fell in double digits, management is optimistic about nearing the bottom of the farm equipment cycle, suggesting potential recovery ahead [12]

Market Overview - US stock futures are rising after equities experienced a third consecutive day of gains, with the S&P 500 trading above its 50-day moving average, indicating technical support for stocks [1][6] - Wall Street remains optimistic about the stock market despite concerns over valuations and the Federal Reserve's future actions [1][6] Company Earnings - Deutsche Bank and JP Morgan have raised their 2026 targets for the benchmark index, with JP Morgan suggesting the index could reach 8,000 if the Fed continues to ease [2][33] - HP's profit forecast fell short of estimates, leading to a plan to cut up to 6,000 jobs through increased AI utilization, which is expected to save the company $1 billion annually [2][30] - Dell's stock is gaining due to a positive outlook for AI server shipments, despite slightly missing revenue estimates for the third quarter [3][2] AI Sector Dynamics - Nvidia's shares have recovered some losses, but the company faces skepticism regarding its AI dominance, with a 14% decline since the start of the month, erasing over $700 billion in market value [4][6] - Concerns have been raised about Nvidia's financial practices, including allegations of circular financing and overinvestment in money-losing companies [4][23][24] - The AI trade remains volatile, with significant focus on both large and small-cap stocks, particularly in the context of ongoing AI developments [8][12] Sector Performance - The healthcare sector has emerged as a strong performer, up 14% since the beginning of the fourth quarter, while utilities have only increased by 2% [11][12] - The Russell 2000 index has shown notable strength, up nearly 7% over the past three days, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics [9][12] Future Outlook - Wall Street forecasts for 2026 are generally bullish, with expectations of strong earnings growth and AI-related productivity driving market performance [33][41] - The potential for the S&P 500 to surpass 8,000 hinges on further Fed rate cuts and strong earnings, with JP Morgan and UBS providing optimistic price targets [33][34] - Analysts suggest that a broader economic recovery could occur, driven by improvements in sectors like housing and manufacturing alongside ongoing AI investments [42][44]