Presentation Ronald JoseyMD and Co-Head of Tech & Communications [Audio Gap] at Citi, and I'm always happy to have with us Peloton's CFO, Liz Coddington. Liz, you've been with Peloton since January of '22, no... Liz CoddingtonChief Financial Officer June of '22. Ronald JoseyMD and Co-Head of Tech & Communications June of '22. I knew I have my January role. And yes, so it's been quite a whirlwind. It's been great, though, watching everything go through. And so what I wanted to do is go through the busi ...

Group 1 - Peloton Interactive, Inc. will have its Chief Financial Officer, Liz Coddington, participate in a fireside chat at the Citi Global TMT Conference on September 3, 2025, at 10:10 AM EDT [1] - The event will be accessible via a live webcast and replay on the Company's Investor Relations website [1] Group 2 - Peloton provides world-class fitness equipment, innovative software, expert instruction, and a supportive community for its members [2] - The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in New York City, serving millions of members across various countries including the US, UK, Canada, Germany, Australia, and Austria [2]

Core Insights - FED Fitness is redefining home fitness with a mission to integrate joy into everyday life through high-quality products and user experience [1][27] - The brand offers a comprehensive ecosystem for home workouts, catering to various fitness levels and needs [23][24] Product Offerings - FED Fitness's product matrix includes strength training, cardio, and recovery tools, designed to support users at every stage of their fitness journey [2][23] - Key products include: - FEIERDUN 45LB Adjustable Dumbbell Set, which combines multiple tools into one compact solution [4][6] - BCAN Foldable Trampoline for Kids, emphasizing safety and developmental support [8][9] - Sportsroyals Pull-Up & Dip Station, known for its stability and heavy-duty construction [10][11] - Sportsroyals Home Gym Power Cage, designed for serious strength training with a high weight capacity [12] - YOSUDA Exercise Bike Magnetic Plus, offering studio-level performance with quiet operation [13][14] - YOSUDA 02-Magnetic Rower Pro Machine, providing a low-impact full-body workout [15] - FLYBIRD Foldable Weight Bench, recognized for its sustainable design and high weight support [18][19] - NICEDAY Elliptical Trainer CT11S, the best-selling elliptical on Amazon, known for its quiet and effective cardio [20][21] - NICEDAY Recumbent Bike RC88, designed for heavyweight comfort and low-impact fitness [22] Market Position - FED Fitness is the No.1 best-selling home fitness brand globally, trusted by over 10 million families [27] - The brand focuses on real-world usability, performance, and value, with many products holding Amazon Best Seller titles for extended periods [24][26] Brand Philosophy - The company aims to transform fitness from a chore into a sustainable lifestyle, emphasizing safety, simplicity, and affordability [26] - FED Fitness targets a diverse audience, including families, beginners, seniors, and individuals with specific needs, through dedicated product lineups [28]

Core Viewpoint - Peloton Interactive is preparing to implement a significant turnaround plan, which has positively impacted its stock performance recently [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Peloton's stock has increased by more than 8% in price week-to-date as of the last market open [1]. - The stock received a boost from an analyst recommendation upgrade from Goldman Sachs [2]. Group 2: Product Upgrades - The company is planning to launch its most significant set of product upgrades in years, potentially as soon as October [4]. - New offerings may include a Peloton bike, a treadmill, and an integrated artificial intelligence (AI) platform [4]. Group 3: Sales Strategy - Management intends to enhance its sales efforts by increasing the sales of used equipment and providing more self-assembly options for customers [5]. Group 4: Historical Context - Peloton experienced a significant rise in sales during the pandemic but has struggled to maintain that momentum since then [6]. - The CEO has recently promised that the turnaround plan will yield results [6].

Peloton Interactive (NASDAQ: PTON ) is still a stock with tons of pressure and uncertainty. Despite having survived the post-pandemic, the company has not been able to consolidate a solid business model able to achieve growth Analyst's Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it ...

Core Insights - Peloton is planning to launch an integrated artificial intelligence (AI) platform along with new products as early as October [1] - The company aims to enhance its offerings by introducing an updated bike, a refreshed treadmill, and new branded peripherals [2] - Peloton is also expanding its refurbished equipment and self-assembly options [2] Product and Service Developments - The CEO announced the use of advanced technologies like AI to provide personalized coaching [2] - Peloton has opened two micro stores and plans to add eight more by the holiday season [2] - The company has launched special pricing programs for various groups including students and healthcare workers [2] Strategic Initiatives - Peloton is undergoing a transformation phase, focusing on intentional investments for future growth [3] - The company has initiated a restructuring campaign to address a significant drop in subscription numbers [3] - An online marketplace called Peloton Repowered was launched to allow members to sell used equipment [4] Community Engagement - Peloton updated its app feature called Teams, enabling larger community building and unique leaderboard goals [4] - The special pricing program introduced in May aims to make membership and purchase options more accessible [4]

Industry Overview - The health and fitness industry has transformed into a significant market, driven by a cultural shift towards healthier living, with consumers actively seeking better nutrition and structured fitness plans [2] - The global health and wellness market is projected to reach $11 trillion by 2034, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.4% from 2025 [4] - Major tech companies like Apple and Amazon are reshaping consumer engagement in wellness through innovative products and services [3] Company Highlights Peloton Interactive - Peloton has developed a connected fitness platform that combines advanced equipment with immersive digital content, creating an interactive fitness experience [7] - The company has shifted its business model to a balanced mix of product and subscription revenues, with subscription services becoming a key driver of recurring income [8] - Peloton continues to innovate and expand its market reach through partnerships and international expansion, positioning itself for long-term growth in the fitness sector [10] Sprouts Farmers Market - Sprouts operates as a health-focused grocery retailer, offering a wide selection of fresh, natural, and organic products, with its private-label brand representing about 24% of total sales [11][12] - The company has embraced digital transformation, with online sales accounting for roughly 15% of total revenues, and has invested in community well-being initiatives [13] - Sprouts has expanded its store locations and created a proprietary distribution network to enhance product freshness and supply chain efficiency [12] SunOpta - SunOpta focuses on plant-based and fruit-based products, catering to the growing demand for health and wellness options [14] - The company has evolved into a high-growth platform centered on scalable, high-margin categories, particularly in oat-based beverages and fruit-based foods [15] - SunOpta integrates sustainability into its product development, enhancing its alignment with health and fitness values [16] The Beachbody Company - Beachbody has built a comprehensive health and fitness ecosystem that combines digital workouts, nutrition, and mindset coaching through its BODi platform [17] - The company has shifted its business model to a direct-to-consumer sales approach, enhancing flexibility in content access and reducing operating expenses [19] - Beachbody is expanding into physical retail and innovating with targeted wellness solutions, aligning with evolving health trends [20]

Core Viewpoint - Carnival, Lyft, and Peloton are identified as undervalued turnaround opportunities despite the S&P 500 being near its all-time high and historically expensive [1][2]. Group 1: Carnival - Carnival, the leading cruise line operator, faced significant challenges during fiscal 2020 and 2021 due to the pandemic, leading to a drastic increase in debt from $11.5 billion in fiscal 2019 to $33.2 billion in fiscal 2021 [4]. - The company has since stabilized, attracting more passengers and achieving over 100% occupancy, returning to profitability in fiscal 2024 with reduced net debt of $27.5 billion [5]. - Analysts project Carnival's revenue and EPS to grow at a CAGR of 5% and 22% from fiscal 2024 to fiscal 2027, with the stock trading at just 13 times next year's earnings, still over 55% below its all-time high from January 2018 [6]. Group 2: Lyft - Lyft, the second-largest ride-sharing provider in the U.S. and Canada, struggled during the pandemic but has rebounded by enhancing competitive rates and expanding its service offerings [7][8]. - In the latest quarter, Lyft reported a 10% year-over-year increase in active riders to 26.1 million and a 14% rise in total rides to 234.8 million, both record highs, yet the stock trades over 80% below its March 2019 peak [9]. - Analysts expect Lyft's revenue and adjusted EBITDA to grow at a CAGR of 12% and 28%, respectively, with GAAP net income projected to grow at a CAGR of 134% from 2024 to 2027, while the stock trades at less than one times this year's adjusted EBITDA [10][11]. Group 3: Peloton - Peloton experienced significant growth during the pandemic but has faced declining sales post-lockdown due to increased competition from cheaper alternatives [12]. - The company is focusing on stabilizing margins and cash flow by expanding subscriptions and reducing costs, leading to improved gross margins despite declining revenue [13]. - Peloton's stock trades over 95% below its January 2021 high, with an enterprise value of $3.3 billion, making it appear cheap at 1.3 times next year's sales, presenting potential for recovery if it can grow its subscriber base [14][15].

Core Viewpoint - Peloton has posted a profit for its fiscal fourth quarter, surprising the market, and is implementing strategies focused on cost reductions and growth [2][3]. Financial Performance - The company reported a net income of $21.6 million for the three-month period ending June 30, compared to a loss of $30.5 million in the previous year, with sales declining by 6% year-on-year to $607 million [4]. - Connected fitness revenue for Q4 was $198.6 million, exceeding projections of $170.3 million, while the gross margin for hardware improved to 17.3%, up 9% from the previous year [10]. Cost Reduction Strategies - Peloton plans to reduce run-rate expenses by an additional $100 million in fiscal 2026, building on the $200 million already cut in fiscal 2025, with half of the reductions coming from indirect costs and the other half from a 6% reduction in staff levels [5][6]. - The company is launching a cost restructuring plan aimed at achieving at least $100 million in savings by the end of FY26 [6]. Store Strategy - Peloton is shifting its focus from larger stores, reducing its portfolio from 37 to 13, and plans to expand its micro-stores from one to ten [4][10]. Debt Management - The company restructured its debt last year, resulting in a net debt decline of $343 million, a 43% drop year-on-year, bringing net debt to $459 million [9]. Future Projections - For the current quarter, Peloton forecasts sales between $525 million and $545 million, which is below analyst expectations of $560 million, but for the full year, projections align with expectations at between $2.4 billion and $2.5 billion [9]. Market Response - Investors reacted positively to the announcements and figures, indicating that the strategy under CEO Peter Stern is beginning to show results, despite the share value being 20% off from the start of the year [7]. Tariff Impact - The new 50% tariffs on aluminum are expected to impact free cash flow by $65 million, prompting the company to adjust promotions and pricing strategies [11]. Global Expansion Plans - Peloton aims to introduce its brand globally through partnerships, focusing on local experiences and leveraging AI for content delivery [12].

Core Viewpoint - Peloton Interactive Inc. is facing significant challenges, including tariffs and sales pressure, as it prepares to report its fourth-quarter and full-year fiscal 2025 earnings, with analysts maintaining a cautious outlook on the company's growth prospects [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - Peloton is expected to report a 9% year-over-year decline in quarterly sales to $586 million, which is at the high end of company guidance and slightly above the FactSet consensus of $581 million [4]. - The company anticipates a near-term impact of approximately $5 million in free cash flow pressure for the fourth quarter due to evolving trade conditions [2]. - Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be $85 million, near the top of the company's implied range of $66 million to $86 million, while gross margin is expected to be 51.4%, trailing the 52.3% consensus [5]. Subscriber and Revenue Trends - Connected fitness subscribers are forecasted to decline by 5.8% year-over-year and 3% sequentially to 2.81 million [5]. - Hardware sales are estimated to drop by 17%, and subscription revenue is expected to decrease by 5% [4]. Strategic Initiatives - The company has implemented strategic changes, including leadership adjustments under CEO Peter Stern, promotional activities during Amazon Prime Day, and potential modifications to the $44 all-access membership fee [3]. - The launch of the Peloton Repowered marketplace is also part of the company's efforts to innovate and retain customers [3]. Analyst Ratings and Market Performance - Telsey Advisory Group analyst Dana Telsey has reiterated a Market Perform rating on Peloton with a price forecast of $8, applying a ~1.5x EV/Sales multiple to the FY26 sales forecast of $2.47 billion [1][4]. - Peloton shares were trading lower by 7.91% to $6.58 at the time of publication [5].