Food – Miscellaneous
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Bear of the Day: BellRing Brands (BRBR)
ZACKS· 2026-01-21 12:00
Company Overview - BellRing Brands provides nutrition products in the United States, including ready-to-drink protein shakes, protein powders, nutrition bars, and other products primarily under the Premier Protein and Dymatize brands [1] Current Challenges - Key challenges for BellRing in 2026 include changes in customer purchasing behavior and a lack of pricing power, with weak consumption growth being a significant concern in the broader consumer staples sector [2] - The macroeconomic environment and lingering inflationary conditions negatively impact the company's outlook [2] Earnings Performance - Earnings are expected to decline in the current fiscal year, with BellRing facing intense competition as consumers focus on health and nutritional supplements [3] - The company recently missed earnings estimates, reporting third-quarter earnings of 51 cents per share, which was nearly 6% below the Zacks Consensus Estimate [6] - Analysts have revised earnings estimates downwards by -11.11% in the past 60 days, with the Q4 consensus EPS estimate now at 32 cents per share, reflecting a negative growth of -44.8% year-over-year [7][9] Industry Context - BellRing is ranked as a Zacks Rank 5 (Strong Sell) and is part of the Zacks Food – Miscellaneous industry group, which ranks in the bottom 14% of approximately 250 Zacks Ranked Industries [4] - Stocks in this industry are expected to experience below-average earnings growth, contributing to BRBR shares underperforming the market over the past year [5] Technical Analysis - BRBR stock is in a sustained downtrend, trading below both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating bearish sentiment [11] - The stock has experienced a "death cross," where the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average, suggesting a challenging outlook for potential long positions [12] Future Outlook - The deteriorating fundamental and technical backdrop indicates that BRBR stock is unlikely to reach new highs soon, with recent earnings misses and falling future earnings estimates likely capping any potential rallies [13]
Do Options Traders Know Something About CHEF Stock We Don't?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-06 18:46
Core Insights - The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (CHEF) is experiencing significant activity in the options market, particularly with the Dec 19, 2025 $30 Call option showing high implied volatility, indicating potential for a major price movement [1][3] Company Overview - The Chefs' Warehouse holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) within the Food – Miscellaneous industry, which is currently positioned in the bottom 29% of the Zacks Industry Rank [3] - Over the past 60 days, there have been no increases in earnings estimates for the current quarter, with one analyst reducing their estimate, leading to a consensus estimate drop from 70 cents to 67 cents per share [3] Market Sentiment - The high implied volatility suggests that options traders are anticipating a significant price movement for The Chefs' Warehouse shares, which could be indicative of an upcoming event that may lead to a rally or sell-off [2][4] - Seasoned options traders often seek to sell premium on options with high implied volatility, aiming to benefit from the decay of the option's value if the stock does not move as much as expected by expiration [4]
CELH to Report Q3 Earnings: Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock Now?
ZACKS· 2025-11-05 13:21
Core Insights - Celsius Holdings, Inc. is expected to report strong third-quarter earnings on November 6, 2025, driven by brand relevance and category growth, but faces challenges from cost inflation and integration complexities [1][14] Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter revenues is $720.7 million, reflecting a 171.2% increase year-over-year [2] - The consensus estimate for earnings has risen to 28 cents per share, a significant improvement from breakeven results in the same quarter last year [2] Earnings Performance - Celsius Holdings has a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 5.4%, with the last quarter's earnings exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 104.4% [3] Earnings Prediction Model - The current Zacks Rank for Celsius Holdings is 3 (Hold), with an Earnings ESP of -6.55%, indicating uncertainty regarding an earnings beat this quarter [4][5] Factors Influencing Q3 Earnings - Continued momentum from a strong Q2 is expected to carry into Q3, supported by brand strength and retail distribution expansion [6] - The integration of Alani Nu is enhancing consumer reach, particularly among female and Gen Z demographics, which are key growth segments in the energy drink category [6] Marketing and Product Strategy - New product launches and flavor extensions, along with effective marketing, are anticipated to boost household penetration and brand visibility [7] - Broader wellness trends and consumer preferences for functional, zero-sugar beverages are favorable for Celsius' product positioning [7] Cost Pressures - Management has indicated potential gross margin pressure in the second half of 2025 due to Alani Nu's lower margin profile and integration costs [8] - Continued investments in marketing and distribution are expected to keep costs elevated [8] Stock Performance - Over the past year, Celsius Holdings stock has increased by 96.8%, outperforming the Zacks Food – Miscellaneous industry, which declined by 18.6% [9] - The stock also surpassed the S&P 500's growth of 17.9% during the same period [9] Competitive Positioning - Celsius Holdings has outperformed major beverage competitors like PepsiCo, Coca-Cola, and Monster Beverage over the past year [10] Valuation Analysis - Celsius Holdings shares are trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 42.31, significantly higher than the industry average of 14.65, indicating a premium valuation [12] - Compared to peers, Celsius' valuation is notably higher, with PepsiCo at 16.92, Coca-Cola at 21.35, and Monster Beverage at 31.6 [13] Investment Outlook - Celsius Holdings is positioned well for the upcoming earnings report, supported by strong fundamentals, but faces near-term margin pressures due to integration costs and marketing expenses [14]
Bear of the Day: Flowers Foods (FLO)
ZACKS· 2025-06-24 12:00
Company Overview - Flowers Foods is one of the largest producers of packaged bakery goods in the United States, with well-known brands such as Nature's Own, Dave's Killer Bread, and Wonder Bread [2] Earnings Performance - Over the last sixty days, five analysts have reduced their earnings estimates for Flowers Foods, leading to a decrease in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year from $1.18 to $1.10, and next year's estimate from $1.27 to $1.14 [3] - This indicates a projected 14% contraction in earnings for the current year and a modest 3.6% growth for the next year [3] Industry Context - The Food – Miscellaneous industry, which includes Flowers Foods, is currently ranked in the Bottom 27% of the Zacks Industry Rank [4] - Despite the challenges faced by Flowers Foods, there are other stocks within the industry that are performing well, such as Nomad Foods (Zacks Rank 1) and Ingredion (Zacks Rank 2) [4]