As markets gear up for another flurry of corporate earnings, all eyes are turning to FedEx Corporation (FDX). The global logistics giant is set to report Q2 Fiscal Year 2026 results after market close on Thursday, Dec. 18, and investors are bracing for a potentially market-moving event. FedEx’s performance often reflects deeper currents in shipping, freight, and e-commerce activity, making it a bellwether for broader business sentiment and economic momentum. From shifting trade patterns to rising operati ...

Core Insights - The Dow Theory suggests that the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and the Dow Jones Transportation Average should trend in the same direction for a durable market trend, but currently, they are diverging with the DJIA up 8.72% year-to-date and the Transportation Average down 2.5% [2][3] Company Performance - J.B. Hunt Transport Services reported flat revenues of $3.05 billion, exceeding the IBES estimate of $3.02 billion, and net income of $170.8 million, surpassing the expected $141.9 million. The intermodal volume, which constitutes over half of its business, grew by 12% despite a 1% decline in overall volumes year-over-year [4] - United Airlines reported adjusted net income of $900 million, slightly above the expected $888.4 million, while revenues were $15.2 billion, missing the forecast of $15.329 billion. The airline saw a 6% increase in premium seat revenue and a 9% rise in loyalty revenue, indicating strong brand loyalty [5] Market Reaction - Following the earnings reports, J.B. Hunt's stock rose over 12%, while United Airlines experienced a modest 3% increase. The market is expected to further assess the implications of these results on the transportation sector and the broader market trend [6]

Core Insights - United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) is valued at a market cap of $72.9 billion and operates in package delivery, logistics, and supply-chain management [1] - UPS is set to announce its fiscal Q3 earnings for 2025 on October 28, 2023, with analysts expecting a profit of $1.33 per share, a decrease of 24.4% from the previous year [2] Financial Performance - For fiscal 2025, UPS is projected to report a profit of $6.50 per share, down 15.8% from $7.72 in fiscal 2024, but is expected to rebound to $7.36 in fiscal 2026, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 13.2% [3] - In Q2, UPS reported revenue of $21.2 billion, exceeding consensus estimates by 1.8%, but its adjusted EPS of $1.55 fell short of expectations by a slight margin [5] Stock Performance - UPS shares have declined by 34.5% over the past 52 weeks, underperforming the S&P 500 Index's increase of 17.9% and the Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund's return of 14.1% [4] - Following the mixed Q2 earnings results and the withholding of its full-year outlook, UPS experienced a 10.6% drop in stock price [5] Analyst Ratings - Wall Street analysts maintain a "Moderate Buy" rating for UPS, with 13 recommending "Strong Buy," 1 "Moderate Buy," 13 "Hold," 1 "Moderate Sell," and 2 "Strong Sell" [6] - The mean price target for UPS is $102.07, indicating an 18.7% potential upside from current levels [6]

Core Viewpoint - TFI International Inc. (TFII) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings and revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, which could significantly influence its stock price depending on the actual results compared to estimates [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for TFI International's quarterly earnings is $1.25 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 26.9% [3]. - Expected revenues for the quarter are $2.06 billion, down 9.1% from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 3.56%, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for TFI International is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -3.16% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative reading indicates the likely deviation of actual earnings from the consensus estimate, with a strong predictive power for positive readings [9][10]. - TFI International currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, TFI International was expected to post earnings of $0.95 per share but only achieved $0.76, resulting in a surprise of -20.00% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [14]. Conclusion - TFI International does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, and investors should consider other factors when making decisions regarding the stock ahead of its earnings release [17].