Mission Services and Systems Integration

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Leidos Holdings, Inc. (LDOS): A Bull Case Theory
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-16 16:31
Core Thesis - Leidos Holdings, Inc. is viewed positively due to its stable cash flows, significant backlog, and potential for re-rating in stock value, contrasting with the higher-risk profile of competitors like Palantir [1][4]. Company Overview - Leidos operates as a mission services and systems integrator, primarily serving the Pentagon and U.S. government, with 44% of its revenue derived from National Security & Digital programs and 30% from Health & Civil contracts [2]. - The company offers comprehensive solutions including secure networks, sensors, cloud migrations, cyber defense, health IT systems, and long-term mission operations, leveraging applied AI for enhanced decision-making [2]. Financial Performance - Leidos generates approximately $17 billion in annual revenue and has an earnings per share (EPS) of $10.7, characterized by thin but stable profit margins [3]. - The company trades at a forward P/E ratio of 15 and an EV/EBITDA of 11, indicating a modest valuation compared to competitors [4]. Market Positioning - Leidos is positioned as a service-heavy provider, focusing on integration and operations, while competitors like Palantir are product-heavy, monetizing software platforms [3]. - The company has a substantial backlog of $46 billion, suggesting strong future revenue potential [4]. Investment Outlook - Analysts suggest that Leidos could see a re-rating towards a fair value of $250–300 per share, representing a potential upside of 25–30% [4]. - In terms of risk/reward, Leidos is considered a more stable and underappreciated investment opportunity compared to Palantir, which is priced for high growth and carries more risk [4].