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AIZ Stock Near 52-Week High: A Signal for Investors to Hold Tight?
ZACKS· 2025-11-12 13:11
Core Insights - Assurant, Inc. (AIZ) shares closed at $225.52, close to its 52-week high of $230.55, indicating strong investor confidence and potential for further price appreciation [1] - The stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages, suggesting solid upward momentum [1] Financial Performance - Assurant's earnings grew by 16.6% over the last five years, outperforming the industry average of 9.8% [2] - The company has consistently beaten earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 22.74% over the last four quarters [2] Valuation Metrics - Assurant shares are trading at a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 1.98X, lower than the industry average of 2.14X and the Finance sector's 4.27X [3] - The company has a Value Score of A, indicating attractive valuation compared to peers [3] Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Assurant's 2025 earnings per share indicates a year-over-year increase of 14.7%, with revenues projected at $12.75 billion, reflecting a 6.6% improvement [9] - For 2026, earnings per share and revenues are expected to increase by 9.3% and 5.1%, respectively, compared to 2025 estimates [9] Analyst Sentiment - Three out of four analysts have raised their estimates for 2025, and four out of five have increased estimates for 2026 in the past 30 days [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 and 2026 earnings has increased by 7.8% and 2.4%, respectively, over the past month [10] Return on Capital - Assurant's return on equity in the trailing 12 months was 18.6%, exceeding the industry average of 15.3% [13] - The return on invested capital (ROIC) was 12.2%, significantly higher than the industry average of 2.1%, indicating efficient capital utilization [14] Business Segments and Growth Drivers - Fee-based, capital-light units account for 52% of segment revenues and are expected to grow in double digits [7] - Connected Living and Global Lifestyle units are projected to drive EBITDA growth for 2025 [7] - Growth in Global Housing is anticipated from improved claims experience and higher average premiums [17] Capital Management and Shareholder Returns - Assurant plans to return $300 million to shareholders in 2025 through share repurchases and dividend increases [7][20] - The company has a solid capital management policy, with an 11% dividend hike approved in November 2024, marking the 20th consecutive year of increases [20] Overall Outlook - Assurant's focus on capital-light businesses and growth in Connected Living is expected to favor its results [23] - The company has a favorable VGM Score of A, indicating strong value, growth, and momentum compared to peers [24]
Third Avenue Value Fund Q3 2025 Commentary (Mutual Fund:TAVFX)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-22 15:06
Performance Overview - The Third Avenue Value Fund achieved a return of 11.85% for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, outperforming the MSCI World Index (7.36%) and the MSCI World Value Index (5.98%) [2] - Year-to-date, the Fund returned 26.04%, compared to 17.83% for the MSCI World Index and 17.54% for the MSCI World Value Index [2] - Annualized performance for the trailing three-year and five-year periods was 23.24% and 23.66%, respectively [2] Key Contributors to Performance - Capstone Copper was the largest contributor, benefiting from the expansion of its Mantoverde mine and rising copper prices due to tight global supplies and operational disruptions in major mining regions [3] - Lundin Mining also contributed positively, aided by rising copper and gold prices, with its Brazilian copper mine being a significant asset [3] - Warrior Met Coal's Blue Creek project began production ahead of schedule, expected to significantly increase production volumes and reduce costs [4] - Close Brothers benefited from a favorable U.K. Supreme Court ruling, improving the outlook for U.K. lenders involved in motor finance [5] Negative Contributors to Performance - Negative contributions were limited, with easyJet, Ayala Corp., S4 Capital, Interfor, and Boise Cascade noted as underperformers [7] - Boise Cascade and Interfor are exposed to the cyclical downturn in U.S. housing starts and repair activity, presenting potential opportunities for undervalued investments [7] Investment Themes - European companies were significant contributors to performance, with Deutsche Bank and Bank of Ireland showing improved health and operating performance [8][9] - The Fund reduced its position in Deutsche Bank despite its strong performance, indicating a strategic shift in investment focus [9] New Investments - The Fund initiated positions in Boise Cascade, Rogers Corp., and Ayala Corp. during the quarter [32] - Boise Cascade is viewed as inexpensive with potential for recovery in housing-related demand, supported by a strong financial position [34] - Rogers Corporation has valuable intellectual property but has struggled to grow; recent management changes may enhance its competitive position [38] - Ayala Corp. is trading at multi-decade low valuations, with potential catalysts for value creation through asset monetizations and share repurchases [40][41]
EVER Rallies 16.3% YTD, Trades at Premium: Should You Buy the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-09-11 18:36
Core Insights - EverQuote, Inc. (EVER) has seen a year-to-date share price increase of 16.3%, outperforming its industry, the Finance sector, and the Zacks S&P 500 Composite, which recorded gains of 5.5%, 12.1%, and 11.5% respectively [1] - The company has a market capitalization of $848.9 million, with an average trading volume of 0.5 million shares over the last three months [1] Valuation and Projections - EVER's shares are trading at a price-to-book value of 4.94X, significantly higher than the industry average of 2.05X, indicating an expensive valuation [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for EVER's 2025 earnings per share is $1.31, with projected revenues of $648.5 million. For 2026, earnings per share and revenues are expected to rise by 18.3% and 10.6% respectively from 2025 estimates [6] - The average price target from six analysts is $34 per share, suggesting a potential upside of 39.86% from the last closing price [10] Growth Strategy - EverQuote is focusing on long-term growth through investments in data, AI, and auto insurance, with plans to expand beyond auto markets [9] - The company anticipates third-quarter 2025 revenues between $163 million and $169 million, reflecting approximately 15% growth at the midpoint, and aims to exceed $1 billion in annual revenues soon [16] - EVER has authorized a $50 million share repurchase program, indicating management's confidence in the company's performance and cash position [18] Financial Performance - The return on equity (ROE) for the trailing 12 months is 36.9%, outperforming the industry average of 14.8%, showcasing efficiency in utilizing shareholders' funds [13] - Return on invested capital for the trailing 12 months stands at 36.3%, significantly better than the industry average of 2% [14] Challenges and Risks - EverQuote faces rising expenses related to marketing, operations, and technology, which may impact margins [21] - Regulatory risks and competition from larger carriers and rival platforms pose additional challenges to the company's growth [22]
AIZ Rallies 12.5% in a Year: Time to Buy the Stock for Solid Returns?
ZACKS· 2025-08-18 15:16
Core Insights - Assurant, Inc. (AIZ) shares have increased by 12.5% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 9.2% [1][6] - The company has a market capitalization of $10.72 billion, with an average trading volume of 0.5 million shares over the last three months [1] Valuation and Trading Metrics - Assurant shares are trading at a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 1.97X, which is lower than the industry average of 2.19X, the Finance sector's 4.03X, and the Zacks S&P 500 Composite's 8.37X [2] - The stock closed at $212.50, near its 52-week high of $230.55, and is trading above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages of $194.91 and $203.53, indicating strong upward momentum [3] Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Assurant's 2025 earnings per share indicates a year-over-year increase of 2.2%, with revenues projected at $12.55 billion, reflecting a 5% improvement [7] - Earnings have grown by 16.6% over the past five years, surpassing the industry average of 9.8%, and the company holds a Growth Score of B [8] Analyst Sentiment - Three out of five analysts have raised their estimates for both 2025 and 2026 in the past 30 days, leading to a 3.9% and 1.6% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for those years, respectively [9] Target Price and Upside Potential - The average price target for AIZ is $237.33 per share, suggesting an 11.4% upside from the last closing price [11] Financial Performance - Assurant's return on equity in the trailing 12 months was 16.4%, exceeding the industry average of 14.6%, indicating efficient use of shareholders' funds [13] - The return on invested capital (ROIC) was 10.7%, significantly higher than the industry average of 1.92% [14] Business Strategy and Growth Areas - Assurant is focusing on expanding its capital-light businesses, which account for 52% of segment revenues, and management expects this segment to grow in double digits over the long term [15] - The Connected Living segment is anticipated to drive growth through innovative offerings and improved relationships with mobile carriers and cable operators [16] - Global Housing is expected to see growth from favorable loss experiences and increased policies in-force, with strong adjusted EBITDA growth projected for 2025 [17] Capital Management and Shareholder Returns - Assurant has a solid capital management policy, with an 11% dividend hike approved in November 2024, marking the 20th consecutive year of increases [20] - The company repurchased shares worth $62 million in the first quarter of 2025, with $287 million remaining under the current repurchase authorization [20][22] Conclusion - Assurant's focus on capital-light businesses, strong return on capital, and favorable growth estimates position the company well for long-term benefits [23][24]