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节后首日沪指、深证成指上涨概率70%!持股还是持币过节?
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-09-29 08:09
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the focus on whether to hold stocks or cash during the upcoming National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival, with an emphasis on the potential for a positive market performance post-holiday [2] - Historical data over the past decade indicates that the market tends to perform positively after the holidays, with a 70% probability of the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index rising on the first trading day after the National Day [2] - The probability of market increases over the first five trading days post-holiday is 60% for the Shanghai Composite Index and 70% for the Shenzhen Component Index [2] Group 2 - Industries expected to perform well after the National Day include computer, communication, and electronics, with banks, non-bank financials, and automotive sectors also showing high probabilities of increases in the two weeks and one month following the holiday [2]