Semiconductors and Semiconductor Capital Equipment

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美银:英伟达财报最新点评,目标价180$
美银· 2025-05-29 14:12
Investment Rating - Investment Rating: BUY with a Price Objective (PO) of $180.00, current price at $134.81 [1][6] Core Insights - The report highlights NVIDIA's long-term earnings potential with an estimated EPS of $10 by FY28, driven by strong data center sales and a significant total addressable market (TAM) of $325-$350 billion, potentially reaching $450-$500 billion [2][9] - NVIDIA's free cash flow (FCF) margins are noted at 50%, significantly higher than the industry average, indicating strong financial health and operational efficiency [2][9] - The company is experiencing a recovery in gross margins, expected to return to mid-70s percentage later in the year, reflecting improved demand and execution in rack-scale systems [1][2] Summary by Sections Financial Estimates - FY26E EPS is raised to $4.21, FY27E to $5.87, and FY28E to $7.23, reflecting increases of 6%, 2%, and 12% respectively [1][16] - Revenue estimates for FY26E, FY27E, and FY28E are adjusted to $195,750.5 million, $252,857.3 million, and $301,855.0 million, respectively [5][16] Market Outlook - The global accelerator market is projected to reach approximately $300 billion by CY27 and $400-500 billion by CY30, with NVIDIA expected to maintain over 80% market share [13][15] - NVIDIA's data center sales are forecasted to grow significantly, with a projected increase from $47.5 billion in CY23 to $115.2 billion in CY24 [13] Competitive Positioning - NVIDIA is positioned favorably compared to peers, trading at a PEG ratio of 0.9x versus an average of 3.0x for other major companies, indicating potential undervaluation [15] - The company has successfully transformed from a traditional graphics chip vendor to a leader in high-end gaming, enterprise graphics, and accelerated computing markets [9][8]