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花旗:台湾电子与半导体_ 台湾科技行业月度追踪 - 4 月销售基本符合预期,人工智能供应链持续表现强劲
花旗· 2025-05-14 03:09
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the Taiwan Electronics and Semiconductors sector, particularly favoring TSMC as the most preferred stock in the semiconductor space [1][2]. Core Insights - April sales in the technology sector were robust, with TSMC reporting NT$349.6 billion in revenue, reflecting a 48% year-over-year increase and a 22% month-over-month increase [2][10]. - The semiconductor supply chain is expected to face challenges in the second half of 2025 due to early order pull-ins and tariff uncertainties, although supply constraints are easing [1][2]. - Companies like Gold Circuit and Quanta are highlighted for their strong sales momentum and improving product mix and margins, particularly in the AI ASIC and server supply chain segments [1][3]. Summary by Sections Semiconductor - TSMC's April revenue was significantly above expectations, driven by solid AI demand and a healthy order flow, with a year-over-year growth of 48% [2][10]. - UMC and other fabless companies are also showing steady recovery, with April revenues tracking positively [2]. Server and ODMs - Server sales in April increased by 167% year-over-year, with companies like Wiwynn and Accton outperforming expectations due to strong ASIC server demand [3][14]. - ODMs reported a 1% month-over-month increase and a 33% year-over-year increase in sales, indicating a positive trend in the server supply chain [3]. Component and PCB - Largan is noted for its 28% year-over-year growth, attributed to market share gains and resilient ASP trends [5]. - Gold Circuit is expected to benefit from rising AI ASIC demand, while Unimicron is projected to capture a significant market share in AI GPU applications [6][10]. Overall Market Trends - The overall revenue trend for the Taiwan technology supply chain shows a 24% year-over-year increase, with significant contributions from the semiconductor and server sectors [14]. - The report anticipates a decline in sales for May due to NTD appreciation, but the long-term outlook remains positive as demand for AI-related products continues to grow [2][3].